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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
November 3, 2016
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Nuggets48%108102
16Timberwolves52%10999
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 28.2
37
35
19
5
2
0
1
0
1
0
5
3-3
100%
2-2
3-8
100%
44%
4-7
57%
Emmanuel Mudiay
G · 6'3" 200 · 20.7
33
31
12
6
3
5
1
0
6
0
6
4-4
100%
4-14
4-10
29%
40%
0-4
0%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 19.7
29
12
0
3
4
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-4
1-2
0%
43%
0-4
0%
Jusuf Nurkic
C · 7'0" 280 · 22.2
27
29
18
5
1
2
1
1
1
2
3
4-7
57%
7-13
5-12
54%
46%
0-0
-
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 21.7
14
24
8
3
5
0
1
0
1
1
2
2-4
50%
3-3
4-7
100%
53%
0-0
-
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 34.7
34
18
14
7
7
1
1
0
5
1
6
2-2
100%
3-6
1-3
50%
44%
2-4
50%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 29.5
27
29
19
6
0
1
1
0
2
2
4
3-5
60%
8-10
3-6
80%
48%
0-2
0%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 27.0
19
21
8
5
1
1
1
1
2
1
4
0-0
-
4-4
4-7
100%
53%
0-0
-
Juancho Hernangomez
F · 6'9" 230 · 21.1
11
2
2
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
46%
0-0
-
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.6
9
17
2
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Malik Beasley
G · 6'5" 196 · 19.9
5
0
0-1
45%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 36.7
2
0
0-0
40%
Jarnell Stokes
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 22.8
1
0
0-0
50%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 22.1
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 25.8
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Karl-Anthony Towns
C · 7'0" 248 · 21.0
38
32
32
14
2
1
1
2
2
5
9
8-10
80%
9-15
7-12
60%
56%
2-4
50%
Zach LaVine
G · 6'5" 185 · 21.7
36
31
14
5
3
1
1
0
0
1
4
4-6
67%
2-7
3-7
29%
49%
2-6
33%
Andrew Wiggins
F · 6'8" 202 · 21.7
35
31
25
3
1
0
1
0
1
1
2
5-5
100%
7-15
6-11
47%
49%
2-3
67%
Kris Dunn
G · 6'4" 210 · 22.6
30
24
3
5
9
3
1
0
4
1
4
1-2
50%
1-5
2-4
20%
48%
0-1
0%
Gorgui Dieng
C · 6'11" 251 · 26.8
28
32
2
4
2
0
1
1
4
2
2
0-0
-
1-6
5-8
17%
54%
0-0
-
Nemanja Bjelica
F · 6'10" 230 · 28.5
22
16
14
8
1
0
0
0
4
2
6
2-2
100%
3-8
1-2
38%
54%
2-5
40%
Tyus Jones
G · 6'2" 184 · 20.5
18
14
2
2
1
2
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
45%
0-2
0%
Shabazz Muhammad
G-F · 6'6" 221 · 24.0
13
17
5
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-4
3-6
25%
51%
1-1
100%
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 31.3
12
15
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 28.0
9
11
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
56%
0-0
-
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 29.3
5
0
1-2
49%
Adreian Payne
· 6'10" 237 · 25.7
3
0
0-1
45%
John Lucas III
G · 5'11" 166 · 34.0
2
0
0-1
42%
Ricky Rubio
G · 6'4" 190 · 26.0
Nikola Pekovic
C · 6'11" 307 · 30.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.