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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
November 5, 2016
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Nuggets41%10586
16Pistons59%108103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 28.2
29.1
35.3
16
49%
3
2
0
1
0
0
1
2
4-5
80%
3-7
3-7
43%
44%
2-7
29%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 19.7
27.5
20.8
9
45%
1
2
1
1
0
4
0
1
0-0
-
3-6
1-4
50%
40%
1-4
25%
Emmanuel Mudiay
G · 6'3" 200 · 20.7
24.1
31.4
6
30%
2
3
1
1
0
4
0
2
6-7
86%
0-5
4-11
0%
39%
0-2
0%
Jusuf Nurkic
C · 7'0" 280 · 22.2
23.7
27.4
10
63%
12
1
2
1
1
4
4
8
0-0
-
5-8
5-11
63%
45%
0-0
-
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 21.7
22.7
19.2
6
33%
6
0
1
1
1
1
2
4
0-0
-
3-9
3-5
33%
52%
0-0
-
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 29.5
31.5
27.8
21
56%
9
0
0
1
0
2
3
6
2-2
100%
8-14
3-7
57%
48%
1-4
25%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 34.7
23.6
25.5
3
19%
2
4
3
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-4
2-4
0%
44%
1-4
25%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 27.0
15.7
20.3
4
23%
6
1
0
1
0
0
5
1
2-2
100%
1-8
3-6
13%
52%
0-0
-
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 22.1
15.6
30.1
3
26%
3
1
0
1
0
0
1
2
1-2
50%
1-4
3-6
25%
50%
0-1
0%
Juancho Hernangomez
F · 6'9" 230 · 21.1
10.8
6.8
5
87%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
1-1
-
46%
1-2
50%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.6
6.6
11.6
3
50%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
44%
1-1
100%
Malik Beasley
G · 6'5" 196 · 19.9
5.2
4.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
43%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 36.7
3.9
1.8
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
40%
0-0
-
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 25.8
Jarnell Stokes
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 22.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.3
34.5
33.0
9
39%
4
0
0
1
2
3
0
4
1-1
100%
4-8
5-9
50%
52%
0-3
0%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 23.2
33.9
29.8
19
60%
19
1
1
1
3
4
3
16
7-11
64%
6-11
6-12
55%
53%
0-0
-
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 28.3
28.3
29.5
11
40%
5
8
3
1
0
2
1
4
1-2
50%
5-12
4-9
42%
44%
0-1
0%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 23.7
28.0
33.4
13
59%
1
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
3-6
40%
49%
3-6
50%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.2
27.5
31.3
15
64%
6
0
1
1
0
0
3
3
4-4
100%
4-8
4-8
50%
49%
1-2
50%
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 27.5
28.1
25.3
15
69%
3
3
1
1
1
0
2
1
2-2
100%
5-8
3-7
63%
51%
1-2
50%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 34.3
19.7
16.0
7
58%
3
6
0
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
49%
1-2
50%
Stanley Johnson
F · 6'7" 245 · 20.4
18.6
17.6
12
76%
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
4-4
1-3
100%
43%
1-3
33%
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 29.9
11.6
15.4
0
0%
3
0
1
0
3
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
53%
0-0
-
Darrun Hilliard
G · 6'6" 220 · 23.6
2.5
3.1
0
0%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-1
0%
Michael Gbinije
G-F · 6'7" 200 · 24.4
2.5
1.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
48%
0-0
-
Boban Marjanovic
C · 7'3" 290 · 28.2
2.5
1.7
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
57%
0-0
-
Henry Ellenson
F · 6'11" 245 · 19.8
2.5
1.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
53%
0-0
-
Reggie Bullock
F-G · 6'7" 205 · 25.6
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 26.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.