Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	21	Mavericks	37%	101	83	92.2	90	83.0
	13	Celtics	63%	106	90	101.1	89	97.2

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Harrison Barnes F · 6'7" 225 · 24	41.0	28	54%	2	1	2	0	2	5	0	2	4-5	80%	12-23	52%	0-1	0%
Wesley Matthews G · 6'5" 220 · 30	37.5	22	69%	3	0	2	0	1	1	0	3	2-3	67%	1-2	50%	6-13	46%
Andrew Bogut C · 7'0" 260 · 32	24.8	6	43%	7	4	1	1	1	6	1	6	0-0	-	3-7	43%	0-0	-
Dorian Finney-Smith F · 6'7" 220 · 24	15.6	5	50%	3	0	0	0	0	1	2	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-2	50%
Deron Williams G · 6'3" 200 · 32	9.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%

Seth Curry G · 6'1" 185 · 26	32.3	6	43%	4	4	0	0	2	1	0	4	0-0	-	3-6	50%	0-1	0%
Dwight Powell F-C · 6'10" 240 · 25	29.4	3	17%	8	0	2	1	1	3	1	7	1-2	50%	1-7	14%	0-1	0%
J.J. Barea G · 6'0" 185 · 32	28.2	9	41%	2	6	1	0	1	0	0	2	0-0	-	3-8	38%	1-3	33%
Justin Anderson G-F · 6'6" 230 · 23	21.4	4	67%	3	1	1	1	1	1	1	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Nicolas Brussino · 6'8" 195 · 24	0.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Salah Mejri C · 7'2" 235 · 30	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Quincy Acy F · 6'7" 240 · 26	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
AJ Hammons C · 7'0" 260 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Dirk Nowitzki #41 · C-F · 7'0" 245 · 38	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Devin Harris #34 · G · 6'3" 185 · 34	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	83	47%	32	16	9	3	9	0	5	27	7-10	70%	26-60	43%	8-23	35%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

21 Dallas Mavericks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Harrison Barnes F · 6'7" 225 · 24	41.0	28	54%	2	1	2	0	2	5	0	2	4-5	80%	12-23	52%	0-1	0%
Wesley Matthews G · 6'5" 220 · 30	37.5	22	69%	3	0	2	0	1	1	0	3	2-3	67%	1-2	50%	6-13	46%
Andrew Bogut C · 7'0" 260 · 32	24.8	6	43%	7	4	1	1	1	6	1	6	0-0	-	3-7	43%	0-0	-
Dorian Finney-Smith F · 6'7" 220 · 24	15.6	5	50%	3	0	0	0	0	1	2	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-2	50%
Deron Williams G · 6'3" 200 · 32	9.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%

Seth Curry G · 6'1" 185 · 26	32.3	6	43%	4	4	0	0	2	1	0	4	0-0	-	3-6	50%	0-1	0%
Dwight Powell F-C · 6'10" 240 · 25	29.4	3	17%	8	0	2	1	1	3	1	7	1-2	50%	1-7	14%	0-1	0%
J.J. Barea G · 6'0" 185 · 32	28.2	9	41%	2	6	1	0	1	0	0	2	0-0	-	3-8	38%	1-3	33%
Justin Anderson G-F · 6'6" 230 · 23	21.4	4	67%	3	1	1	1	1	1	1	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Nicolas Brussino · 6'8" 195 · 24	0.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Salah Mejri C · 7'2" 235 · 30	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Quincy Acy F · 6'7" 240 · 26	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
AJ Hammons C · 7'0" 260 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Dirk Nowitzki #41 · C-F · 7'0" 245 · 38	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Devin Harris #34 · G · 6'3" 185 · 34	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	83	47%	32	16	9	3	9	0	5	27	7-10	70%	26-60	43%	8-23	35%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

13 Boston Celtics

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Marcus Smart F · 6'3" 220 · 23	35.8	4	25%	7	4	2	1	2	3	1	6	2-4	50%	1-3	33%	0-3	0%
Avery Bradley G · 6'2" 180 · 26	34.3	18	47%	13	1	0	0	3	1	2	11	0-1	0%	6-13	46%	2-6	33%
Isaiah Thomas G · 5'9" 185 · 28	33.1	30	60%	4	6	0	0	5	2	2	2	13-16	81%	4-13	31%	3-5	60%
Amir Johnson F · 6'9" 240 · 30	29.0	8	80%	6	4	2	0	1	2	3	3	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Kelly Olynyk C · 7'0" 240 · 26	28.5	10	63%	4	0	0	0	2	3	0	4	0-0	-	5-7	71%	0-1	0%

Jonas Jerebko F · 6'10" 231 · 30	23.6	5	83%	7	0	0	0	0	1	1	6	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Terry Rozier G · 6'1" 195 · 23	21.5	5	63%	3	0	0	2	3	2	0	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-1	100%
Jaylen Brown G-F · 6'6" 223 · 20	11.5	4	67%	3	0	1	0	3	2	1	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Tyler Zeller C · 7'0" 250 · 27	8.4	4	33%	4	0	0	0	0	0	2	2	0-0	-	2-6	33%	0-0	-
Gerald Green G-F · 6'7" 205 · 31	7.5	2	25%	2	3	1	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
James Young G-F · 6'6" 215 · 21	6.7	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Jordan Mickey C-F · 6'8" 235 · 22	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Demetrius Jackson G · 6'1" 201 · 22	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Al Horford #42 · C-F · 6'8" 240 · 30	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Jae Crowder #99 · F · 6'6" 235 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	90	51%	53	18	6	3	19	0	13	40	17-23	74%	26-55	47%	7-21	33%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DAL	BOS
Clock	Team	Event	DAL	BOS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

DAL

0.93 46.6%

BOS

1.02 51.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DAL

10

26

38%

BOS

21

39

54%

Midrange

DAL

16

34

47%

BOS

5

16

31%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DAL

8

12.0

23

35%

52%

BOS

7

10.5

21

33%

50%

Free Throws

DAL

7

10

70%

BOS

17

23

74%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Mavericks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
H. Barnes	28	54%	14.0 / 26
W. Matthews	22	69%	11.0 / 16
J. Barea	9	41%	4.5 / 11
A. Bogut	6	43%	3.0 / 7
S. Curry	6	43%	3.0 / 7
D. Finney-Smith	5	50%	2.5 / 5
J. Anderson	4	67%	2.0 / 3
D. Powell	3	17%	1.5 / 9
D. Williams	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Celtics

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
I. Thomas	30	60%	15.0 / 25
A. Bradley	18	47%	9.0 / 19
K. Olynyk	10	63%	5.0 / 8
A. Johnson	8	80%	4.0 / 5
J. Jerebko	5	83%	2.5 / 3
T. Rozier	5	63%	2.5 / 4
M. Smart	4	25%	2.0 / 8
J. Brown	4	67%	2.0 / 3
T. Zeller	4	33%	2.0 / 6
G. Green	2	25%	1.0 / 4
J. Young	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	27 105.2 7 111.5	DAL 92.2 BOS 101.1 +8.9
Pace	28 92.6 12 96.5	DAL 83.0 BOS 97.2 +14.1
Avg. Poss. Time	2 16.3 18 14.8	DAL 17.3 BOS 14.8 −2.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	18 50.5% 9 52.5%	DAL 45.8% BOS 48.0% +2.2%
TO %	3 12.1% 7 13.1%	DAL 9.3% −8.8% BOS 18.1%
ORB %	30 18.1% 24 21.3%	DAL 11.1% BOS 32.5% +21.4%
FTrt	29 22.5 17 27.3	DAL 12.0 BOS 30.3 +18.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	17 57.4% 2 65.3%	DAL 47.1% BOS 54.5% +7.4%
STL %	15 8.1% 19 7.8%	DAL 10.0% +3.3% BOS 6.7%
BLK %	26 7.0% 25 7.1%	DAL 5.5% +0.5% BOS 5.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	21 52.7% 6 55.3%	DAL 46.6% BOS 51.1% +4.5%
Rim FG%	9 59.8% 14 59.1%	DAL 38.5% BOS 53.8% +15.3%
Mid FG%	12 41.6% 13 41.2%	DAL 47.1% +15.8% BOS 31.3%
3P %	16 35.5% 14 35.9%	DAL 34.8% +1.5% BOS 33.3%
FT %	4 80.1% 3 80.7%	DAL 70.0% BOS 73.9% +3.9%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	30 25.2% 16 35.1%	DAL 31.3% BOS 51.3% +20.0%
Mid Att. %	25 38.2% 3 25.6%	DAL 41.0% BOS 21.1% −19.9%
3P Att. %	5 36.6% 3 39.3%	DAL 27.7% +0.1% BOS 27.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.96 and 2.96.

Game Totals	DAL	BOS
Possessions	90	89
Possession Minutes	26.0	22.0
Points	83	90
Rebounds	32	53
Assists	16	18
Steals	9	6
Blocks	3	3
Turnovers (Team)	9 (0)	19 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	5 (3)	13 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	27 (1)	40 (2)
Field Goals	34-83	33-76
At-the-Rim FG	10-26	21-39
Midrange FG	16-34	5-16
2-Point FG	26-60	26-55
3-Point FG	8-23	7-21
Free Throws	7-10	17-23
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg