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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
November 6, 2016
3:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Trail Blazers49%107100
15Grizzlies51%10894
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
CJ McCollum
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.1
39.1
28.4
37
72%
4
2
1
1
1
1
0
4
5-6
83%
7-11
4-9
64%
47%
6-12
50%
Maurice Harkless
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.5
34.4
29.5
18
60%
7
0
1
1
2
2
2
5
0-0
-
6-10
3-6
60%
54%
2-5
40%
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 26.1
33.5
28.1
8
37%
4
2
1
1
0
3
1
3
1-2
50%
2-6
2-4
33%
47%
1-4
25%
Damian Lillard
G · 6'3" 195 · 26.3
32.9
34.8
19
60%
7
7
1
1
0
3
1
6
11-11
100%
1-3
5-12
33%
47%
2-8
25%
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 26.7
24.3
26.7
7
62%
6
3
2
1
0
3
1
5
3-6
50%
2-3
4-7
67%
53%
0-0
-
Allen Crabbe
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 24.6
26.8
29.6
6
75%
3
0
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
51%
2-2
100%
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 28.0
22.9
23.3
0
0%
0
4
1
1
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
3-7
-
46%
0-0
-
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 27.4
13.2
12.6
2
53%
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
57%
0-0
-
Meyers Leonard
C · 7'1" 255 · 24.7
10.5
11.9
3
38%
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
52%
1-2
50%
Noah Vonleh
F · 6'9" 245 · 21.2
2.5
5.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Shabazz Napier
G · 6'1" 175 · 25.3
6.1
0
0-1
39%
Jake Layman
F · 6'9" 210 · 22.7
3.2
0
0-1
48%
Pat Connaughton
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 23.8
2.5
0
0-0
43%
Tim Quarterman
G · 6'6" 190 · 22.0
Festus Ezeli
C · 6'11" 265 · 27.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
JaMychal Green
F · 6'9" 227 · 26.4
33.1
23.8
5
36%
8
2
0
1
1
1
4
4
1-2
50%
2-3
3-7
67%
50%
0-3
0%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 29.1
30.6
29.5
16
61%
4
7
2
1
2
2
0
4
5-5
100%
4-6
4-8
67%
47%
1-5
20%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 31.8
27.8
29.1
21
60%
3
2
1
1
0
2
0
3
6-8
75%
6-12
5-11
50%
47%
1-2
50%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 34.8
22.1
18.1
11
81%
7
0
4
1
0
1
2
5
4-4
100%
2-4
3-6
50%
47%
1-1
100%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 28.0
21.6
27.1
0
0%
3
0
0
1
1
2
1
2
0-0
-
0-5
3-6
0%
52%
0-3
0%
James Ennis III
F · 6'7" 210 · 26.4
34.8
30.1
7
44%
3
0
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
50%
1-4
25%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 39.8
25.9
22.5
11
51%
5
1
1
1
0
2
2
3
2-2
100%
3-5
1-3
60%
42%
1-5
20%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 35.3
19.9
21.7
15
63%
7
2
0
1
0
1
1
6
2-2
100%
5-10
5-11
50%
47%
1-1
100%
Andrew Harrison
G · 6'6" 213 · 22.0
17.4
14.1
5
30%
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
2
3-5
60%
1-4
1-2
25%
47%
0-2
0%
Jarell Martin
F · 6'10" 239 · 22.5
6.9
16.1
3
40%
2
0
0
0
1
1
2
0
3-4
75%
0-2
2-4
0%
49%
0-0
-
Wade Baldwin IV
G · 6'4" 202 · 20.6
18.1
1
2-4
45%
Troy Williams
F · 6'7" 218 · 21.9
8.9
0
1-2
49%
Deyonta Davis
C-F · 6'11" 237 · 19.9
5.8
0
1-1
52%
Troy Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 25.3
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 29.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.