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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
November 12, 2016
9:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Pistons
106
20Nuggets
95
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.3
36
31
19
4
3
2
1
1
2
1
3
2-2
100%
7-13
5-9
54%
51%
1-2
50%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 23.7
35
36
14
1
2
2
1
0
1
0
1
5-6
83%
3-6
3-7
50%
47%
1-5
20%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.2
34
31
17
1
3
2
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
7-9
4-8
78%
48%
1-6
17%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 28.4
29
29
10
3
8
2
1
0
4
1
2
0-0
-
5-12
4-9
42%
43%
0-0
-
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 23.3
27
32
14
12
0
2
1
0
0
5
7
0-2
0%
7-11
6-12
64%
52%
0-0
-
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 27.5
26
26
14
10
0
1
1
0
0
3
7
0-0
-
7-11
3-6
64%
50%
0-1
0%
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 29.9
20
14
4
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
51%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 34.4
18
18
9
0
5
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
3-4
2-5
75%
47%
1-3
33%
Stanley Johnson
F · 6'7" 245 · 20.5
14
15
5
4
1
0
0
0
1
1
3
1-2
50%
2-4
1-3
50%
43%
0-1
0%
Reggie Bullock
F-G · 6'7" 205 · 25.7
5
0
0-1
46%
Darrun Hilliard
G · 6'6" 220 · 23.6
4
0
0-1
44%
Boban Marjanovic
C · 7'3" 290 · 28.2
3
0
0-1
54%
Henry Ellenson
F · 6'11" 245 · 19.8
Michael Gbinije
G-F · 6'7" 200 · 24.4
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 26.6
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 28.3
36
32
18
4
1
0
1
0
1
0
4
6-8
75%
3-6
3-6
50%
46%
2-4
50%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 22.2
28
22
13
4
4
0
1
0
1
0
4
3-3
100%
5-9
3-5
56%
53%
0-2
0%
Emmanuel Mudiay
G · 6'3" 200 · 20.7
26
29
19
5
2
2
1
2
5
2
3
3-4
75%
2-6
4-10
33%
41%
4-8
50%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 27.0
21
26
8
8
1
0
1
2
1
5
3
0-2
0%
4-8
4-8
50%
54%
0-1
0%
Jusuf Nurkic
C · 7'0" 280 · 22.2
17
21
0
2
0
1
1
0
2
2
0
0-0
-
0-2
4-8
0%
48%
0-0
-
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 29.5
30
28
6
10
2
1
1
0
2
2
8
0-0
-
3-9
4-7
33%
50%
0-3
0%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 34.8
22
21
11
1
2
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
4-6
1-3
67%
45%
1-2
50%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 21.7
20
21
6
3
1
1
1
0
1
2
1
2-2
100%
2-7
3-6
29%
54%
0-0
-
Juancho Hernangomez
F · 6'9" 230 · 21.1
20
17
7
4
2
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
48%
1-2
50%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 19.7
20
22
7
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
44%
1-3
33%
Malik Beasley
G · 6'5" 196 · 20.0
8
0
1-2
46%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.6
5
0
1-1
46%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 36.7
4
0
0-0
46%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 25.9
Jarnell Stokes
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 22.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.