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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
November 1, 2016
7:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Kings38%9996
22Heat62%103108
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 30.2
42
31
30
12
1
1
1
0
2
0
12
6-6
100%
9-20
5-11
45%
47%
2-4
50%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 31.0
41
27
18
3
0
1
0
0
2
0
3
3-3
100%
6-12
2-5
50%
45%
1-5
20%
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 29.0
37
28
2
5
4
0
1
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
45%
0-2
0%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 26.2
35
31
30
7
4
0
1
1
4
1
6
14-18
78%
8-16
6-13
50%
47%
0-0
-
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 36.6
23
26
0
8
2
1
1
0
3
3
5
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
47%
0-5
0%
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 30.5
30
19
2
4
0
0
1
2
1
2
2
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
45%
0-1
0%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 27.7
25
22
6
9
0
0
1
1
1
2
7
0-0
-
3-3
3-6
100%
50%
0-1
0%
Ben McLemore
G · 6'5" 195 · 23.7
18
20
3
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
2-5
0%
47%
1-4
25%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 31.4
14
14
5
4
0
0
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
51%
1-1
100%
Willie Cauley-Stein
C · 7'0" 240 · 23.2
12
0
2-3
52%
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 29.2
9
0
1-2
48%
Skal Labissiere
F-C · 6'11" 225 · 20.6
4
0
0-1
47%
Malachi Richardson
G · 6'6" 205 · 20.8
2
0
0-0
44%
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 28.4
Georgios Papagiannis
C · 7'1" 240 · 19.3
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.9
42
32
20
4
4
1
1
2
3
0
4
5-7
71%
6-11
3-6
55%
45%
1-3
33%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 30.5
41
32
25
7
8
2
1
2
3
1
6
4-7
57%
3-6
5-10
50%
54%
5-8
63%
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 20.6
41
34
9
3
7
1
1
0
2
1
2
1-2
50%
1-10
4-8
10%
50%
2-5
40%
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 27.4
28
29
14
11
0
1
1
2
5
2
9
2-4
50%
6-13
6-10
46%
61%
0-0
-
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 27.4
24
21
10
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
0-0
2-4
-
45%
3-9
33%
Tyler Johnson
G · 6'3" 186 · 24.5
32
28
22
4
2
2
1
2
1
0
4
6-6
100%
5-9
3-6
56%
51%
2-2
100%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 29.7
18
18
4
7
1
1
1
1
1
0
7
2-2
100%
1-3
2-3
33%
54%
0-2
0%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 36.4
16
2
0
4
1
1
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-3
0-0
0%
49%
0-0
-
Rodney McGruder
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 25.3
14
18
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
46%
0-0
-
Willie Reed
· 6'11" 245 · 26.5
9
15
4
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
55%
0-0
-
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 23.1
7
0
0-1
45%
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.4
6
0
1-2
51%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 29.7
4
0
0-1
51%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 28.9
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 32.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.