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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
November 1, 2016
10:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Warriors
127
11Trail Blazers
104
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 28.1
31
36
20
5
2
4
1
1
2
1
4
2-3
67%
9-12
7-14
75%
54%
0-3
0%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 26.7
30
37
14
5
4
0
1
0
2
2
3
2-2
100%
6-10
4-9
60%
49%
0-7
0%
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 26.7
30
35
6
8
9
3
2
2
0
0
8
1-2
50%
1-1
3-7
100%
51%
1-2
50%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 28.6
30
33
28
4
3
1
2
0
4
1
3
3-4
75%
5-11
4-8
45%
52%
5-10
50%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 32.7
19
20
5
6
2
0
1
0
0
1
5
1-2
50%
2-3
2-4
67%
46%
0-0
-
Ian Clark
G · 6'3" 175 · 25.7
25
12
22
2
1
3
0
0
1
0
2
3-3
100%
5-5
1-2
100%
49%
3-3
100%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 32.8
24
28
11
5
5
0
1
0
1
0
5
2-3
67%
3-6
2-3
50%
54%
1-1
100%
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 31.1
18
15
6
1
5
2
1
0
3
0
1
2-2
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
51%
0-0
-
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 36.2
11
9
4
4
3
1
0
1
0
0
4
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
49%
0-0
-
James Michael McAdoo
· 6'9" 230 · 23.8
9
4
5
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
2-3
1-1
67%
51%
0-0
-
Kevon Looney
F · 6'9" 220 · 20.7
8
5
2
4
1
0
0
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-1
33%
51%
0-0
-
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 28.8
6
3
4
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
54%
0-0
-
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 34.1
2
0
0-0
49%
Patrick McCaw
G · 6'7" 185 · 21.0
Damian Jones
C · 7'0" 245 · 21.3
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Damian Lillard
G · 6'3" 195 · 26.3
32
36
31
1
2
1
1
0
1
0
1
11-13
85%
4-9
6-13
44%
46%
4-10
40%
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 26.1
30
27
6
10
3
3
1
1
3
1
9
0-2
0%
3-5
2-3
60%
47%
0-6
0%
CJ McCollum
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.1
26
36
16
4
2
1
1
0
4
1
3
2-2
100%
4-7
6-13
57%
46%
2-5
40%
Maurice Harkless
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.5
26
28
6
2
0
0
1
2
0
1
1
0-0
-
3-8
3-6
38%
53%
0-3
0%
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 26.7
22
27
6
5
6
2
1
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
3-5
3-7
60%
52%
0-0
-
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 28.0
21
23
14
1
2
1
1
0
3
0
1
3-4
75%
4-5
3-7
80%
45%
1-1
100%
Allen Crabbe
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 24.6
20
28
2
1
0
1
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
50%
0-1
0%
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 27.4
16
15
0
3
1
0
0
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-4
2-3
0%
56%
0-0
-
Noah Vonleh
F · 6'9" 245 · 21.2
12
10
6
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
46%
2-5
40%
Shabazz Napier
G · 6'1" 175 · 25.3
10
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
37%
0-1
0%
Meyers Leonard
C · 7'1" 255 · 24.7
10
10
0
2
3
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
51%
0-0
-
Jake Layman
F · 6'9" 210 · 22.7
8
3
17
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
47%
5-7
71%
Pat Connaughton
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 23.8
8
1
0
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
41%
0-0
-
Tim Quarterman
G · 6'6" 190 · 22.0
Festus Ezeli
C · 6'11" 265 · 27.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.