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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
November 10, 2016
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Bulls
98
20Heat
95
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 27.2
38
34
20
4
5
3
2
0
2
1
3
9-10
90%
4-9
5-11
44%
48%
1-2
50%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 28.6
38
26
16
9
0
0
0
1
1
7
2
0-0
-
8-20
4-7
40%
52%
0-0
-
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 30.7
37
29
16
12
6
2
1
0
1
1
11
3-4
75%
5-13
3-6
38%
46%
1-1
100%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 34.8
32
29
13
7
4
1
1
0
3
1
6
3-3
100%
5-13
5-11
38%
47%
0-4
0%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.4
23
30
8
3
0
0
1
1
2
1
2
0-0
-
4-7
5-10
57%
50%
0-0
-
Doug McDermott
F · 6'8" 219 · 24.9
32
22
13
4
1
1
0
0
1
0
4
1-1
100%
3-6
2-5
50%
48%
2-5
40%
Nikola Mirotic
F · 6'10" 238 · 25.7
22
17
10
5
1
0
1
0
0
1
4
2-2
100%
1-4
1-2
25%
45%
2-3
67%
Bobby Portis
F · 6'11" 248 · 21.7
10
14
2
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
2-5
100%
46%
0-0
-
Isaiah Canaan
G · 6'0" 200 · 25.5
9
19
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
39%
0-1
0%
Cristiano Felicio
C-F · 6'9" 280 · 24.3
7
0
1-1
50%
Jerian Grant
G · 6'4" 198 · 24.1
6
0
1-2
44%
Denzel Valentine
F · 6'6" 214 · 23.0
4
0
0-1
44%
Paul Zipser
F · 6'8" 226 · 22.7
4
0
0-1
45%
Michael Carter-Williams
G · 6'6" 190 · 25.1
RJ Hunter
G · 6'5" 185 · 23.0
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 20.6
38
33
15
5
6
4
1
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
3-6
4-9
50%
46%
3-5
60%
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 27.4
37
31
20
20
0
1
1
3
3
8
12
4-4
100%
8-18
6-11
44%
60%
0-0
-
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.9
36
27
16
4
6
1
1
0
2
2
2
2-4
50%
4-9
3-6
44%
44%
2-6
33%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 30.5
22
29
6
0
4
2
1
0
4
0
0
0-0
-
3-7
5-9
43%
53%
0-2
0%
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 27.4
16
23
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
45%
1-2
50%
Tyler Johnson
G · 6'3" 186 · 24.5
32
28
14
8
4
0
1
0
1
1
7
4-7
57%
2-7
3-6
29%
51%
2-4
50%
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 23.2
28
18
16
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-6
1-2
33%
45%
4-7
57%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 29.7
21
21
5
4
1
0
1
1
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
54%
1-3
33%
Willie Reed
· 6'11" 245 · 26.5
11
14
0
4
1
0
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
55%
0-0
-
Rodney McGruder
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 25.3
8
0
0-1
45%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 36.4
4
0
0-1
47%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 29.7
4
0
0-1
50%
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.5
3
0
0-1
51%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 28.9
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 32.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.