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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 4, 2016
7:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Heat35%10087
8Raptors65%10596
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 20.6
39
35
13
3
4
2
1
0
1
1
2
3-4
75%
5-16
4-8
31%
46%
0-2
0%
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 27.4
38
27
21
16
3
2
1
1
3
5
11
1-3
33%
10-18
6-9
56%
59%
0-0
-
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 30.5
36
34
17
5
5
1
1
0
4
1
4
2-2
100%
3-9
5-10
33%
51%
3-5
60%
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 27.4
27
21
3
5
0
0
0
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
42%
1-5
20%
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.9
24
34
4
2
3
1
1
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-6
3-7
33%
43%
0-2
0%
Tyler Johnson
G · 6'3" 186 · 24.5
30
28
16
4
2
3
1
2
1
0
4
2-2
100%
1-2
3-6
50%
49%
4-8
50%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 29.7
19
17
11
3
2
0
1
1
1
1
2
2-2
100%
3-5
2-3
60%
52%
1-3
33%
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 23.1
12
7
0
1
0
1
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
43%
0-2
0%
Willie Reed
· 6'11" 245 · 26.5
10
12
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-2
0%
0-1
2-3
0%
52%
0-0
-
Rodney McGruder
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 25.3
6
15
2
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
42%
0-1
0%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 36.4
9
0
1-2
45%
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.4
6
0
1-2
48%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 29.7
4
0
0-1
49%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 32.6
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 28.9
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 30.6
41
35
13
8
5
3
2
3
5
4
4
3-3
100%
2-7
4-9
29%
47%
2-8
25%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 27.2
37
36
34
4
4
0
1
0
4
1
3
6-6
100%
14-24
9-20
58%
46%
0-2
0%
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 24.5
28
30
5
11
0
1
1
2
2
2
9
3-4
75%
1-2
6-11
50%
56%
0-0
-
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 30.3
20
26
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
49%
0-1
0%
Pascal Siakam
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.6
16
16
8
3
0
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
4-6
2-3
67%
50%
0-0
-
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 27.6
29
30
4
7
1
1
1
0
1
1
6
0-0
-
2-4
2-3
50%
51%
0-4
0%
Terrence Ross
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 25.7
21
17
20
4
0
1
1
0
0
0
4
1-1
100%
5-8
1-3
63%
48%
3-7
43%
Jakob Poeltl
C · 7'0" 230 · 21.1
20
16
4
6
0
1
0
0
1
4
2
2-2
100%
1-4
2-3
25%
51%
0-0
-
Norman Powell
F-G · 6'4" 215 · 23.4
14
9
6
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
1-1
1-2
100%
46%
1-1
100%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.2
13
20
2
4
3
0
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
3-5
50%
50%
0-2
0%
Bruno Caboclo
F · 6'9" 205 · 21.1
4
0
0-1
48%
Fred VanVleet
G · 6'0" 195 · 22.7
3
0
0-0
43%
Lucas Nogueira
C · 7'0" 220 · 24.3
2
0
0-0
55%
Jared Sullinger
C-F · 6'9" 260 · 24.7
Delon Wright
G · 6'5" 190 · 24.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.