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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 11, 2016
7:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Knicks42%10787
9Celtics58%110115
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 28.1
27
28
11
4
6
0
1
0
7
0
4
4-4
100%
2-7
5-12
29%
46%
1-3
33%
Kristaps Porzingis
F-C · 7'3" 240 · 21.3
23
31
14
6
1
1
1
2
1
2
4
4-4
100%
5-13
4-9
38%
47%
0-2
0%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 31.7
22
22
9
10
2
1
1
3
3
3
7
1-1
100%
4-5
2-4
80%
45%
0-0
-
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 31.1
22
31
1
1
1
0
1
1
1
1
0
1-1
100%
0-3
3-6
0%
49%
0-1
0%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 32.5
12
33
12
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
1-1
100%
4-7
6-13
57%
47%
1-1
100%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 27.1
27
22
6
6
2
0
1
0
3
2
4
3-4
75%
0-3
1-4
0%
42%
1-4
25%
Justin Holiday
G · 6'6" 185 · 27.6
26
10
10
5
0
1
0
2
1
4
1
0-0
-
2-6
1-2
33%
43%
2-5
40%
Willy Hernangomez
C · 6'11" 240 · 22.5
24
9
8
12
3
2
0
1
5
6
6
0-0
-
4-13
1-2
31%
51%
0-0
-
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 28.6
20
16
7
5
1
1
0
1
1
1
4
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
44%
1-3
33%
Mindaugas Kuzminskas
· 6'9" 215 · 27.1
16
11
5
2
2
0
0
0
2
1
1
1-2
50%
2-4
1-2
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 32.7
9
8
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
41%
0-2
0%
Ron Baker
G · 6'4" 220 · 23.6
8
5
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
44%
0-1
0%
Kyle O'Quinn
C-F · 6'10" 250 · 26.6
3
9
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
50%
0-0
-
Maurice Ndour
F · 6'9" 200 · 24.4
Marshall Plumlee
C · 7'0" 250 · 24.3
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marcus Smart
G · 6'4" 220 · 22.7
34
32
12
6
10
3
2
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
3-6
2-5
50%
45%
2-7
29%
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 26.0
32
36
15
10
2
3
1
0
2
3
7
4-4
100%
4-13
5-10
31%
51%
1-4
25%
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 25.6
30
24
19
7
3
2
1
0
3
2
5
4-4
100%
3-6
3-5
50%
50%
3-5
60%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 27.8
28
33
29
3
4
1
1
0
2
2
1
8-8
100%
6-12
5-11
50%
49%
3-5
60%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 29.5
21
22
2
3
1
1
1
0
2
2
1
2-2
100%
0-1
3-4
0%
61%
0-0
-
Terry Rozier
G · 6'2" 190 · 22.7
27
15
10
5
1
2
0
0
0
2
3
7-8
88%
0-7
1-3
0%
44%
1-1
100%
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 29.7
21
14
5
5
1
1
0
1
0
3
2
1-2
50%
2-3
1-2
67%
47%
0-1
0%
Tyler Zeller
C · 7'0" 250 · 26.8
21
19
11
4
0
2
0
1
3
1
3
5-7
71%
3-6
3-7
50%
52%
0-0
-
Jaylen Brown
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 20.0
17
17
10
4
0
0
1
1
0
0
4
3-8
38%
2-6
2-4
33%
52%
1-3
33%
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 30.8
3
11
0
1
1
0
0
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
47%
0-0
-
Jordan Mickey
C-F · 6'8" 235 · 22.3
3
10
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
51%
0-0
-
James Young
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 21.2
3
5
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
49%
0-1
0%
Demetrius Jackson
G · 6'1" 201 · 22.2
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 26.4
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 30.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.