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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
November 6, 2016
7:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Nuggets32%107123
5Celtics68%113107
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 28.2
41
32
16
3
3
0
1
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
5-9
3-7
56%
43%
2-4
50%
Emmanuel Mudiay
G · 6'3" 200 · 20.7
39
28
30
8
2
1
1
1
7
2
6
5-5
100%
8-13
4-9
62%
38%
3-5
60%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 21.7
22
21
9
5
2
1
1
1
1
0
5
1-1
100%
4-4
3-6
100%
52%
0-1
0%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 22.1
22
21
12
4
1
1
1
1
0
0
4
1-1
100%
4-8
2-4
50%
50%
1-2
50%
Jusuf Nurkic
C · 7'0" 280 · 22.2
13
26
4
6
2
1
1
1
2
1
5
2-4
50%
1-5
5-11
20%
45%
0-0
-
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 34.7
36
24
9
3
7
1
1
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
43%
1-3
33%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 29.5
25
29
22
5
2
1
1
0
1
0
5
4-5
80%
6-10
4-8
60%
48%
2-4
50%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 27.0
24
18
12
11
1
1
0
1
2
5
6
8-12
67%
2-4
3-6
50%
51%
0-0
-
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 19.7
13
24
9
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
41%
2-4
50%
Juancho Hernangomez
F · 6'9" 230 · 21.1
2
9
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-0
-
Malik Beasley
G · 6'5" 196 · 19.9
2
4
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
42%
0-0
-
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.6
11
0
1-3
44%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 36.7
3
0
0-0
38%
Jarnell Stokes
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 22.8
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 25.8
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 25.9
34
37
14
11
6
0
1
1
0
2
9
1-2
50%
5-12
5-10
42%
51%
1-5
20%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 27.7
33
33
30
1
5
1
1
0
4
0
1
11-12
92%
8-13
5-11
62%
49%
1-4
25%
Tyler Zeller
C · 7'0" 250 · 26.8
26
23
6
5
2
1
0
1
1
0
5
0-0
-
3-7
5-9
43%
52%
0-0
-
Jaylen Brown
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 20.0
21
21
4
3
4
0
1
1
1
2
1
2-2
100%
1-4
3-6
25%
51%
0-3
0%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 29.5
16
25
4
1
4
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
3-5
40%
61%
0-0
-
Marcus Smart
G · 6'4" 220 · 22.7
27
29
13
5
2
0
2
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
5-9
2-4
56%
45%
1-4
25%
Jordan Mickey
C-F · 6'8" 235 · 22.3
19
8
8
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-1
0%
4-4
1-2
100%
50%
0-0
-
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 29.7
18
17
7
3
0
1
1
1
1
3
0
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
47%
1-2
50%
Terry Rozier
G · 6'2" 190 · 22.6
16
17
5
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
44%
1-3
33%
Demetrius Jackson
G · 6'1" 201 · 22.2
11
3
8
3
2
0
0
0
0
2
1
3-4
75%
1-2
0-1
50%
45%
1-1
100%
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 30.8
10
12
8
2
4
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
47%
2-3
67%
James Young
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 21.2
9
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
53%
0-0
-
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 30.4
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 26.3
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 25.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.