Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	3	Spurs	62%	101	106	112.8	94	93.4
	22	Heat	38%	96	99	104.2	95	95.6

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Pau Gasol C · 7'0" 250 · 36	31.1	20	53%	11	3	0	2	0	2	3	8	1-2	50%	8-16	50%	1-2	50%
Kawhi Leonard F · 6'6" 225 · 25	29.8	27	61%	2	6	1	1	4	3	0	2	10-12	83%	7-13	54%	1-3	33%
David Lee F · 6'9" 245 · 34	24.6	8	50%	11	0	1	0	0	4	4	7	2-2	100%	3-7	43%	0-0	-
Tony Parker G · 6'2" 185 · 34	22.0	3	38%	2	4	0	1	3	3	0	2	0-0	-	0-3	0%	1-1	100%
Kyle Anderson G · 6'8" 230 · 23	20.1	5	83%	1	1	0	0	2	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-1	100%

Manu Ginobili G · 6'6" 205 · 39	27.5	4	25%	6	2	2	0	5	3	2	4	0-0	-	2-7	29%	0-1	0%
Patty Mills G · 6'0" 185 · 28	25.1	18	82%	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	4-6	67%
Jonathon Simmons F · 6'6" 195 · 27	25.1	6	33%	2	3	0	0	0	1	0	2	2-2	100%	2-7	29%	0-1	0%
Davis Bertans C-F · 6'10" 210 · 24	17.3	6	100%	1	0	0	1	0	2	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-3	67%
Dewayne Dedmon C · 7'0" 245 · 27	16.4	9	56%	8	1	0	0	0	4	4	4	5-6	83%	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Nicolas Laprovittola G · 6'4" 180 · 27	0.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Dejounte Murray G · 6'4" 180 · 20	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Bryn Forbes G · 6'3" 190 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Danny Green #14 · G-F · 6'6" 215 · 29	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
LaMarcus Aldridge #12 · F · 6'11" 260 · 31	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	106	56%	44	20	4	5	15	0	14	30	22-26	85%	27-64	42%	10-18	56%

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3 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Pau Gasol C · 7'0" 250 · 36	31.1	20	53%	11	3	0	2	0	2	3	8	1-2	50%	8-16	50%	1-2	50%
Kawhi Leonard F · 6'6" 225 · 25	29.8	27	61%	2	6	1	1	4	3	0	2	10-12	83%	7-13	54%	1-3	33%
David Lee F · 6'9" 245 · 34	24.6	8	50%	11	0	1	0	0	4	4	7	2-2	100%	3-7	43%	0-0	-
Tony Parker G · 6'2" 185 · 34	22.0	3	38%	2	4	0	1	3	3	0	2	0-0	-	0-3	0%	1-1	100%
Kyle Anderson G · 6'8" 230 · 23	20.1	5	83%	1	1	0	0	2	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-1	100%

Manu Ginobili G · 6'6" 205 · 39	27.5	4	25%	6	2	2	0	5	3	2	4	0-0	-	2-7	29%	0-1	0%
Patty Mills G · 6'0" 185 · 28	25.1	18	82%	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	4-6	67%
Jonathon Simmons F · 6'6" 195 · 27	25.1	6	33%	2	3	0	0	0	1	0	2	2-2	100%	2-7	29%	0-1	0%
Davis Bertans C-F · 6'10" 210 · 24	17.3	6	100%	1	0	0	1	0	2	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-3	67%
Dewayne Dedmon C · 7'0" 245 · 27	16.4	9	56%	8	1	0	0	0	4	4	4	5-6	83%	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Nicolas Laprovittola G · 6'4" 180 · 27	0.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Dejounte Murray G · 6'4" 180 · 20	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Bryn Forbes G · 6'3" 190 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Danny Green #14 · G-F · 6'6" 215 · 29	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
LaMarcus Aldridge #12 · F · 6'11" 260 · 31	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	106	56%	44	20	4	5	15	0	14	30	22-26	85%	27-64	42%	10-18	56%

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22 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Justise Winslow F · 6'7" 225 · 21	39.1	18	53%	5	2	1	1	2	5	2	3	4-5	80%	7-12	58%	0-3	0%
Hassan Whiteside C · 7'0" 265 · 27	34.9	27	68%	15	1	2	4	1	2	1	14	7-10	70%	10-15	67%	0-0	-
Goran Dragic G · 6'3" 190 · 30	34.0	25	66%	3	5	1	0	2	3	0	3	4-6	67%	6-10	60%	3-7	43%
Dion Waiters G · 6'4" 215 · 25	33.4	9	45%	2	3	1	1	6	3	0	2	1-2	50%	1-6	17%	2-3	67%
Luke Babbitt F · 6'9" 225 · 27	25.2	6	50%	5	4	0	0	0	2	0	5	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-5	40%

Tyler Johnson G · 6'3" 186 · 24	30.4	12	50%	0	3	0	0	1	4	0	0	2-3	67%	5-10	50%	0-1	0%
Rodney McGruder G-F · 6'4" 200 · 25	16.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
James Johnson F · 6'8" 240 · 30	14.1	0	0%	2	1	1	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Willie Reed · 6'11" 245 · 26	12.6	2	33%	4	0	1	0	0	2	3	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Josh Richardson F · 6'6" 200 · 23	\| DND - Sprained Right MCL
Derrick Williams F · 6'8" 240 · 25	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Josh McRoberts · 6'10" 240 · 30	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Udonis Haslem F · 6'8" 235 · 36	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Chris Bosh #1 · F · 6'11" 235 · 33	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Wayne Ellington #2 · G · 6'5" 200 · 29	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	99	52%	36	19	7	6	12	0	6	30	18-26	69%	30-60	50%	7-20	35%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	MIA
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	MIA

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

SAS

1.12 55.8%

MIA

1.04 52.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAS

13

28

46%

MIA

16

29

55%

Midrange

SAS

14

36

39%

MIA

14

31

45%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAS

10

15.0

18

56%

83%

MIA

7

10.5

20

35%

53%

Free Throws

SAS

22

26

85%

MIA

18

26

69%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Leonard	27	61%	13.5 / 22
P. Gasol	20	53%	10.0 / 19
P. Mills	18	82%	9.0 / 11
D. Dedmon	9	56%	4.5 / 8
D. Lee	8	50%	4.0 / 8
J. Simmons	6	33%	3.0 / 9
D. Bertans	6	100%	3.0 / 3
K. Anderson	5	83%	2.5 / 3
M. Ginobili	4	25%	2.0 / 8
T. Parker	3	38%	1.5 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
H. Whiteside	27	68%	13.5 / 20
G. Dragic	25	66%	12.5 / 19
J. Winslow	18	53%	9.0 / 17
T. Johnson	12	50%	6.0 / 12
D. Waiters	9	45%	4.5 / 10
L. Babbitt	6	50%	3.0 / 6
W. Reed	2	33%	1.0 / 3
R. McGruder	0	-	0.0 / 2
J. Johnson	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	8 111.3 18 108.1	SAS 112.8 +8.6 MIA 104.2
Pace	27 94.1 21 95.0	SAS 93.4 MIA 95.6 +2.2
Avg. Poss. Time	4 15.8 5 15.7	SAS 15.4 MIA 15.1 −0.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	10 52.4% 15 51.2%	SAS 51.2% +0.6% MIA 50.6%
TO %	14 13.6% 8 13.2%	SAS 13.8% MIA 11.6% −2.2%
ORB %	14 24.0% 11 24.2%	SAS 31.8% +15.1% MIA 16.7%
FTrt	18 26.3 26 25.1	SAS 31.7 MIA 32.5 +0.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	9 60.6% 24 54.4%	SAS 54.1% +2.7% MIA 51.4%
STL %	7 8.5% 21 7.5%	SAS 4.3% MIA 7.4% +3.1%
BLK %	2 9.9% 6 9.3%	SAS 8.3% MIA 9.4% +1.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	10 54.8% 20 52.8%	SAS 55.8% +3.7% MIA 52.1%
Rim FG%	5 60.5% 12 59.2%	SAS 46.4% MIA 55.2% +8.8%
Mid FG%	9 42.0% 26 39.4%	SAS 38.9% MIA 45.2% +6.3%
3P %	1 39.1% 12 36.5%	SAS 55.6% +20.6% MIA 35.0%
FT %	7 79.7% 30 70.6%	SAS 84.6% +15.4% MIA 69.2%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	28 31.1% 15 35.4%	SAS 34.1% MIA 36.3% +2.1%
Mid Att. %	29 40.8% 15 33.1%	SAS 43.9% MIA 38.8% −5.2%
3P Att. %	24 28.1% 14 31.4%	SAS 22.0% MIA 25.0% +3.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.38 and 2.38.

Game Totals	SAS	MIA
Possessions	94	95
Possession Minutes	24.1	23.9
Points	106	99
Rebounds	44	36
Assists	20	19
Steals	4	7
Blocks	5	6
Turnovers (Team)	15 (0)	12 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	14 (2)	6 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	30 (5)	30 (1)
Field Goals	37-82	37-80
At-the-Rim FG	13-28	16-29
Midrange FG	14-36	14-31
2-Point FG	27-64	30-60
3-Point FG	10-18	7-20
Free Throws	22-26	18-26
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg