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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 2, 2016
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Raptors53%105113
19Wizards47%104103
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 27.2
37
37
40
5
5
2
1
0
1
1
4
11-16
69%
13-21
9-20
62%
45%
1-2
50%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 30.6
36
36
18
1
2
4
2
0
3
0
1
1-2
50%
4-7
4-10
57%
46%
3-6
50%
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 24.5
31
31
10
7
3
0
1
0
1
0
7
2-2
100%
4-6
6-12
67%
55%
0-0
-
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 30.3
22
29
7
1
0
2
1
1
1
0
1
2-4
50%
1-2
2-4
50%
48%
1-5
20%
Pascal Siakam
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.6
18
16
4
3
0
1
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
49%
0-0
-
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 27.6
30
31
10
3
2
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
50%
2-6
33%
Terrence Ross
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 25.7
18
16
15
2
2
2
1
0
1
1
1
1-1
100%
4-5
1-3
80%
46%
2-3
67%
Jakob Poeltl
C · 7'0" 230 · 21.1
17
15
0
5
0
1
0
1
1
1
4
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
50%
0-0
-
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.2
17
22
4
1
3
3
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
3-6
67%
49%
0-1
0%
Norman Powell
F-G · 6'4" 215 · 23.4
15
4
5
3
4
1
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
45%
1-2
50%
Bruno Caboclo
F · 6'9" 205 · 21.1
4
0
0-1
47%
Fred VanVleet
G · 6'0" 195 · 22.7
3
0
0-1
42%
Lucas Nogueira
C · 7'0" 220 · 24.3
3
0
0-0
53%
Delon Wright
G · 6'5" 190 · 24.5
Jared Sullinger
C-F · 6'9" 260 · 24.7
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 32.7
43
31
15
10
2
1
1
2
1
1
9
3-4
75%
6-10
4-8
60%
55%
0-0
-
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 23.3
39
29
15
1
2
0
1
2
1
0
1
3-6
50%
3-9
4-8
33%
46%
2-4
50%
Otto Porter Jr.
F · 6'8" 198 · 23.4
38
30
23
13
0
1
1
0
2
4
9
1-1
100%
11-12
3-6
92%
52%
0-1
0%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 26.2
37
33
33
5
11
3
2
1
9
1
4
7-9
78%
13-16
5-11
81%
45%
0-3
0%
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 27.2
36
27
6
3
2
1
1
0
2
0
3
1-2
50%
1-5
4-8
20%
48%
1-2
50%
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 29.4
14
15
5
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
2-4
2-3
50%
46%
0-0
-
Tomas Satoransky
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 25.0
10
4
2
2
2
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
48%
0-0
-
Andrew Nicholson
F · 6'9" 250 · 26.9
9
19
4
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-1
0%
2-4
2-5
50%
51%
0-0
-
Kelly Oubre Jr.
F · 6'7" 205 · 20.9
7
16
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
49%
0-0
-
Trey Burke
G · 6'1" 191 · 24.0
6
15
0
1
0
0
0
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
44%
0-0
-
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 30.7
7
0
1-3
47%
Sheldon Mac
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 23.9
4
0
0-1
47%
Daniel Ochefu
F · 6'11" 245 · 22.9
3
0
0-1
49%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 30.0
Danuel House
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 23.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.