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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
November 14, 2016
8:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Heat
90
2Spurs
94
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.9
36
25
27
2
3
3
1
3
4
0
2
0-0
-
9-20
2-5
45%
41%
3-6
50%
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 20.6
35
34
7
3
5
1
1
0
0
2
1
1-2
50%
3-10
4-9
30%
43%
0-1
0%
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 27.4
34
32
23
16
1
2
1
2
4
5
11
5-9
56%
9-11
7-12
82%
57%
0-0
-
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 23.2
28
28
8
1
4
1
1
0
3
1
0
0-0
-
4-7
2-5
57%
41%
0-2
0%
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.5
16
11
5
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
2-4
1-3
50%
48%
0-2
0%
Tyler Johnson
G · 6'3" 186 · 24.5
33
29
11
8
6
1
1
0
0
0
8
3-6
50%
4-9
3-6
44%
47%
0-0
-
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 29.7
18
25
7
5
0
1
1
2
1
2
3
2-2
100%
1-2
2-5
50%
51%
1-2
50%
Rodney McGruder
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 25.3
18
13
2
2
0
2
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
41%
0-1
0%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 29.7
14
9
0
3
3
2
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-5
1-2
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 27.4
8
13
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
42%
0-0
-
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 30.5
15
0
2-5
50%
Willie Reed
· 6'11" 245 · 26.5
8
0
1-2
50%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 36.4
4
0
0-1
43%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 29.0
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 32.6
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 31.3
36
33
18
3
2
1
1
0
2
1
2
2-2
100%
8-14
7-14
57%
50%
0-0
-
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 25.4
35
36
24
12
4
0
2
0
4
1
11
7-9
78%
4-14
7-13
29%
53%
3-5
60%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 36.4
31
27
12
8
2
1
0
1
1
2
6
0-2
0%
6-14
4-8
43%
49%
0-1
0%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 34.5
26
24
11
3
6
1
1
0
2
1
2
3-4
75%
4-9
3-7
44%
50%
0-1
0%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 29.4
15
27
3
1
0
0
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
47%
1-1
100%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 28.3
24
25
10
3
3
0
1
0
2
1
2
4-4
100%
0-1
2-3
0%
49%
2-2
100%
Jonathon Simmons
F · 6'6" 195 · 27.2
22
18
5
4
2
1
1
1
1
2
2
3-4
75%
1-3
2-4
33%
52%
0-2
0%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 39.3
17
16
6
3
2
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
49%
2-2
100%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 33.5
17
17
5
7
2
0
0
1
0
2
5
1-2
50%
2-4
3-5
50%
53%
0-0
-
Dewayne Dedmon
C · 7'0" 245 · 27.3
10
8
0
6
0
0
0
2
2
3
3
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
55%
0-0
-
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.2
6
14
0
2
1
0
1
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
47%
0-0
-
Dejounte Murray
G · 6'5" 170 · 20.2
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
48%
0-0
-
Davis Bertans
C-F · 6'10" 210 · 24.0
0
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
50%
0-1
0%
Bryn Forbes
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.3
Nicolas Laprovittola
G · 6'4" 180 · 26.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.