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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 18, 2016
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Warriors71%116104
6Celtics29%10888
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 28.7
36
35
16
3
8
4
2
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
5-10
4-8
50%
53%
2-10
20%
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 26.7
35
34
11
8
8
1
2
2
1
1
7
3-4
75%
1-5
3-6
20%
51%
2-6
33%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 28.1
33
34
23
10
7
2
1
1
2
1
9
2-4
50%
9-11
7-13
82%
55%
1-2
50%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 26.8
31
32
28
4
3
0
1
0
2
1
3
1-1
100%
9-15
4-8
60%
50%
3-6
50%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 32.8
21
15
4
13
3
2
1
0
1
4
9
0-0
-
2-5
1-3
40%
47%
0-0
-
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 32.8
22
24
8
6
2
0
1
0
0
1
5
0-1
0%
4-6
1-2
67%
54%
0-1
0%
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 31.2
18
19
3
2
2
1
1
2
1
0
2
1-2
50%
1-2
2-4
50%
52%
0-0
-
Patrick McCaw
G · 6'7" 185 · 21.1
16
18
2
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
50%
0-2
0%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 36.2
13
12
4
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
50%
0-0
-
James Michael McAdoo
· 6'9" 230 · 23.9
8
4
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
51%
0-0
-
Ian Clark
G · 6'3" 175 · 25.7
7
6
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
50%
1-1
100%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 28.8
5
0
1-2
54%
Kevon Looney
F · 6'9" 220 · 20.8
5
0
1-1
53%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 34.1
Damian Jones
C · 7'0" 245 · 21.4
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 26.0
35
34
17
10
2
2
1
1
3
1
9
1-2
50%
5-11
5-10
45%
49%
2-4
50%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 27.8
28
32
18
2
4
0
1
0
1
0
2
9-9
100%
3-6
6-12
50%
47%
1-6
17%
Marcus Smart
G · 6'4" 220 · 22.7
25
34
10
0
1
2
2
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-6
3-6
33%
44%
2-4
50%
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 25.6
17
29
0
3
2
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-3
3-6
0%
50%
0-2
0%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 29.6
16
26
6
2
1
0
1
1
2
1
1
0-0
-
3-5
3-5
60%
59%
0-0
-
Terry Rozier
G · 6'2" 190 · 22.7
26
19
11
7
5
0
1
0
1
1
6
3-4
75%
1-2
2-4
50%
41%
2-3
67%
Jaylen Brown
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 20.1
23
14
11
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
1-2
50%
2-3
2-3
67%
49%
2-6
33%
Tyler Zeller
C · 7'0" 250 · 26.8
23
12
5
7
2
0
0
0
2
3
4
1-2
50%
2-6
2-4
33%
50%
0-0
-
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 30.8
17
6
6
6
0
0
0
0
0
0
6
0-0
-
0-6
1-1
0%
45%
2-5
40%
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 29.7
15
21
2
2
1
2
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
46%
0-0
-
James Young
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 21.3
12
8
2
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
50%
0-2
0%
Jordan Mickey
C-F · 6'8" 235 · 22.4
3
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
49%
0-0
-
Demetrius Jackson
G · 6'1" 201 · 22.2
0
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 30.5
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 26.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.