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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
November 1, 2016
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Magic55%107103
2976ers45%105101
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Elfrid Payton
G · 6'4" 185 · 22.7
38.1
31.4
18
49%
3
10
2
1
1
2
0
3
1-3
33%
7-14
4-9
50%
46%
1-3
33%
Evan Fournier
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 24.0
37.2
33.0
17
48%
5
5
1
1
0
2
0
5
2-2
100%
3-11
4-9
27%
50%
3-6
50%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 27.1
32.2
27.3
21
76%
4
0
0
1
2
0
2
2
4-4
100%
7-10
3-6
70%
52%
1-2
50%
Aaron Gordon
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.1
31.6
28.0
7
34%
2
4
3
1
0
2
1
1
1-1
100%
3-6
4-7
50%
52%
0-4
0%
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 26.0
31.4
27.2
24
69%
14
4
1
1
1
1
5
9
2-3
67%
11-16
7-14
69%
51%
0-0
-
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 24.2
20.6
18.0
2
53%
8
2
0
0
1
1
4
4
2-2
100%
0-1
2-3
0%
53%
0-0
-
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 29.0
12.5
17.5
9
45%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
3-4
1-3
75%
44%
1-6
17%
Mario Hezonja
F-G · 6'8" 218 · 21.7
12.2
16.4
2
25%
1
1
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
48%
0-1
0%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 30.2
11.8
23.6
2
20%
2
0
0
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
46%
0-2
0%
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 32.5
8.4
4.6
1
57%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
0-1
-
42%
0-0
-
CJ Wilcox
G · 6'5" 195 · 25.8
3.9
8.4
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-1
0%
Stephen Zimmerman
C · 7'0" 240 · 20.1
7.7
0
1-2
50%
Damjan Rudez
F · 6'10" 228 · 30.4
1.6
0
0-0
56%
Arinze Onuaku
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 29.3
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 29.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Sergio Rodriguez
G · 6'3" 176 · 30.4
32.0
24.7
12
55%
5
11
0
1
0
4
0
5
0-0
-
3-6
3-6
50%
60%
2-5
40%
Dario Saric
F · 6'10" 223 · 22.6
31.5
24.9
21
75%
3
1
1
1
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
6-11
3-6
55%
49%
3-3
100%
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 28.9
31.5
19.3
18
59%
4
1
1
1
0
1
1
3
4-5
80%
7-13
2-5
54%
46%
0-0
-
Robert Covington
F · 6'9" 225 · 25.9
27.8
25.5
0
0%
5
1
3
1
2
1
0
5
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
46%
0-4
0%
Joel Embiid
C · 7'0" 250 · 22.6
24.9
15.3
18
56%
10
3
0
0
4
4
3
7
6-9
67%
6-11
3-6
55%
52%
0-1
0%
Hollis Thompson
F · 6'8" 206 · 25.6
28.2
19.1
22
101%
7
1
0
0
1
0
1
6
2-2
100%
4-6
1-3
67%
43%
4-4
100%
Richaun Holmes
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 23.0
23.1
16.4
6
50%
7
2
0
0
1
2
1
6
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
55%
0-0
-
Nik Stauskas
G · 6'6" 205 · 23.1
21.8
26.3
2
17%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
47%
0-2
0%
T.J. McConnell
G · 6'2" 190 · 24.6
16.0
18.5
2
33%
1
7
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 21.5
3.3
7.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.5
20.7
1
2-4
47%
Jahlil Okafor
C · 6'11" 260 · 20.9
16.9
0
4-8
51%
Nerlens Noel
C · 6'11" 220 · 22.6
Ben Simmons
G-F · 6'10" 230 · 20.3
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.