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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 16, 2016
10:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Spurs
110
23Kings
105
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 31.3
33
34
21
8
2
2
1
2
2
2
6
4-4
100%
7-15
7-14
47%
50%
1-1
100%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 25.4
32
35
20
6
1
4
2
1
1
2
4
2-2
100%
3-5
7-13
60%
53%
4-9
44%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 36.4
31
28
24
7
2
0
0
2
0
1
6
4-7
57%
10-16
4-9
63%
49%
0-1
0%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 29.4
28
21
9
4
3
1
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
3-7
43%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 34.5
26
24
14
3
7
1
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
7-10
3-7
70%
50%
0-0
-
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 28.3
19
25
5
2
3
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
49%
1-3
33%
Jonathon Simmons
F · 6'6" 195 · 27.2
18
20
2
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
2-4
-
52%
0-0
-
Davis Bertans
C-F · 6'10" 210 · 24.0
17
3
7
2
3
0
0
2
0
1
1
1-2
50%
0-0
0-0
-
50%
2-5
40%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 39.3
16
16
2
1
2
2
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
49%
0-3
0%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 33.6
11
17
4
3
3
1
0
0
2
2
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
53%
0-0
-
Dejounte Murray
G · 6'5" 170 · 20.2
3
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0-0
0%
47%
0-0
-
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.2
3
11
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
47%
0-0
-
Bryn Forbes
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.3
3
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
50%
0-1
0%
Dewayne Dedmon
C · 7'0" 245 · 27.3
Nicolas Laprovittola
G · 6'4" 180 · 26.8
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 26.3
37
33
26
17
6
1
1
0
3
3
14
11-14
79%
6-12
7-15
50%
47%
1-4
25%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 30.3
32
34
11
3
3
0
1
1
2
1
2
4-4
100%
2-9
5-11
22%
48%
1-2
50%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 31.1
22
28
7
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
45%
1-3
33%
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 29.0
20
21
3
2
0
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
44%
1-1
100%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 27.7
15
19
1
5
1
0
0
0
0
1
4
1-2
50%
0-4
3-5
0%
51%
0-0
-
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 29.2
30
25
10
4
6
2
1
0
2
1
3
2-2
100%
4-6
3-7
67%
49%
0-1
0%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 36.7
28
22
15
2
2
1
1
1
2
1
1
1-2
50%
4-5
1-3
80%
47%
2-4
50%
Ben McLemore
G · 6'5" 195 · 23.8
26
13
14
3
0
0
0
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
4-6
1-3
67%
47%
2-4
50%
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 30.5
18
18
7
4
2
0
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
45%
1-1
100%
Willie Cauley-Stein
C · 7'0" 240 · 23.2
13
10
11
4
0
1
0
0
2
1
3
5-7
71%
3-5
1-3
60%
53%
0-0
-
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 28.4
11
0
1-2
49%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 31.5
8
0
0-0
53%
Georgios Papagiannis
C · 7'1" 240 · 19.4
Skal Labissiere
F-C · 6'11" 225 · 20.7
Malachi Richardson
G · 6'6" 205 · 20.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.