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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
November 12, 2016
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Celtics52%108105
24Pacers48%10799
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 26.0
36.3
34.1
13
55%
8
5
2
1
1
4
1
7
2-2
100%
4-7
5-10
57%
49%
1-4
25%
Marcus Smart
G · 6'4" 220 · 22.7
33.5
32.6
9
38%
2
2
1
2
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
4-9
3-6
44%
44%
0-2
0%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 29.5
31.0
21.6
14
66%
9
3
0
1
1
3
5
4
6-6
100%
4-7
3-4
57%
59%
0-1
0%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 27.8
29.4
30.7
23
59%
0
5
1
1
0
2
0
0
14-15
93%
3-11
5-10
27%
48%
1-2
50%
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 25.6
27.9
27.1
16
54%
6
4
0
1
1
3
2
4
2-4
50%
4-7
3-6
57%
49%
2-6
33%
Terry Rozier
G · 6'2" 190 · 22.7
21.8
20.9
11
70%
6
1
1
1
1
0
0
6
1-2
50%
2-3
2-4
67%
40%
2-4
50%
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 29.7
21.0
17.7
0
0%
5
0
0
1
2
1
0
5
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
46%
0-2
0%
James Young
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 21.2
16.4
4.8
12
100%
3
1
2
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
3-3
0-0
100%
47%
2-3
67%
Tyler Zeller
C · 7'0" 250 · 26.8
15.8
20.1
7
51%
6
0
0
0
1
0
4
2
1-2
50%
3-6
4-7
50%
51%
0-0
-
Jaylen Brown
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 20.1
6.9
17.3
0
0%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
48%
0-1
0%
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 30.8
8.0
0
1-2
45%
Jordan Mickey
C-F · 6'8" 235 · 22.3
7.4
0
1-2
48%
Demetrius Jackson
G · 6'1" 201 · 22.2
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 26.4
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 30.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 28.4
35.4
29.8
20
49%
3
4
0
1
0
2
1
2
11-12
92%
3-11
4-8
27%
47%
1-4
25%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 31.0
34.4
30.7
15
57%
4
4
1
2
1
3
0
4
4-7
57%
4-7
3-7
57%
48%
1-3
33%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 29.7
32.2
26.0
8
40%
3
0
1
1
2
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
3-5
33%
48%
2-7
29%
Myles Turner
C · 6'11" 255 · 20.6
29.6
23.1
17
83%
8
1
4
0
3
4
2
6
5-5
100%
6-7
4-8
86%
52%
0-1
0%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 28.4
23.6
27.5
10
56%
8
3
2
1
1
1
4
4
0-2
0%
5-6
4-7
83%
52%
0-2
0%
Glenn Robinson III
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 22.8
25.8
5.9
8
36%
6
2
0
0
2
0
1
5
0-0
-
4-7
1-1
57%
48%
0-4
0%
Lavoy Allen
F-C · 6'9" 260 · 27.8
25.8
17.2
2
17%
4
1
1
0
0
0
3
1
0-0
-
1-6
2-4
17%
49%
0-0
-
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 31.9
17.0
18.6
10
56%
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
5-9
4-9
56%
49%
0-0
-
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 31.8
15.0
15.6
9
51%
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
1-3
2-3
33%
44%
2-5
40%
Joe Young
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.4
1.2
4.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
45%
0-1
0%
Rakeem Christmas
F · 6'9" 250 · 24.9
6.0
0
1-1
50%
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 26.9
5.4
0
1-2
48%
Georges Niang
F · 6'6" 231 · 23.4
3.1
0
0-1
48%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 30.6
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 26.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.