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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
November 5, 2016
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Wizards36%10286
22Magic64%10788
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 27.2
38
31
18
7
3
0
1
2
2
1
6
7-9
78%
4-12
4-9
33%
48%
1-4
25%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 32.7
37
33
8
14
2
1
1
0
2
4
10
2-4
50%
3-10
5-8
30%
55%
0-0
-
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 23.4
33
35
15
4
3
1
1
1
0
2
2
2-2
100%
5-12
4-9
42%
45%
1-5
20%
Tomas Satoransky
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 25.0
32
14
8
2
3
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-1
0%
4-7
1-3
57%
47%
0-0
-
Otto Porter Jr.
F · 6'8" 198 · 23.4
29
35
10
13
0
0
1
0
0
3
10
0-0
-
2-5
4-7
40%
54%
2-3
67%
Kelly Oubre Jr.
F · 6'7" 205 · 20.9
17
7
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
1-1
25%
49%
1-1
100%
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 29.4
17
16
9
4
0
0
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
45%
1-3
33%
Trey Burke
G · 6'1" 191 · 24.0
16
9
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-5
1-2
40%
43%
0-0
-
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 30.7
11
9
0
1
0
0
0
2
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
47%
0-0
-
Andrew Nicholson
F · 6'9" 250 · 26.9
10
11
9
4
0
1
0
0
1
3
1
1-1
100%
4-9
1-3
44%
50%
0-1
0%
Danuel House
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 23.4
11
0
1-2
46%
Sheldon Mac
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 23.9
2
0
0-0
46%
Daniel Ochefu
F · 6'11" 245 · 22.9
2
0
0-0
48%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 30.0
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 26.2
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Evan Fournier
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 24.0
30
34
13
2
2
0
1
0
2
0
2
7-8
88%
0-2
5-9
0%
51%
2-6
33%
Elfrid Payton
G · 6'4" 185 · 22.7
29
33
6
1
3
0
1
0
2
1
0
1-2
50%
1-5
4-9
20%
47%
1-3
33%
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 26.0
26
29
6
9
1
0
1
1
0
2
7
0-2
0%
3-6
7-14
50%
52%
0-0
-
Aaron Gordon
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.1
24
30
9
4
4
0
1
1
0
1
3
1-2
50%
1-3
4-8
33%
53%
2-4
50%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 27.1
21
30
11
7
0
0
1
0
0
2
5
0-0
-
4-11
4-7
36%
53%
1-2
50%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 30.2
27
18
18
5
3
0
0
1
1
1
4
6-7
86%
3-7
2-4
43%
47%
2-5
40%
Mario Hezonja
F-G · 6'8" 218 · 21.7
26
13
9
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
4-5
1-2
80%
49%
0-4
0%
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 24.2
24
20
9
12
1
0
0
3
1
3
9
1-4
25%
4-6
2-3
67%
54%
0-0
-
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 29.0
20
15
7
0
5
2
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
44%
1-4
25%
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 32.6
13
9
0
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
44%
0-0
-
Stephen Zimmerman
C · 7'0" 240 · 20.2
5
0
0-1
50%
CJ Wilcox
G · 6'5" 195 · 25.9
4
0
0-1
46%
Damjan Rudez
F · 6'10" 228 · 30.4
1
0
0-0
50%
Arinze Onuaku
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 29.3
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 29.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.