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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 4, 2016
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Hawks
92
18Wizards
95
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 31.7
33
32
16
7
2
4
2
0
3
1
6
5-10
50%
4-11
5-10
36%
49%
1-3
33%
Dennis Schroder
G · 6'1" 172 · 23.1
33
28
20
7
3
0
1
0
4
1
6
6-8
75%
7-13
4-9
54%
46%
0-3
0%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 30.9
29
28
20
12
1
2
1
0
4
5
7
6-12
50%
7-12
5-8
58%
58%
0-0
-
Kent Bazemore
G · 6'5" 201 · 27.3
27
28
0
3
5
1
1
2
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-4
3-5
0%
48%
0-3
0%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 35.6
21
27
3
3
2
1
1
0
4
0
3
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
48%
1-6
17%
Tim Hardaway Jr.
F-G · 6'6" 205 · 24.6
28
18
10
4
3
1
0
0
1
0
4
4-4
100%
3-4
1-3
75%
48%
0-3
0%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 32.5
27
20
5
2
3
2
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
53%
1-2
50%
Mike Muscala
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 25.3
22
18
10
7
0
1
0
0
1
1
6
0-0
-
5-5
2-4
100%
55%
0-2
0%
Malcolm Delaney
G · 6'3" 190 · 27.7
15
17
8
0
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-2
1-3
0%
43%
2-3
67%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.7
6
14
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
47%
0-0
-
Ryan Kelly
F · 6'11" 230 · 25.6
4
0
0-1
41%
Taurean Prince
F · 6'8" 220 · 22.6
3
0
0-1
47%
DeAndre' Bembry
F-G · 6'6" 210 · 22.3
3
0
0-1
46%
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 28.3
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 31.8
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 23.4
39
33
28
2
3
0
1
1
5
1
1
13-14
93%
3-8
4-9
38%
46%
3-8
38%
Otto Porter Jr.
F · 6'8" 198 · 23.4
38
34
8
0
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
4-4
4-7
100%
54%
0-3
0%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 26.2
33
35
21
10
6
2
2
0
2
3
7
6-8
75%
6-15
6-13
40%
46%
1-2
50%
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 27.2
33
31
18
9
1
3
1
1
2
0
9
7-9
78%
4-10
4-9
40%
48%
1-3
33%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 32.7
31
36
12
15
0
1
1
1
2
5
10
2-2
100%
5-8
5-10
63%
55%
0-0
-
Tomas Satoransky
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 25.0
22
8
4
3
1
0
0
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
1-1
67%
47%
0-3
0%
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 29.4
17
15
4
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-4
2-3
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 30.7
14
4
0
4
0
0
0
0
3
1
3
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
47%
0-0
-
Andrew Nicholson
F · 6'9" 250 · 26.9
7
14
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-2
0%
0-2
2-3
0%
51%
0-0
-
Trey Burke
G · 6'1" 191 · 24.0
7
11
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
44%
0-0
-
Kelly Oubre Jr.
F · 6'7" 205 · 20.9
11
0
1-2
49%
Sheldon Mac
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 23.9
2
0
0-0
46%
Daniel Ochefu
F · 6'11" 245 · 22.9
2
0
0-0
49%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 30.0
Danuel House
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 23.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.