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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
October 28, 2016
9:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
30Lakers23%9989
7Jazz77%11096
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 31.5
34.0
27.9
12
50%
12
0
2
1
1
1
2
10
0-0
-
3-7
2-5
43%
47%
2-5
40%
D'Angelo Russell
G · 6'5" 195 · 20.7
31.9
28.2
9
28%
5
5
2
1
0
4
2
3
2-5
40%
2-9
3-7
22%
44%
1-5
20%
Julius Randle
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 21.9
27.3
27.3
7
50%
4
1
0
1
2
2
1
3
0-0
-
2-6
4-8
33%
44%
1-1
100%
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 31.4
23.6
13.0
13
67%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
6-6
100%
2-5
1-2
40%
40%
1-2
50%
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 30.3
23.1
15.8
8
56%
6
1
1
0
2
1
1
5
6-7
86%
1-4
2-4
25%
53%
0-0
-
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 30.0
27.3
18.6
17
66%
0
6
1
1
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
3-8
1-3
38%
45%
3-4
75%
Jordan Clarkson
G · 6'5" 194 · 24.4
25.5
26.1
4
22%
2
0
0
1
1
3
0
2
0-0
-
2-6
3-7
33%
46%
0-3
0%
Larry Nance Jr.
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.8
16.1
22.2
5
56%
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-1
0%
1-2
2-5
50%
51%
1-2
50%
Marcelo Huertas
G · 6'3" 200 · 33.4
15.1
5.5
4
33%
4
3
0
0
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
2-6
0-1
33%
44%
0-0
-
Tarik Black
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 24.9
10.1
11.2
8
67%
7
0
0
0
0
0
4
3
0-0
-
4-6
1-2
67%
53%
0-0
-
Brandon Ingram
F-G · 6'9" 190 · 19.2
4.2
24.4
2
50%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-5
100%
47%
0-1
0%
Thomas Robinson
F · 6'10" 237 · 25.6
1.9
8.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
44%
0-0
-
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 37.0
5.7
0
0-1
41%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 35.1
Ivica Zubac
C · 7'1" 240 · 19.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 30.5
35.3
34.1
23
64%
3
3
0
1
1
1
0
3
7-9
78%
5-7
3-6
71%
51%
2-7
29%
Rodney Hood
G · 6'8" 206 · 24.0
32.4
34.3
15
46%
6
1
1
1
0
1
0
6
3-5
60%
3-6
4-7
50%
50%
2-8
25%
Rudy Gobert
C · 7'1" 245 · 24.3
31.9
30.0
13
52%
13
1
0
1
4
1
6
7
5-8
63%
4-9
3-5
44%
58%
0-0
-
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 35.3
31.8
27.6
11
46%
7
2
0
1
0
1
2
5
2-2
100%
3-7
4-7
43%
50%
1-4
25%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 34.5
18.4
21.1
0
0%
3
2
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
3-5
0%
54%
0-0
-
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 26.5
22.6
16.6
9
51%
4
1
1
1
0
1
0
4
1-2
50%
4-7
2-4
57%
50%
0-1
0%
Dante Exum
G · 6'6" 190 · 21.3
21.5
10.2
4
69%
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
1-1
0-1
100%
46%
0-1
0%
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 25.3
20.1
16.5
15
63%
8
2
2
1
2
5
4
4
7-11
64%
4-7
4-7
57%
53%
0-0
-
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 21.0
17.8
19.1
6
36%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
1-1
100%
1-4
2-5
25%
50%
1-4
25%
Joe Ingles
F · 6'8" 226 · 29.1
8.3
13.0
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
53%
0-0
-
Raul Neto
G · 6'1" 179 · 24.4
7.7
0
1-1
48%
Jeff Withey
· 7'0" 231 · 26.6
6.1
0
1-2
55%
Joel Bolomboy
· 6'9" 235 · 22.7
3.3
0
0-1
52%
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 25.3
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 26.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.