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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
November 5, 2016
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Bulls40%10694
17Pacers60%110111
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 27.1
32
34
16
4
2
0
1
0
6
0
4
5-6
83%
4-6
5-11
67%
47%
1-1
100%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 30.7
29
29
9
1
5
1
1
0
4
0
1
0-0
-
3-9
3-7
33%
46%
1-2
50%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 28.6
27
22
12
7
0
0
0
2
1
3
4
0-0
-
6-8
4-7
75%
52%
0-0
-
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.4
25
27
9
10
1
1
1
2
2
5
5
1-1
100%
4-8
5-9
50%
50%
0-0
-
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 34.8
22
31
4
1
0
1
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
1-7
6-13
14%
47%
0-2
0%
Doug McDermott
F · 6'8" 219 · 24.8
21
25
12
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
5-6
83%
2-5
3-6
40%
47%
1-2
50%
Bobby Portis
F · 6'11" 248 · 21.7
18
7
16
5
1
0
0
0
0
2
3
1-3
33%
6-8
1-2
75%
45%
1-1
100%
Isaiah Canaan
G · 6'0" 200 · 25.5
14
17
2
0
1
2
1
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
39%
0-1
0%
Nikola Mirotic
F · 6'10" 238 · 25.7
13
26
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
46%
0-4
0%
Cristiano Felicio
C-F · 6'9" 280 · 24.3
13
12
2
3
2
1
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
50%
0-0
-
Jerian Grant
G · 6'4" 198 · 24.1
12
9
8
2
2
2
0
1
0
0
2
3-3
100%
1-4
1-2
25%
45%
1-3
33%
Denzel Valentine
F · 6'6" 214 · 23.0
8
4
4
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
0-1
0-1
0%
45%
1-2
50%
Paul Zipser
F · 6'8" 226 · 22.7
8
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
45%
0-0
-
Michael Carter-Williams
G · 6'6" 190 · 25.1
RJ Hunter
G · 6'5" 185 · 23.0
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 31.0
32
33
2
7
8
2
2
0
1
0
7
0-0
-
1-1
3-7
100%
48%
0-1
0%
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 26.5
29
35
13
6
3
2
2
0
1
2
4
0-0
-
2-5
5-10
40%
47%
3-5
60%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 28.4
29
29
21
1
6
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
6-9
4-8
67%
47%
3-5
60%
Myles Turner
C · 6'11" 255 · 20.6
28
25
16
5
1
2
1
4
1
1
4
6-8
75%
5-12
5-9
42%
52%
0-1
0%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 28.4
25
27
12
5
1
1
1
1
2
3
2
0-0
-
6-8
4-8
75%
52%
0-2
0%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 31.8
22
12
10
0
0
0
0
1
3
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
44%
2-4
50%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 29.6
22
22
20
4
1
0
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
4-7
2-5
57%
48%
4-7
57%
Lavoy Allen
F-C · 6'9" 260 · 27.8
20
14
6
0
3
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
3-4
2-3
75%
50%
0-0
-
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 31.8
17
16
4
6
4
0
0
2
0
1
5
0-0
-
2-7
4-7
29%
50%
0-0
-
Glenn Robinson III
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 22.8
8
8
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-2
0%
1-1
1-2
100%
48%
0-0
-
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 26.9
3
6
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
0-0
-
Joe Young
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.4
3
5
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
2-2
1-2
100%
45%
0-0
-
Georges Niang
F · 6'6" 231 · 23.4
3
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-1
0%
Rakeem Christmas
F · 6'9" 250 · 24.9
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 30.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.