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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
November 8, 2016
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Nuggets
107
16Grizzlies
108
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 28.3
38
35
21
7
2
2
1
1
2
1
6
8-9
89%
2-6
3-7
33%
45%
3-5
60%
Emmanuel Mudiay
G · 6'3" 200 · 20.7
36
31
23
4
7
0
1
0
7
0
4
8-10
80%
6-10
4-10
60%
40%
1-3
33%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 22.2
30
21
15
3
3
1
1
0
3
1
2
3-4
75%
3-7
2-4
43%
51%
2-6
33%
Jusuf Nurkic
C · 7'0" 280 · 22.2
29
21
11
7
3
0
1
1
6
1
6
1-1
100%
5-7
4-8
71%
46%
0-0
-
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 21.7
28
21
12
5
2
2
1
0
0
1
4
3-4
75%
3-7
3-6
43%
53%
1-3
33%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 27.0
28
20
5
11
1
0
1
1
0
2
9
1-2
50%
2-3
3-6
67%
53%
0-1
0%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 34.7
23
28
9
1
4
0
1
0
3
0
1
2-2
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
45%
1-2
50%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 19.7
17
20
10
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
42%
2-4
50%
Juancho Hernangomez
F · 6'9" 230 · 21.1
10
7
0
1
1
1
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Jarnell Stokes
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 22.8
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 36.7
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
40%
0-0
-
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.6
8
0
1-2
45%
Malik Beasley
G · 6'5" 196 · 20.0
3
0
0-1
44%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 25.8
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 29.5
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
James Ennis III
F · 6'7" 210 · 26.4
32
31
9
3
2
4
1
0
2
2
1
4-4
100%
1-1
3-5
100%
50%
1-3
33%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 31.8
30
29
19
2
6
0
1
1
1
0
2
1-3
33%
9-13
5-11
69%
48%
0-1
0%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 29.1
30
30
10
3
7
5
1
0
3
0
3
2-4
50%
4-12
4-8
33%
47%
0-3
0%
JaMychal Green
F · 6'9" 227 · 26.4
26
27
6
4
1
0
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
3-6
4-7
50%
50%
0-1
0%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 28.0
21
26
9
3
2
1
1
0
2
0
3
1-1
100%
4-5
3-6
80%
52%
0-3
0%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 39.8
31
24
20
3
5
0
1
2
0
0
3
1-2
50%
5-6
2-4
83%
43%
3-7
43%
Andrew Harrison
G · 6'6" 213 · 22.0
26
16
10
3
6
4
1
1
3
0
3
2-2
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
47%
2-4
50%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 35.3
23
21
16
8
0
0
1
0
1
4
4
0-1
0%
8-13
5-11
62%
48%
0-0
-
Jarell Martin
F · 6'10" 239 · 22.5
17
13
9
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
2
2-2
100%
2-3
2-3
67%
49%
1-1
100%
Troy Williams
F · 6'7" 218 · 21.9
4
6
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
49%
0-1
0%
Wade Baldwin IV
G · 6'4" 202 · 20.6
12
1
1-3
45%
Troy Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 25.3
7
0
0-1
45%
Deyonta Davis
C-F · 6'11" 237 · 19.9
4
0
0-1
52%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 29.1
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 34.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.