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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 2, 2016
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Bulls44%106100
7Celtics56%108107
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 27.1
36
29
23
9
2
0
1
0
2
2
7
5-5
100%
6-16
4-9
38%
47%
2-5
40%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 34.8
35
26
15
1
4
2
1
0
0
0
1
5-6
83%
5-10
5-11
50%
47%
0-3
0%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 30.7
34
27
12
9
5
1
1
1
4
2
7
0-0
-
6-9
3-6
67%
46%
0-2
0%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.4
26
25
8
9
3
2
1
2
4
5
4
2-3
67%
3-12
4-8
25%
50%
0-0
-
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 28.6
14
21
8
5
0
0
0
2
2
3
2
2-4
50%
3-6
3-6
50%
52%
0-0
-
Nikola Mirotic
F · 6'10" 238 · 25.7
35
25
17
6
1
0
1
1
2
0
6
8-11
73%
0-0
2-4
-
46%
3-6
50%
Isaiah Canaan
G · 6'0" 200 · 25.5
19
18
4
0
3
1
1
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
0-1
1-2
0%
38%
1-3
33%
Jerian Grant
G · 6'4" 198 · 24.1
13
14
6
2
3
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-3
1-3
100%
44%
0-0
-
Bobby Portis
F · 6'11" 248 · 21.7
11
6
4
7
0
0
0
1
1
3
4
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
45%
0-0
-
Cristiano Felicio
C-F · 6'9" 280 · 24.3
10
18
0
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
50%
0-0
-
Denzel Valentine
F · 6'6" 214 · 23.0
7
7
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
45%
1-1
100%
RJ Hunter
G · 6'5" 185 · 23.0
9
0
0-1
44%
Paul Zipser
F · 6'8" 226 · 22.7
5
0
0-1
45%
Michael Carter-Williams
G · 6'6" 190 · 25.1
Doug McDermott
F · 6'8" 219 · 24.8
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 25.9
39
35
13
5
4
0
1
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
5-8
4-9
63%
49%
1-7
14%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 27.7
36
33
23
2
10
3
1
1
3
1
1
3-4
75%
4-11
5-10
36%
48%
4-7
57%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 29.5
30
19
23
6
3
3
1
2
0
1
5
1-2
50%
5-7
2-4
71%
59%
4-4
100%
Tyler Zeller
C · 7'0" 250 · 26.8
25
15
11
4
0
1
0
0
0
3
1
1-2
50%
5-11
3-6
45%
51%
0-0
-
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 26.3
14
32
10
5
1
0
2
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
2-4
3-5
50%
52%
2-2
100%
Marcus Smart
G · 6'4" 220 · 22.7
34
27
7
5
5
1
1
1
6
0
5
2-4
50%
1-2
2-4
50%
43%
1-6
17%
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 29.7
22
16
6
6
2
1
0
0
0
1
5
2-2
100%
2-5
1-2
40%
46%
0-0
-
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 30.8
14
12
4
1
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
1-1
1-3
100%
46%
0-2
0%
Terry Rozier
G · 6'2" 190 · 22.6
13
22
7
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-1
0%
2-4
2-4
50%
42%
1-2
50%
Jaylen Brown
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 20.0
8
17
3
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
49%
1-2
50%
Jordan Mickey
C-F · 6'8" 235 · 22.3
6
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
0-0
-
James Young
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 21.2
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Demetrius Jackson
G · 6'1" 201 · 22.2
3
0
0-1
44%
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 25.5
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 30.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.