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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
November 17, 2016
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Knicks40%103112
13Wizards60%107119
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 28.1
39
31
27
2
4
1
1
0
2
2
0
8-8
100%
5-13
6-12
38%
46%
3-5
60%
Kristaps Porzingis
F-C · 7'3" 240 · 21.3
37
34
16
7
2
4
1
0
2
2
5
0-0
-
5-11
5-10
45%
48%
2-5
40%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 32.5
35
33
19
3
3
1
1
0
1
0
3
4-4
100%
6-9
6-12
67%
47%
1-8
13%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 31.1
23
29
4
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-8
3-5
25%
48%
0-1
0%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 31.7
19
23
2
8
2
0
1
0
1
3
5
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
45%
0-0
-
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 27.2
24
19
17
5
11
1
1
0
2
3
2
0-0
-
4-5
1-3
80%
42%
3-5
60%
Justin Holiday
G · 6'6" 185 · 27.6
23
21
8
4
0
1
1
0
1
0
4
3-4
75%
1-1
2-4
100%
43%
1-2
50%
Maurice Ndour
F · 6'9" 200 · 24.4
13
9
4
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
48%
0-0
-
Willy Hernangomez
C · 6'11" 240 · 22.5
10
9
5
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
1-2
50%
2-2
1-3
100%
48%
0-0
-
Mindaugas Kuzminskas
· 6'9" 215 · 27.1
7
8
8
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
47%
2-3
67%
Kyle O'Quinn
C-F · 6'10" 250 · 26.6
7
10
2
0
0
0
0
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
50%
0-0
-
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 32.7
2
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
40%
0-0
-
Ron Baker
G · 6'4" 220 · 23.6
4
0
0-1
43%
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 28.6
Marshall Plumlee
C · 7'0" 250 · 24.3
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Otto Porter Jr.
F · 6'8" 198 · 23.5
39
36
21
8
1
2
1
1
2
1
7
1-1
100%
4-9
5-8
44%
55%
4-5
80%
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 27.2
35
31
8
8
2
1
1
0
3
1
7
0-0
-
4-9
5-10
44%
49%
0-2
0%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 26.2
31
30
23
2
11
1
1
0
2
0
2
6-6
100%
4-9
6-12
44%
48%
3-6
50%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 32.8
31
34
16
8
1
0
1
1
1
2
6
2-4
50%
7-12
5-9
58%
57%
0-0
-
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 23.4
29
11
18
2
5
0
0
0
1
0
2
5-5
100%
2-5
2-3
40%
47%
3-5
60%
Kelly Oubre Jr.
F · 6'7" 205 · 20.9
23
8
8
3
1
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
51%
2-4
50%
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 29.5
18
29
13
2
1
1
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
3-7
50%
46%
3-3
100%
Tomas Satoransky
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 25.1
18
23
4
1
4
2
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
3-5
100%
50%
0-0
-
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 30.7
11
9
6
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
2-2
100%
2-2
1-3
100%
48%
0-0
-
Andrew Nicholson
F · 6'9" 250 · 26.9
6
9
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
52%
0-0
-
Sheldon Mac
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 23.9
18
1
2-4
50%
Trey Burke
G · 6'1" 191 · 24.0
11
0
1-3
45%
Daniel Ochefu
F · 6'11" 245 · 22.9
1
0
0-0
50%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 30.0
Danuel House
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 23.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.