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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
November 10, 2016
9:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Warriors70%116125
17Nuggets30%109101
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 26.8
32
33
19
2
3
1
1
0
3
0
2
2-2
100%
4-10
4-8
40%
50%
3-4
75%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 28.7
30
32
33
5
6
1
2
0
4
1
4
6-6
100%
3-4
4-7
75%
53%
7-13
54%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 28.1
30
34
18
9
5
1
1
2
1
2
7
2-2
100%
8-13
7-12
62%
54%
0-3
0%
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 26.7
29
33
13
9
5
3
2
0
1
0
9
2-2
100%
1-3
3-6
33%
51%
3-4
75%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 32.8
14
15
4
4
0
4
1
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
46%
0-0
-
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 32.8
23
21
2
3
4
2
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
54%
0-1
0%
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 31.2
18
19
6
2
0
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-4
3-5
75%
51%
0-0
-
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 28.8
15
4
10
3
1
0
0
2
1
1
2
2-2
100%
4-6
1-1
67%
54%
0-0
-
Patrick McCaw
G · 6'7" 185 · 21.0
15
13
8
1
2
0
0
1
1
0
1
2-2
100%
3-4
1-2
75%
49%
0-2
0%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 36.2
13
12
5
0
1
2
0
0
2
0
0
1-2
50%
2-3
2-4
67%
49%
0-0
-
Ian Clark
G · 6'3" 175 · 25.7
11
14
3
0
4
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
51%
1-3
33%
Kevon Looney
F · 6'9" 220 · 20.8
6
11
2
2
1
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
53%
0-0
-
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 34.1
5
2
2
4
1
0
0
0
0
2
2
2-2
100%
0-1
0-1
0%
50%
0-0
-
James Michael McAdoo
· 6'9" 230 · 23.8
Damian Jones
C · 7'0" 245 · 21.4
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 28.3
26
36
11
1
2
0
1
0
2
0
1
6-7
86%
1-4
3-7
25%
45%
1-5
20%
Emmanuel Mudiay
G · 6'3" 200 · 20.7
24
33
10
4
4
1
1
0
3
1
3
0-0
-
2-10
4-11
20%
40%
2-5
40%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 21.7
18
24
4
3
2
1
1
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
1-2
4-7
50%
53%
0-3
0%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 22.2
18
25
11
2
3
0
1
0
2
1
1
0-2
0%
4-5
3-6
80%
51%
1-2
50%
Jusuf Nurkic
C · 7'0" 280 · 22.2
17
24
9
3
0
1
1
1
4
1
2
1-2
50%
4-5
4-9
80%
47%
0-0
-
Juancho Hernangomez
F · 6'9" 230 · 21.1
30
8
11
9
0
1
0
1
1
3
6
1-2
50%
2-7
1-1
29%
49%
2-3
67%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 27.0
30
23
8
11
1
2
1
0
1
6
5
0-0
-
4-9
4-7
44%
53%
0-0
-
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 19.7
29
19
14
3
6
0
1
1
3
2
1
2-2
100%
3-8
2-4
38%
43%
2-7
29%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 34.8
16
25
0
3
4
0
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
45%
0-2
0%
Malik Beasley
G · 6'5" 196 · 20.0
15
2
12
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
0-1
60%
44%
2-5
40%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 36.7
9
1
9
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
33%
3-4
75%
Jarnell Stokes
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 22.8
6
1
2
2
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
48%
0-0
-
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.6
6
0
1-1
45%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 29.5
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 25.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.