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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
October 28, 2016
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Hornets
97
19Heat
91
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 30.4
34
28
7
11
1
2
1
1
1
0
11
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
47%
1-2
50%
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 27.9
31
32
12
6
4
2
1
0
3
2
4
2-2
100%
2-7
3-6
29%
49%
2-7
29%
Kemba Walker
G · 6'1" 184 · 26.5
31
34
24
1
4
2
1
0
0
0
1
8-9
89%
5-13
5-11
38%
44%
2-5
40%
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist
F · 6'7" 232 · 23.1
28
30
3
5
1
1
1
4
1
2
3
1-2
50%
1-5
4-9
20%
48%
0-0
-
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 29.9
4
27
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
3-6
0%
45%
0-0
-
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 30.6
28
17
12
1
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
2-6
2-4
33%
46%
2-3
67%
Cody Zeller
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 24.1
23
18
10
3
1
2
1
1
1
2
1
2-3
67%
4-8
2-5
50%
50%
0-0
-
Jeremy Lamb
G · 6'5" 185 · 24.4
22
12
16
8
1
0
0
1
0
2
6
2-2
100%
7-10
2-3
70%
50%
0-2
0%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 28.5
20
13
10
9
2
0
0
2
2
4
5
2-2
100%
4-9
1-2
44%
45%
0-1
0%
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 30.5
17
13
3
4
4
0
0
0
0
1
3
1-2
50%
1-7
2-4
14%
47%
0-2
0%
Brian Roberts
G · 6'1" 173 · 30.9
5
0
1-1
44%
Christian Wood
F · 6'9" 214 · 21.1
5
0
1-1
48%
Treveon Graham
G-F · 6'5" 219 · 23.0
5
0
0-1
45%
Aaron Harrison
G · 6'6" 210 · 22.0
Frank Kaminsky
F-C · 7'0" 242 · 23.6
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.9
34
29
13
7
3
1
1
0
3
1
6
0-2
0%
2-9
2-5
22%
44%
3-7
43%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 30.5
34
28
14
4
9
1
1
0
4
1
3
3-3
100%
1-7
5-10
14%
52%
3-5
60%
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 20.6
32
31
10
6
5
0
1
0
4
0
6
1-2
50%
3-8
3-6
38%
48%
1-6
17%
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 27.4
27
27
20
15
0
0
1
2
4
5
10
4-7
57%
8-11
5-8
73%
60%
0-0
-
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 27.4
20
17
6
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
44%
2-4
50%
Tyler Johnson
G · 6'3" 186 · 24.5
29
24
12
6
0
0
1
0
1
1
5
2-2
100%
2-6
2-5
33%
50%
2-4
50%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 29.7
23
20
0
6
1
0
1
1
2
0
6
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
54%
0-3
0%
Willie Reed
· 6'11" 245 · 26.5
21
12
7
3
0
0
0
0
1
2
1
3-4
75%
2-3
2-4
67%
53%
0-0
-
Rodney McGruder
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 25.3
20
18
9
2
1
0
1
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-4
1-3
0%
46%
3-5
60%
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 23.1
14
0
1-2
45%
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.4
10
0
1-3
49%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 29.7
6
0
1-1
50%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 36.4
2
0
0-0
45%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 28.9
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 32.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.