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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
October 28, 2016
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Cavaliers
94
6Raptors
91
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 31.8
39
33
21
8
7
0
1
0
5
2
6
5-7
71%
5-10
7-13
50%
55%
2-6
33%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 24.6
38
31
26
6
6
0
1
0
7
1
5
1-1
100%
5-14
6-13
36%
48%
5-9
56%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 25.6
36
25
11
10
1
0
0
2
0
3
7
1-2
50%
5-5
2-4
100%
54%
0-0
-
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 28.1
36
26
18
10
2
1
1
1
0
2
8
4-4
100%
4-10
3-6
40%
46%
2-5
40%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 31.1
34
26
8
0
0
3
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
44%
2-7
29%
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 26.3
20
16
6
4
2
3
1
0
2
0
4
3-4
75%
0-3
1-1
0%
43%
1-1
100%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 36.4
20
21
2
2
2
1
1
0
0
1
1
2-4
50%
0-1
1-3
0%
50%
0-3
0%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 36.1
16
19
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
45%
0-1
0%
DeAndre Liggins
G · 6'6" 209 · 28.6
0
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Kay Felder
G · 5'9" 176 · 21.6
12
1
1-2
43%
Jordan McRae
G · 6'5" 179 · 25.6
7
0
1-2
47%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 38.3
7
0
1-1
57%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 36.1
5
0
0-0
41%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 33.5
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 33.9
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 30.6
39
36
17
2
4
0
2
0
6
0
2
6-7
86%
4-11
4-9
36%
45%
1-5
20%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 27.2
38
33
32
7
2
2
1
0
3
2
5
8-8
100%
12-27
8-17
44%
45%
0-1
0%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 30.3
36
27
8
6
2
2
1
2
0
2
4
2-2
100%
0-3
2-4
0%
49%
2-4
50%
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 24.5
31
32
10
17
0
0
1
1
3
6
11
0-0
-
5-15
7-12
33%
56%
0-0
-
Pascal Siakam
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.6
15
17
4
3
0
1
0
0
2
3
0
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
51%
0-0
-
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 27.6
34
26
5
6
3
1
1
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
50%
1-5
20%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.2
21
22
8
1
1
1
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
4-7
3-6
57%
49%
0-0
-
Terrence Ross
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 25.7
14
20
0
2
0
2
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Jakob Poeltl
C · 7'0" 230 · 21.0
11
13
7
7
0
0
0
0
0
4
3
1-1
100%
3-5
2-3
60%
52%
0-0
-
Bruno Caboclo
F · 6'9" 205 · 21.1
8
0
1-2
49%
Norman Powell
F-G · 6'4" 215 · 23.4
7
0
1-1
45%
Fred VanVleet
G · 6'0" 195 · 22.7
5
0
0-1
44%
Lucas Nogueira
C · 7'0" 220 · 24.3
4
0
0-1
54%
Jared Sullinger
C-F · 6'9" 260 · 24.7
Delon Wright
G · 6'5" 190 · 24.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.