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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
October 28, 2016
7:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Magic
82
17Pistons
108
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Aaron Gordon
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.1
29
31
17
7
0
2
1
0
1
3
4
4-6
67%
5-10
4-8
50%
51%
1-2
50%
Elfrid Payton
G · 6'4" 185 · 22.7
28
33
15
5
6
2
2
0
3
1
4
2-2
100%
5-9
4-9
56%
45%
1-4
25%
Evan Fournier
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 24.0
27
35
8
2
2
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-1
0%
4-8
4-9
50%
49%
0-4
0%
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 26.0
26
33
7
14
3
1
1
0
1
4
10
1-2
50%
3-12
9-17
25%
50%
0-0
-
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 27.1
19
33
4
3
0
0
1
1
1
2
1
0-0
-
2-6
3-6
33%
52%
0-0
-
Mario Hezonja
F-G · 6'8" 218 · 21.7
24
15
13
2
1
2
0
0
1
0
2
1-1
100%
3-8
1-2
38%
48%
2-7
29%
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 24.2
23
14
2
3
0
0
0
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-5
1-2
20%
53%
0-0
-
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 30.2
19
24
10
2
1
0
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
3-6
67%
45%
2-6
33%
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 29.0
16
14
3
0
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-4
1-2
0%
43%
1-1
100%
CJ Wilcox
G · 6'5" 195 · 25.8
12
2
3
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
43%
1-2
50%
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 32.5
8
6
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
42%
0-0
-
Stephen Zimmerman
C · 7'0" 240 · 20.1
8
4
0
4
1
0
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
49%
0-0
-
Damjan Rudez
F · 6'10" 228 · 30.4
1
0
0-0
50%
Arinze Onuaku
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 29.3
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 29.2
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.2
29
31
17
8
3
0
1
0
2
1
7
1-1
100%
5-9
3-7
56%
48%
2-5
40%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 23.2
28
27
12
20
1
2
1
0
1
4
16
2-2
100%
5-14
6-11
36%
54%
0-0
-
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.3
27
34
18
4
2
2
1
1
2
0
4
0-0
-
6-11
5-9
55%
52%
2-5
40%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 28.3
26
29
16
2
8
1
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
8-13
3-7
62%
44%
0-0
-
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 23.7
24
36
5
1
1
2
1
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
2-2
3-7
100%
48%
0-3
0%
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 27.5
28
20
7
9
2
0
1
2
1
2
7
0-0
-
2-5
3-6
40%
50%
1-2
50%
Stanley Johnson
F · 6'7" 245 · 20.4
28
17
3
1
2
0
1
1
2
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
44%
1-2
50%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 34.3
20
11
13
2
5
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
5-9
1-3
56%
49%
1-1
100%
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 29.9
18
14
13
3
1
1
0
0
0
1
2
1-2
50%
6-8
2-4
75%
52%
0-0
-
Michael Gbinije
G-F · 6'7" 200 · 24.4
5
4
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-1
0%
Boban Marjanovic
C · 7'3" 290 · 28.2
2
6
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
57%
0-0
-
Darrun Hilliard
G · 6'6" 220 · 23.5
2
6
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Henry Ellenson
F · 6'11" 245 · 19.8
2
5
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
52%
0-0
-
Reggie Bullock
F-G · 6'7" 205 · 25.6
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 26.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.