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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 16, 2016
7:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Mavericks37%10183
5Celtics63%10690
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 24.5
41
35
28
2
1
2
1
0
2
0
2
4-5
80%
12-23
6-11
52%
49%
0-1
0%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 30.1
38
30
22
3
0
2
1
0
1
0
3
2-3
67%
1-2
2-4
50%
46%
6-13
46%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 32.0
25
20
6
7
4
1
0
1
1
1
6
0-0
-
3-7
2-4
43%
55%
0-0
-
Dorian Finney-Smith
F · 6'8" 220 · 23.5
16
21
5
3
0
0
1
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
49%
1-2
50%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.4
10
9
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
44%
0-2
0%
Seth Curry
G · 6'2" 185 · 26.2
32
28
6
4
4
0
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
3-6
2-5
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Dwight Powell
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 25.3
29
20
3
8
0
2
1
1
1
1
7
1-2
50%
1-7
3-5
14%
51%
0-1
0%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 32.4
28
30
9
2
6
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-8
4-8
38%
46%
1-3
33%
Justin Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 23.0
21
24
4
3
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
47%
0-0
-
Nicolas Brussino
· 6'8" 195 · 23.7
0
9
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Salah Mejri
C · 7'2" 235 · 30.4
11
0
1-2
57%
Quincy Acy
F · 6'7" 240 · 26.1
6
0
1-1
54%
AJ Hammons
C · 7'0" 260 · 24.2
3
0
0-1
49%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 38.4
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 33.7
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marcus Smart
G · 6'4" 220 · 22.7
36
34
4
7
4
2
2
1
2
1
6
2-4
50%
1-3
3-6
33%
46%
0-3
0%
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 26.0
34
34
18
13
1
0
1
0
3
2
11
0-1
0%
6-13
4-9
46%
50%
2-6
33%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 27.8
33
32
30
4
6
0
1
0
5
2
2
13-16
81%
4-13
5-11
31%
49%
3-5
60%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 29.5
29
25
8
6
4
2
1
0
1
3
3
2-2
100%
3-4
3-5
75%
60%
0-0
-
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 25.6
29
30
10
4
0
0
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
5-7
3-6
71%
50%
0-1
0%
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 29.7
24
19
5
7
0
0
1
0
0
1
6
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
47%
1-2
50%
Terry Rozier
G · 6'2" 190 · 22.7
22
18
5
3
0
0
1
2
3
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
43%
1-1
100%
Jaylen Brown
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 20.1
12
15
4
3
0
1
1
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
51%
0-0
-
Tyler Zeller
C · 7'0" 250 · 26.8
8
13
4
4
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
2-6
2-5
33%
52%
0-0
-
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 30.8
7
4
2
2
3
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
47%
0-2
0%
James Young
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 21.3
7
8
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
51%
0-1
0%
Jordan Mickey
C-F · 6'8" 235 · 22.4
7
0
1-2
50%
Demetrius Jackson
G · 6'1" 201 · 22.2
5
0
0-1
46%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 30.5
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 26.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.