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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 9, 2016
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Raptors
112
10Thunder
102
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 30.6
43
38
19
9
13
0
2
1
5
2
7
2-2
100%
1-9
4-9
11%
45%
5-11
45%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 27.3
39
37
37
4
6
3
1
0
4
0
4
11-15
73%
13-20
9-20
65%
45%
0-2
0%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 30.3
22
22
10
4
0
0
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
48%
2-3
67%
Jakob Poeltl
C · 7'0" 230 · 21.1
19
18
4
2
0
0
0
1
1
2
0
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
49%
0-0
-
Pascal Siakam
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.6
13
19
4
4
0
0
1
2
0
0
4
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
48%
0-0
-
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 27.7
33
30
13
3
3
2
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
50%
3-8
38%
Lucas Nogueira
C · 7'0" 220 · 24.3
29
11
10
7
1
2
0
2
0
2
5
0-0
-
5-5
1-2
100%
53%
0-0
-
Norman Powell
F-G · 6'4" 215 · 23.5
23
11
9
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
1-3
33%
4-7
1-2
57%
45%
0-1
0%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.2
19
17
6
0
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
1-3
2-5
33%
48%
1-1
100%
Fred VanVleet
G · 6'0" 195 · 22.7
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
41%
0-0
-
Terrence Ross
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 25.8
19
1
2-4
47%
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 24.5
19
0
4-6
55%
Bruno Caboclo
F · 6'9" 205 · 21.1
3
0
0-1
45%
Jared Sullinger
C-F · 6'9" 260 · 24.7
Delon Wright
G · 6'5" 190 · 24.5
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.0
39
29
36
7
7
1
2
2
8
2
5
15-18
83%
6-14
6-13
43%
48%
3-12
25%
Victor Oladipo
G · 6'4" 210 · 24.5
36
31
18
8
2
2
1
0
1
3
5
1-1
100%
1-7
4-8
14%
48%
5-9
56%
Steven Adams
C · 7'0" 255 · 23.3
35
28
14
12
1
2
1
1
1
6
6
8-8
100%
3-5
4-7
60%
58%
0-0
-
Domantas Sabonis
C-F · 6'10" 252 · 20.5
28
24
7
1
4
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
3-5
67%
50%
1-3
33%
Andre Roberson
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 24.9
23
27
7
1
0
0
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
2-3
40%
57%
1-2
50%
Enes Kanter
C · 6'11" 245 · 24.5
19
19
8
0
0
0
0
0
3
0
0
2-2
100%
3-3
4-7
100%
55%
0-0
-
Semaj Christon
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.0
16
19
0
3
3
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
2-5
-
46%
0-1
0%
Jerami Grant
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.7
12
18
7
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-1
2-5
100%
46%
1-2
50%
Joffrey Lauvergne
C · 6'11" 260 · 25.1
11
17
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
3-5
0%
53%
0-1
0%
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 31.1
9
4
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
47%
0-2
0%
Kyle Singler
F · 6'8" 228 · 28.5
7
7
0
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-1
0%
Alex Abrines
G · 6'6" 190 · 23.3
5
15
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
1-1
100%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 36.0
3
0
0-0
49%
Cameron Payne
G · 6'3" 185 · 22.3
Josh Huestis
G · 6'7" 230 · 24.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.