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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 11, 2016
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Cavaliers
105
15Wizards
94
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 31.9
38
36
27
10
5
2
2
2
6
0
10
6-9
67%
6-14
7-13
43%
55%
3-4
75%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 24.6
36
36
29
2
6
0
1
0
2
0
2
3-4
75%
7-14
7-14
50%
49%
4-9
44%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 31.2
35
31
17
4
0
1
1
0
0
0
4
2-2
100%
0-2
1-2
0%
45%
5-9
56%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 28.2
34
35
14
16
1
1
1
0
3
7
9
6-9
67%
4-11
4-9
36%
47%
0-1
0%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 25.7
23
27
2
7
1
1
0
3
1
4
3
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
55%
0-0
-
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 26.4
27
23
6
4
0
4
1
0
2
2
2
2-2
100%
2-2
1-2
100%
45%
0-2
0%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 33.5
14
21
8
0
1
0
1
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
47%
2-4
50%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 36.2
13
14
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
45%
0-3
0%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 36.4
11
11
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Kay Felder
G · 5'9" 176 · 21.6
8
2
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
40%
0-0
-
Jordan McRae
G · 6'5" 179 · 25.6
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 36.1
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
44%
0-1
0%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 38.3
2
0
0-0
57%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 33.9
DeAndre Liggins
G · 6'6" 209 · 28.6
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 26.2
35
32
28
2
3
2
2
1
6
1
1
3-5
60%
11-21
6-12
52%
46%
1-3
33%
Otto Porter Jr.
F · 6'8" 198 · 23.4
34
35
11
8
5
0
1
1
2
3
5
0-0
-
4-8
4-8
50%
55%
1-3
33%
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 27.2
33
26
20
5
1
1
1
1
1
1
4
7-7
100%
5-11
4-8
45%
47%
1-3
33%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 32.7
26
33
4
15
1
1
1
0
2
4
11
0-2
0%
2-5
5-9
40%
55%
0-0
-
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 29.4
21
23
2
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
0-3
2-5
0%
45%
0-2
0%
Trey Burke
G · 6'1" 191 · 24.0
22
12
9
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
4-7
1-3
57%
44%
0-0
-
Kelly Oubre Jr.
F · 6'7" 205 · 20.9
21
9
10
6
0
1
0
1
1
0
6
0-0
-
5-7
1-2
71%
48%
0-1
0%
Tomas Satoransky
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 25.0
20
23
8
2
2
1
1
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
3-7
2-4
43%
49%
0-0
-
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 30.7
15
12
0
3
0
0
0
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
47%
0-0
-
Sheldon Mac
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 23.9
12
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
47%
0-3
0%
Danuel House
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 23.4
1
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Daniel Ochefu
F · 6'11" 245 · 22.9
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Andrew Nicholson
F · 6'9" 250 · 26.9
6
0
1-2
50%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 30.0
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 23.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.