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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
November 12, 2016
7:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Knicks26%100107
7Raptors74%109118
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 28.1
38
27
21
4
4
0
1
0
4
2
2
1-2
50%
10-17
5-11
59%
45%
0-3
0%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 32.5
38
24
31
6
4
0
1
0
1
0
6
8-9
89%
7-14
4-9
50%
46%
3-7
43%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 31.1
34
27
10
5
1
0
1
1
3
0
5
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
48%
2-3
67%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 31.7
33
22
4
18
1
2
1
0
1
8
10
0-2
0%
2-9
2-4
22%
45%
0-0
-
Kristaps Porzingis
F-C · 7'3" 240 · 21.3
30
27
21
4
2
0
1
0
2
1
3
1-1
100%
7-8
4-8
88%
46%
2-8
25%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 27.1
16
24
6
2
5
1
1
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
2-6
2-4
33%
41%
0-0
-
Justin Holiday
G · 6'6" 185 · 27.6
14
17
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
42%
0-1
0%
Kyle O'Quinn
C-F · 6'10" 250 · 26.6
14
7
10
4
1
0
0
1
2
2
2
0-0
-
5-7
1-2
71%
49%
0-0
-
Mindaugas Kuzminskas
· 6'9" 215 · 27.1
11
14
2
4
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
46%
0-0
-
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 28.6
9
18
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Willy Hernangomez
C · 6'11" 240 · 22.5
4
16
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-5
-
48%
0-0
-
Maurice Ndour
F · 6'9" 200 · 24.4
9
0
1-2
47%
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 32.7
8
0
0-1
39%
Marshall Plumlee
C · 7'0" 250 · 24.3
Ron Baker
G · 6'4" 220 · 23.6
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 30.6
41
37
16
6
6
0
2
0
2
3
3
2-2
100%
7-10
4-9
70%
47%
0-5
0%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 27.3
36
36
33
7
4
2
1
0
2
2
5
10-13
77%
10-22
10-20
45%
48%
1-1
100%
Norman Powell
F-G · 6'4" 215 · 23.5
29
14
19
5
2
1
1
0
0
0
5
8-8
100%
1-4
1-3
25%
49%
3-6
50%
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 24.5
22
17
13
8
0
1
0
1
3
2
6
5-6
83%
4-8
3-6
50%
57%
0-0
-
Pascal Siakam
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.6
20
14
9
2
0
1
0
0
1
0
2
1-1
100%
4-5
2-4
80%
52%
0-0
-
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 27.7
28
32
10
5
2
1
1
0
0
0
5
2-2
100%
1-1
2-3
100%
52%
2-7
29%
Lucas Nogueira
C · 7'0" 220 · 24.3
26
23
6
10
1
3
1
5
0
4
6
0-0
-
3-3
2-4
100%
59%
0-0
-
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.2
20
21
1
1
3
0
1
0
3
0
1
1-2
50%
0-2
3-5
0%
51%
0-1
0%
Terrence Ross
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 25.8
18
16
11
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
4-4
100%
2-6
1-3
33%
50%
1-2
50%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 30.3
22
1
2-3
51%
Jakob Poeltl
C · 7'0" 230 · 21.1
12
0
1-2
54%
Bruno Caboclo
F · 6'9" 205 · 21.1
3
0
0-1
51%
Fred VanVleet
G · 6'0" 195 · 22.7
1
0
0-0
45%
Delon Wright
G · 6'5" 190 · 24.5
Jared Sullinger
C-F · 6'9" 260 · 24.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.