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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 4, 2016
8:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Trail Blazers
105
13Mavericks
95
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Damian Lillard
G · 6'3" 195 · 26.3
37
34
42
4
4
0
1
0
1
0
4
13-14
93%
7-12
5-12
58%
47%
5-6
83%
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 26.7
34
22
19
4
4
4
1
1
2
1
3
5-5
100%
7-9
3-6
78%
52%
0-0
-
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 26.1
33
25
12
10
3
1
1
1
1
3
7
1-2
50%
1-5
2-3
20%
47%
3-8
38%
Maurice Harkless
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.5
32
28
9
1
3
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-5
3-6
60%
53%
1-3
33%
CJ McCollum
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.1
23
32
9
5
2
0
1
0
1
1
4
0-1
0%
3-6
5-10
50%
47%
1-5
20%
Allen Crabbe
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 24.6
33
28
4
6
3
3
1
1
3
0
6
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
51%
0-5
0%
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 28.0
25
22
5
7
0
0
1
0
4
0
7
2-2
100%
0-6
3-7
0%
46%
1-2
50%
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 27.4
9
15
2
3
0
0
0
0
1
2
1
0-2
0%
1-1
2-3
100%
57%
0-0
-
Shabazz Napier
G · 6'1" 175 · 25.3
9
4
3
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
39%
1-2
50%
Meyers Leonard
C · 7'1" 255 · 24.7
4
16
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
52%
0-0
-
Noah Vonleh
F · 6'9" 245 · 21.2
7
0
1-1
46%
Jake Layman
F · 6'9" 210 · 22.7
4
0
0-1
49%
Pat Connaughton
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 23.8
3
0
0-1
44%
Festus Ezeli
C · 6'11" 265 · 27.0
Tim Quarterman
G · 6'6" 190 · 22.0
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.4
37
31
12
5
6
1
1
0
2
0
5
5-6
83%
2-7
3-7
29%
45%
1-7
14%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 24.4
35
35
17
10
0
0
1
0
2
2
8
0-0
-
7-13
4-8
54%
49%
1-4
25%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 32.4
30
28
23
0
6
0
1
0
3
0
0
4-4
100%
2-9
3-7
22%
47%
5-8
63%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 30.1
29
35
7
0
1
0
1
0
3
0
0
4-5
80%
0-4
2-5
0%
48%
1-2
50%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 38.4
16
24
5
7
1
0
1
1
0
0
7
1-1
100%
2-6
4-8
33%
49%
0-0
-
Seth Curry
G · 6'2" 185 · 26.2
26
17
8
3
1
1
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
48%
2-5
40%
Dwight Powell
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 25.3
23
16
7
8
3
3
1
1
0
2
6
3-4
75%
2-3
2-4
67%
52%
0-0
-
Justin Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 23.0
18
19
6
2
0
0
1
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
3-4
2-3
75%
51%
0-1
0%
Salah Mejri
C · 7'2" 235 · 30.4
13
8
8
6
0
0
0
0
0
0
6
0-0
-
4-4
1-1
100%
57%
0-0
-
Quincy Acy
F · 6'7" 240 · 26.1
11
3
2
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
53%
0-1
0%
AJ Hammons
C · 7'0" 260 · 24.2
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
51%
0-0
-
Dorian Finney-Smith
F · 6'8" 220 · 23.5
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Nicolas Brussino
· 6'8" 195 · 23.7
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
49%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 33.7
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 31.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.