Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	22	Heat	16%	90	90	95.7	94	94.5
	2	Spurs	84%	104	94	100.0	94	93.5

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Dion Waiters G · 6'4" 215 · 25	35.5	27	52%	2	3	3	3	4	5	0	2	0-0	-	9-20	45%	3-6	50%
Justise Winslow F · 6'7" 225 · 21	35.5	7	29%	3	5	1	0	0	2	2	1	1-2	50%	3-10	30%	0-1	0%
Hassan Whiteside C · 7'0" 265 · 27	33.9	23	77%	16	1	2	2	4	3	5	11	5-9	56%	9-11	82%	0-0	-
Josh Richardson G · 6'6" 200 · 23	28.3	8	44%	1	4	1	0	3	4	1	0	0-0	-	4-7	57%	0-2	0%
Derrick Williams F · 6'8" 240 · 25	15.7	5	36%	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	0-2	0%

Tyler Johnson G · 6'3" 186 · 25	33.0	11	46%	8	6	1	0	0	0	0	8	3-6	50%	4-9	44%	0-0	-
James Johnson F · 6'8" 240 · 30	18.4	7	70%	5	0	1	2	1	5	2	3	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Rodney McGruder G-F · 6'4" 200 · 25	18.2	2	50%	2	0	2	1	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Josh McRoberts · 6'10" 240 · 30	14.0	0	0%	3	3	2	0	0	2	0	3	0-0	-	0-5	0%	0-1	0%
Luke Babbitt F · 6'9" 225 · 27	7.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Goran Dragic G · 6'3" 190 · 31	\| DND - sprained left ankle
Willie Reed · 6'11" 245 · 26	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Udonis Haslem F · 6'8" 235 · 36	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Wayne Ellington #2 · G · 6'5" 200 · 29	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Chris Bosh #1 · F · 6'11" 235 · 33	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	90	47%	41	22	14	8	13	0	10	31	12-21	57%	33-69	48%	4-15	27%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

22 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Dion Waiters G · 6'4" 215 · 25	35.5	27	52%	2	3	3	3	4	5	0	2	0-0	-	9-20	45%	3-6	50%
Justise Winslow F · 6'7" 225 · 21	35.5	7	29%	3	5	1	0	0	2	2	1	1-2	50%	3-10	30%	0-1	0%
Hassan Whiteside C · 7'0" 265 · 27	33.9	23	77%	16	1	2	2	4	3	5	11	5-9	56%	9-11	82%	0-0	-
Josh Richardson G · 6'6" 200 · 23	28.3	8	44%	1	4	1	0	3	4	1	0	0-0	-	4-7	57%	0-2	0%
Derrick Williams F · 6'8" 240 · 25	15.7	5	36%	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	0-2	0%

Tyler Johnson G · 6'3" 186 · 25	33.0	11	46%	8	6	1	0	0	0	0	8	3-6	50%	4-9	44%	0-0	-
James Johnson F · 6'8" 240 · 30	18.4	7	70%	5	0	1	2	1	5	2	3	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Rodney McGruder G-F · 6'4" 200 · 25	18.2	2	50%	2	0	2	1	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Josh McRoberts · 6'10" 240 · 30	14.0	0	0%	3	3	2	0	0	2	0	3	0-0	-	0-5	0%	0-1	0%
Luke Babbitt F · 6'9" 225 · 27	7.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Goran Dragic G · 6'3" 190 · 31	\| DND - sprained left ankle
Willie Reed · 6'11" 245 · 26	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Udonis Haslem F · 6'8" 235 · 36	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Wayne Ellington #2 · G · 6'5" 200 · 29	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Chris Bosh #1 · F · 6'11" 235 · 33	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	90	47%	41	22	14	8	13	0	10	31	12-21	57%	33-69	48%	4-15	27%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

2 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
LaMarcus Aldridge F · 6'11" 260 · 31	36.4	18	60%	3	2	1	0	2	1	1	2	2-2	100%	8-14	57%	0-0	-
Kawhi Leonard F · 6'6" 225 · 25	34.6	24	52%	12	4	0	0	4	2	1	11	7-9	78%	4-14	29%	3-5	60%
Pau Gasol C · 7'0" 250 · 36	31.4	12	38%	8	2	1	1	1	2	2	6	0-2	0%	6-14	43%	0-1	0%
Tony Parker G · 6'2" 185 · 34	25.8	11	46%	3	6	1	0	2	1	1	2	3-4	75%	4-9	44%	0-1	0%
Danny Green G · 6'6" 215 · 29	14.9	3	75%	1	0	0	1	1	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-1	100%

Patty Mills G · 6'0" 185 · 28	24.3	10	100%	3	3	0	0	2	2	1	2	4-4	100%	0-1	0%	2-2	100%
Jonathon Simmons F · 6'6" 195 · 27	22.4	5	36%	4	2	1	1	1	1	2	2	3-4	75%	1-3	33%	0-2	0%
Manu Ginobili G · 6'6" 205 · 39	17.0	6	60%	3	2	0	0	2	1	0	3	0-0	-	0-3	0%	2-2	100%
David Lee F-C · 6'9" 245 · 34	16.9	5	50%	7	2	0	1	0	0	2	5	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Dewayne Dedmon C · 7'0" 245 · 27	10.2	0	0%	6	0	0	2	2	3	3	3	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-0	-
Kyle Anderson F-G · 6'8" 230 · 23	5.6	0	0%	2	1	0	1	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Dejounte Murray G · 6'4" 180 · 20	0.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Davis Bertans C-F · 6'10" 210 · 24	0.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Bryn Forbes #11 · G · 6'3" 190 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Nicolas Laprovittola #27 · G · 6'4" 180 · 27	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	94	48%	52	24	4	7	17	0	14	38	20-27	74%	25-67	37%	8-15	53%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	SAS
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	SAS

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA

0.95 47.4%

SAS

0.96 48.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIA

21

36

58%

SAS

7

24

29%

Midrange

MIA

12

33

36%

SAS

18

43

42%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIA

4

6.0

15

27%

40%

SAS

8

12.0

15

53%

80%

Free Throws

MIA

12

21

57%

SAS

20

27

74%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Waiters	27	52%	13.5 / 26
H. Whiteside	23	77%	11.5 / 15
T. Johnson	11	46%	5.5 / 12
J. Richardson	8	44%	4.0 / 9
J. Winslow	7	29%	3.5 / 12
J. Johnson	7	70%	3.5 / 5
D. Williams	5	36%	2.5 / 7
R. McGruder	2	50%	1.0 / 2
J. McRoberts	0	-	0.0 / 6

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Leonard	24	52%	12.0 / 23
L. Aldridge	18	60%	9.0 / 15
P. Gasol	12	38%	6.0 / 16
T. Parker	11	46%	5.5 / 12
P. Mills	10	100%	5.0 / 5
M. Ginobili	6	60%	3.0 / 5
J. Simmons	5	36%	2.5 / 7
D. Lee	5	50%	2.5 / 5
D. Green	3	75%	1.5 / 2
D. Dedmon	0	-	0.0 / 3
K. Anderson	0	-	0.0 / 1
D. Bertans	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	18 108.1 8 111.3	MIA 95.7 SAS 100.0 +4.3
Pace	21 95.0 27 94.1	MIA 94.5 +1.0 SAS 93.5
Avg. Poss. Time	5 15.7 4 15.8	MIA 15.2 −0.2 SAS 15.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	15 51.2% 10 52.4%	MIA 46.4% +1.3% SAS 45.1%
TO %	8 13.2% 14 13.6%	MIA 12.2% −3.1% SAS 15.3%
ORB %	11 24.2% 14 24.0%	MIA 20.8% SAS 31.1% +10.3%
FTrt	26 25.1 18 26.3	MIA 25.0 SAS 32.9 +7.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	24 54.4% 9 60.6%	MIA 59.5% SAS 72.7% +13.2%
STL %	21 7.5% 7 8.5%	MIA 14.9% +10.6% SAS 4.3%
BLK %	6 9.3% 2 9.9%	MIA 11.9% +1.8% SAS 10.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	20 52.8% 10 54.8%	MIA 47.4% SAS 48.0% +0.6%
Rim FG%	12 59.2% 5 60.5%	MIA 58.3% +29.1% SAS 29.2%
Mid FG%	26 39.4% 9 42.0%	MIA 36.4% SAS 41.9% +5.5%
3P %	12 36.5% 1 39.1%	MIA 26.7% SAS 53.3% +26.6%
FT %	30 70.6% 7 79.7%	MIA 57.1% SAS 74.1% +17.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	15 35.4% 28 31.1%	MIA 42.9% +13.6% SAS 29.3%
Mid Att. %	15 33.1% 29 40.8%	MIA 39.3% −13.2% SAS 52.4%
3P Att. %	14 31.4% 24 28.1%	MIA 17.9% SAS 18.3% +0.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.38 and 2.38.

Game Totals	MIA	SAS
Possessions	94	94
Possession Minutes	23.9	24.1
Points	90	94
Rebounds	41	52
Assists	22	24
Steals	14	4
Blocks	8	7
Turnovers (Team)	13 (0)	17 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (3)	14 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	31 (1)	38 (1)
Field Goals	37-84	33-82
At-the-Rim FG	21-36	7-24
Midrange FG	12-33	18-43
2-Point FG	33-69	25-67
3-Point FG	4-15	8-15
Free Throws	12-21	20-27
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg