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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 18, 2016
7:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Pistons27%10281
3Cavaliers73%110104
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.2
31
33
7
3
4
1
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-7
4-8
29%
47%
1-4
25%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 23.7
28
35
9
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-9
4-8
33%
47%
1-3
33%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 23.3
27
29
8
10
2
1
1
1
2
3
7
0-0
-
4-12
6-11
33%
52%
0-0
-
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 28.4
23
31
4
3
6
1
1
1
1
1
2
2-2
100%
1-9
4-9
11%
43%
0-0
-
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.3
20
35
9
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
2-7
5-10
29%
51%
1-3
33%
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 27.5
22
27
15
7
0
0
1
0
0
3
4
4-4
100%
4-10
3-7
40%
50%
1-2
50%
Darrun Hilliard
G · 6'6" 220 · 23.6
20
3
7
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
4-6
67%
0-4
0-0
0%
43%
1-2
50%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 34.4
17
15
6
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
2-6
2-4
33%
47%
0-1
0%
Stanley Johnson
F · 6'7" 245 · 20.5
16
13
5
3
1
2
0
1
0
0
3
1-2
50%
2-2
1-2
100%
42%
0-1
0%
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 29.9
15
18
4
7
2
0
0
0
1
1
6
2-2
100%
1-3
2-5
33%
51%
0-0
-
Reggie Bullock
F-G · 6'7" 205 · 25.7
8
4
5
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
44%
1-3
33%
Boban Marjanovic
C · 7'3" 290 · 28.3
6
4
2
5
0
0
0
1
1
2
3
0-0
-
1-4
1-1
25%
53%
0-0
-
Henry Ellenson
F · 6'11" 245 · 19.8
6
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 26.6
Michael Gbinije
G-F · 6'7" 200 · 24.5
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 25.7
30
28
8
14
2
0
0
4
0
1
13
2-2
100%
3-7
2-4
43%
56%
0-1
0%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 24.7
29
32
25
2
11
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
8-11
6-13
73%
50%
3-4
75%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 31.9
28
26
21
3
3
0
1
1
2
0
3
2-3
67%
8-11
5-9
73%
56%
1-3
33%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 28.2
27
32
12
13
1
0
1
0
4
1
12
2-2
100%
5-9
4-9
56%
48%
0-1
0%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 31.2
25
32
9
1
2
2
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
3-6
50%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 36.2
19
11
5
5
0
0
0
1
2
0
5
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
46%
1-2
50%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 36.4
18
20
0
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
51%
0-1
0%
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 26.4
17
27
9
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
46%
2-3
67%
Jordan McRae
G · 6'5" 179 · 25.6
15
14
7
2
3
0
0
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-6
2-4
17%
46%
1-1
100%
DeAndre Liggins
G · 6'6" 209 · 28.6
12
10
4
4
2
0
0
0
2
1
3
2-2
100%
1-3
1-1
33%
50%
0-0
-
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 38.4
9
3
2
4
0
1
0
1
1
2
2
2-2
100%
0-4
0-1
0%
59%
0-1
0%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 33.5
9
22
0
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
48%
0-1
0%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 36.1
2
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
38%
0-1
0%
Kay Felder
G · 5'9" 176 · 21.6
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 33.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.