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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 9, 2016
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Celtics45%10693
14Wizards55%107118
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 26.0
38
35
21
3
2
2
1
1
1
1
2
0-1
0%
6-7
5-10
86%
49%
3-7
43%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 27.8
35
33
23
6
10
0
1
0
3
3
3
10-10
100%
5-12
5-11
42%
48%
1-6
17%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 29.5
24
20
11
3
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
4-4
2-4
100%
59%
1-1
100%
Tyler Zeller
C · 7'0" 250 · 26.8
14
24
6
2
1
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
3-4
4-9
75%
50%
0-0
-
Jaylen Brown
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 20.0
13
21
3
2
0
1
1
0
2
0
2
1-2
50%
1-2
2-5
50%
48%
0-0
-
Marcus Smart
G · 6'4" 220 · 22.7
36
28
20
3
1
1
1
0
2
0
3
2-5
40%
3-9
2-4
33%
44%
4-9
44%
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 25.6
26
18
2
6
1
0
1
0
0
0
6
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
49%
0-3
0%
Terry Rozier
G · 6'2" 190 · 22.7
14
16
0
1
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-2
0%
0-3
1-3
0%
42%
0-1
0%
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 29.7
12
18
3
2
0
0
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
46%
1-2
50%
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 30.8
11
11
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
45%
0-2
0%
Jordan Mickey
C-F · 6'8" 235 · 22.3
8
13
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
48%
0-0
-
Demetrius Jackson
G · 6'1" 201 · 22.2
4
7
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-2
0%
1-1
1-1
100%
43%
0-0
-
James Young
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 21.2
4
6
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-0
0%
49%
0-0
-
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 26.3
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 30.4
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Otto Porter Jr.
F · 6'8" 198 · 23.4
38
35
34
14
4
3
1
3
0
7
7
3-3
100%
11-14
4-7
79%
54%
3-5
60%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 32.7
32
34
13
9
2
0
1
2
1
5
4
1-2
50%
6-9
5-9
67%
56%
0-0
-
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 26.2
31
34
19
3
7
0
2
1
5
0
3
6-7
86%
5-13
6-13
38%
46%
1-3
33%
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 27.2
17
32
5
6
1
1
1
0
3
0
6
0-0
-
1-5
5-10
20%
48%
1-1
100%
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 23.4
11
34
3
4
1
1
1
0
0
2
2
1-2
50%
1-7
5-10
14%
47%
0-1
0%
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 29.4
34
16
16
4
4
3
1
0
1
2
2
4-4
100%
3-8
2-4
38%
46%
2-5
40%
Tomas Satoransky
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 25.0
32
18
4
4
4
0
1
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
2-5
2-3
40%
49%
0-1
0%
Trey Burke
G · 6'1" 191 · 24.0
17
9
18
1
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
1-2
50%
4-5
1-3
80%
44%
3-4
75%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 30.7
14
10
2
3
2
1
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
48%
0-0
-
Andrew Nicholson
F · 6'9" 250 · 26.9
5
7
0
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
51%
0-0
-
Kelly Oubre Jr.
F · 6'7" 205 · 20.9
3
12
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-0
-
Daniel Ochefu
F · 6'11" 245 · 22.9
3
1
2
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
50%
0-0
-
Sheldon Mac
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 23.9
3
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
46%
0-1
0%
Danuel House
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 23.4
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 30.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.