Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	22	Kings	38%	99	96	91.4	105	96.3
	20	Heat	62%	103	108	104.9	103	92.1

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Rudy Gay F · 6'8" 230 · 30	42.1	30	58%	12	1	1	0	2	2	0	12	6-6	100%	9-20	45%	2-4	50%
Arron Afflalo G · 6'5" 210 · 31	41.1	18	50%	3	0	1	0	2	4	0	3	3-3	100%	6-12	50%	1-5	20%
Ty Lawson G · 5'11" 195 · 29	37.0	2	17%	5	4	0	0	1	3	0	5	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-2	0%
DeMarcus Cousins C · 6'11" 270 · 26	35.0	30	63%	7	4	0	1	4	6	1	6	14-18	78%	8-16	50%	0-0	-
Matt Barnes F · 6'7" 226 · 37	23.0	0	0%	8	2	1	0	3	2	3	5	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-5	0%

Garrett Temple G-F · 6'5" 195 · 30	29.9	2	20%	4	0	0	2	1	2	2	2	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-1	0%
Kosta Koufos C · 7'0" 265 · 28	25.1	6	75%	9	0	0	1	1	2	2	7	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-1	0%
Ben McLemore G · 6'5" 195 · 24	18.2	3	21%	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-3	0%	1-4	25%
Anthony Tolliver F · 6'8" 240 · 31	13.7	5	83%	4	0	0	0	1	2	1	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-1	100%
Willie Cauley-Stein C · 7'0" 240 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Darren Collison G · 6'2" 185 · 29	\| NWT - NBA Suspension
Skal Labissière F-C · 6'10" 235 · 21	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Malachi Richardson G · 6'6" 205 · 21	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Omri Casspi #18 · F · 6'9" 225 · 28	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Georgios Papagiannis #13 · C · 7'1" 240 · 19	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	96	46%	53	12	4	4	15	0	9	44	23-27	85%	29-66	44%	5-23	22%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

22 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Rudy Gay F · 6'8" 230 · 30	42.1	30	58%	12	1	1	0	2	2	0	12	6-6	100%	9-20	45%	2-4	50%
Arron Afflalo G · 6'5" 210 · 31	41.1	18	50%	3	0	1	0	2	4	0	3	3-3	100%	6-12	50%	1-5	20%
Ty Lawson G · 5'11" 195 · 29	37.0	2	17%	5	4	0	0	1	3	0	5	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-2	0%
DeMarcus Cousins C · 6'11" 270 · 26	35.0	30	63%	7	4	0	1	4	6	1	6	14-18	78%	8-16	50%	0-0	-
Matt Barnes F · 6'7" 226 · 37	23.0	0	0%	8	2	1	0	3	2	3	5	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-5	0%

Garrett Temple G-F · 6'5" 195 · 30	29.9	2	20%	4	0	0	2	1	2	2	2	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-1	0%
Kosta Koufos C · 7'0" 265 · 28	25.1	6	75%	9	0	0	1	1	2	2	7	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-1	0%
Ben McLemore G · 6'5" 195 · 24	18.2	3	21%	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-3	0%	1-4	25%
Anthony Tolliver F · 6'8" 240 · 31	13.7	5	83%	4	0	0	0	1	2	1	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-1	100%
Willie Cauley-Stein C · 7'0" 240 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Darren Collison G · 6'2" 185 · 29	\| NWT - NBA Suspension
Skal Labissière F-C · 6'10" 235 · 21	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Malachi Richardson G · 6'6" 205 · 21	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Omri Casspi #18 · F · 6'9" 225 · 28	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Georgios Papagiannis #13 · C · 7'1" 240 · 19	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	96	46%	53	12	4	4	15	0	9	44	23-27	85%	29-66	44%	5-23	22%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

20 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Dion Waiters G · 6'4" 215 · 25	42.4	20	59%	4	4	1	2	3	1	0	4	5-7	71%	6-11	55%	1-3	33%
Goran Dragic G · 6'3" 190 · 30	41.1	25	74%	7	8	2	2	3	2	1	6	4-7	57%	3-6	50%	5-8	63%
Justise Winslow F · 6'7" 225 · 21	40.6	9	28%	3	7	1	0	2	3	1	2	1-2	50%	1-10	10%	2-5	40%
Hassan Whiteside C · 7'0" 265 · 27	27.8	14	50%	11	0	1	2	5	5	2	9	2-4	50%	6-13	46%	0-0	-
Luke Babbitt F · 6'9" 225 · 27	24.0	10	56%	2	0	1	0	0	2	0	2	1-1	100%	0-0	-	3-9	33%

Tyler Johnson G · 6'3" 186 · 24	32.3	22	92%	4	2	2	2	1	1	0	4	6-6	100%	5-9	56%	2-2	100%
James Johnson F · 6'8" 240 · 30	18.0	4	33%	7	1	1	1	1	1	0	7	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	0-2	0%
Udonis Haslem F · 6'8" 235 · 36	15.8	0	0%	4	1	1	0	0	5	1	3	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-0	-
Rodney McGruder G-F · 6'4" 200 · 25	13.6	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Willie Reed · 6'11" 245 · 26	9.4	4	100%	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Josh Richardson F · 6'6" 200 · 23	\| DND - Sprained Right MCL
Derrick Williams F · 6'8" 240 · 25	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Josh McRoberts · 6'10" 240 · 30	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Wayne Ellington #2 · G · 6'5" 200 · 29	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Chris Bosh #1 · F · 6'11" 235 · 33	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	108	55%	45	24	10	9	15	0	6	39	21-29	72%	24-57	42%	13-29	45%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	MIA
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	MIA

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

SAC

0.91 45.7%

MIA

1.10 55.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAC

16

27

59%

MIA

15

29

52%

Midrange

SAC

13

39

33%

MIA

9

28

32%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAC

5

7.5

23

22%

33%

MIA

13

19.5

29

45%

67%

Free Throws

SAC

23

27

85%

MIA

21

29

72%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
R. Gay	30	58%	15.0 / 26
D. Cousins	30	63%	15.0 / 24
A. Afflalo	18	50%	9.0 / 18
K. Koufos	6	75%	3.0 / 4
A. Tolliver	5	83%	2.5 / 3
B. McLemore	3	21%	1.5 / 7
T. Lawson	2	17%	1.0 / 6
G. Temple	2	20%	1.0 / 5
M. Barnes	0	-	0.0 / 7

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
G. Dragic	25	74%	12.5 / 17
T. Johnson	22	92%	11.0 / 12
D. Waiters	20	59%	10.0 / 17
H. Whiteside	14	50%	7.0 / 14
L. Babbitt	10	56%	5.0 / 9
J. Winslow	9	28%	4.5 / 16
J. Johnson	4	33%	2.0 / 6
W. Reed	4	100%	2.0 / 2
U. Haslem	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	21 107.4 18 108.1	SAC 91.4 MIA 104.9 +13.4
Pace	23 94.8 21 95.0	SAC 96.3 +4.2 MIA 92.1
Avg. Poss. Time	10 15.3 5 15.7	SAC 15.0 −0.7 MIA 15.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	14 51.6% 15 51.2%	SAC 41.0% MIA 50.6% +9.6%
TO %	24 14.7% 8 13.2%	SAC 12.9% −1.8% MIA 14.7%
ORB %	26 21.0% 11 24.2%	SAC 18.8% +6.8% MIA 12.0%
FTrt	10 28.4 26 25.1	SAC 30.3 MIA 33.7 +3.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	11 59.4% 24 54.4%	SAC 35.3% MIA 64.9% +29.6%
STL %	17 8.0% 21 7.5%	SAC 3.8% MIA 9.7% +5.9%
BLK %	20 7.4% 6 9.3%	SAC 7.0% MIA 13.6% +6.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	14 54.3% 20 52.8%	SAC 45.7% MIA 55.1% +9.4%
Rim FG%	16 58.8% 12 59.2%	SAC 59.3% +7.6% MIA 51.7%
Mid FG%	20 40.2% 26 39.4%	SAC 33.3% +1.2% MIA 32.1%
3P %	5 37.6% 12 36.5%	SAC 21.7% MIA 44.8% +23.1%
FT %	16 77.5% 30 70.6%	SAC 85.2% +12.8% MIA 72.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	13 35.8% 15 35.4%	SAC 30.3% MIA 33.7% +3.4%
Mid Att. %	19 35.1% 15 33.1%	SAC 43.8% MIA 32.6% −11.3%
3P Att. %	20 29.1% 14 31.4%	SAC 25.8% MIA 33.7% +7.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.38 and 2.38.

Game Totals	SAC	MIA
Possessions	105	103
Possession Minutes	26.2	26.8
Points	96	108
Rebounds	53	45
Assists	12	24
Steals	4	10
Blocks	4	9
Turnovers (Team)	15 (0)	15 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (6)	6 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	44 (1)	39 (3)
Field Goals	34-89	37-86
At-the-Rim FG	16-27	15-29
Midrange FG	13-39	9-28
2-Point FG	29-66	24-57
3-Point FG	5-23	13-29
Free Throws	23-27	21-29
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg