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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 11, 2016
8:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Pistons22%9586
3Spurs78%10696
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 23.7
40
33
10
3
7
0
1
0
0
1
2
2-3
67%
1-4
3-6
25%
45%
2-5
40%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 23.3
33
31
20
17
0
1
1
1
6
6
11
3-3
100%
7-9
6-12
78%
50%
1-1
100%
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.3
31
31
12
5
2
0
1
0
1
0
5
4-4
100%
4-9
4-9
44%
49%
0-4
0%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.2
31
32
4
2
1
1
1
2
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-8
4-8
25%
46%
0-3
0%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 28.4
30
28
12
4
4
0
1
0
1
0
4
0-2
0%
6-9
4-9
67%
41%
0-1
0%
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 27.5
28
25
8
3
0
0
1
1
1
0
3
2-2
100%
3-3
3-6
100%
48%
0-5
0%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 34.4
18
18
12
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
3-3
100%
3-5
2-5
60%
45%
1-2
50%
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 29.9
15
14
2
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
49%
0-0
-
Stanley Johnson
F · 6'7" 245 · 20.5
15
15
6
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
3-4
75%
0-2
1-3
0%
41%
1-4
25%
Reggie Bullock
F-G · 6'7" 205 · 25.7
6
0
0-1
43%
Darrun Hilliard
G · 6'6" 220 · 23.6
5
0
0-1
41%
Boban Marjanovic
C · 7'3" 290 · 28.2
3
0
1-1
51%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 26.6
Henry Ellenson
F · 6'11" 245 · 19.8
Michael Gbinije
G-F · 6'7" 200 · 24.4
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 31.3
37
29
14
12
1
0
1
0
1
1
11
2-2
100%
6-14
6-13
43%
50%
0-0
-
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 25.4
37
34
17
4
1
4
2
0
2
0
4
3-3
100%
1-13
7-14
8%
53%
4-5
80%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 36.4
36
17
21
9
6
1
0
2
1
4
5
0-0
-
9-13
3-5
69%
49%
1-3
33%
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.1
24
16
8
6
3
0
1
0
0
3
3
1-2
50%
2-4
1-2
50%
46%
1-2
50%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 34.5
21
24
7
2
4
0
1
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
3-9
3-6
33%
49%
0-2
0%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 28.3
26
29
10
2
4
1
1
0
1
0
2
3-3
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
48%
1-4
25%
Jonathon Simmons
F · 6'6" 195 · 27.2
18
21
5
4
2
0
1
0
0
0
4
5-6
83%
0-1
2-5
0%
51%
0-2
0%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 33.5
16
15
4
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-2
2-5
100%
52%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 39.3
16
18
10
1
1
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-1
0%
2-2
2-3
100%
48%
2-2
100%
Dewayne Dedmon
C · 7'0" 245 · 27.2
6
10
0
2
1
1
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
54%
0-0
-
Davis Bertans
C-F · 6'10" 210 · 24.0
1
12
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Bryn Forbes
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.3
1
8
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Dejounte Murray
G · 6'5" 170 · 20.1
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Nicolas Laprovittola
G · 6'4" 180 · 26.8
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 29.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.