Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	6	Raptors	59%	110	113	101.8	111	101.6
	22	Nuggets	41%	107	111	101.8	109	97.7

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kyle Lowry G · 6'0" 196 · 31	38.4	18	53%	6	13	0	0	4	1	0	6	3-4	75%	3-8	38%	3-7	43%
Jonas Valančiūnas C · 6'11" 265 · 25	37.1	15	63%	9	1	0	1	0	4	2	7	3-7	43%	6-9	67%	0-0	-
DeMar DeRozan G · 6'6" 220 · 27	36.4	30	52%	5	4	2	0	4	5	0	5	6-10	60%	12-24	50%	0-1	0%
Pascal Siakam F · 6'8" 245 · 23	23.1	8	67%	3	0	1	0	0	2	1	2	0-0	-	4-6	67%	0-0	-
DeMarre Carroll F · 6'8" 215 · 30	22.3	11	55%	3	0	1	0	0	1	0	3	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	1-4	25%

Terrence Ross G-F · 6'7" 206 · 26	30.3	16	73%	2	2	1	0	1	2	0	2	0-1	0%	2-6	33%	4-5	80%
Patrick Patterson F · 6'9" 230 · 28	29.9	1	10%	6	1	0	1	1	4	0	6	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-4	0%
Cory Joseph G · 6'2" 200 · 25	20.1	4	22%	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	2-7	29%	0-2	0%
Jakob Poeltl C · 7'0" 253 · 21	15.9	6	100%	6	0	1	0	0	2	2	4	2-3	67%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Norman Powell G · 6'4" 215 · 23	11.5	4	40%	3	1	1	0	1	4	1	2	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Lucas Nogueira C · 7'0" 220 · 24	\| NWT - Personal
Delon Wright G · 6'4" 185 · 25	\| DND - Right Shoulder Surgery.
Jared Sullinger #0 · C-F · 6'9" 260 · 25	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Bruno Caboclo #20 · F · 6'9" 205 · 21	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Fred VanVleet #23 · G · 6'0" 197 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	113	52%	44	23	8	2	11	0	6	38	19-31	61%	35-71	49%	8-23	35%

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6 Toronto Raptors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kyle Lowry G · 6'0" 196 · 31	38.4	18	53%	6	13	0	0	4	1	0	6	3-4	75%	3-8	38%	3-7	43%
Jonas Valančiūnas C · 6'11" 265 · 25	37.1	15	63%	9	1	0	1	0	4	2	7	3-7	43%	6-9	67%	0-0	-
DeMar DeRozan G · 6'6" 220 · 27	36.4	30	52%	5	4	2	0	4	5	0	5	6-10	60%	12-24	50%	0-1	0%
Pascal Siakam F · 6'8" 245 · 23	23.1	8	67%	3	0	1	0	0	2	1	2	0-0	-	4-6	67%	0-0	-
DeMarre Carroll F · 6'8" 215 · 30	22.3	11	55%	3	0	1	0	0	1	0	3	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	1-4	25%

Terrence Ross G-F · 6'7" 206 · 26	30.3	16	73%	2	2	1	0	1	2	0	2	0-1	0%	2-6	33%	4-5	80%
Patrick Patterson F · 6'9" 230 · 28	29.9	1	10%	6	1	0	1	1	4	0	6	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-4	0%
Cory Joseph G · 6'2" 200 · 25	20.1	4	22%	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	2-7	29%	0-2	0%
Jakob Poeltl C · 7'0" 253 · 21	15.9	6	100%	6	0	1	0	0	2	2	4	2-3	67%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Norman Powell G · 6'4" 215 · 23	11.5	4	40%	3	1	1	0	1	4	1	2	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Lucas Nogueira C · 7'0" 220 · 24	\| NWT - Personal
Delon Wright G · 6'4" 185 · 25	\| DND - Right Shoulder Surgery.
Jared Sullinger #0 · C-F · 6'9" 260 · 25	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Bruno Caboclo #20 · F · 6'9" 205 · 21	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Fred VanVleet #23 · G · 6'0" 197 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	113	52%	44	23	8	2	11	0	6	38	19-31	61%	35-71	49%	8-23	35%

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22 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Emmanuel Mudiay G · 6'3" 200 · 21	45.8	25	63%	6	9	1	0	5	4	0	6	5-7	71%	10-11	91%	0-6	0%
Danilo Gallinari F · 6'10" 225 · 28	42.9	21	62%	9	1	1	0	4	1	0	9	13-13	100%	4-8	50%	0-5	0%
Jameer Nelson G · 6'0" 190 · 35	36.9	5	42%	3	5	0	0	2	5	0	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-3	33%
Jusuf Nurkić C · 6'11" 290 · 22	24.8	14	58%	1	2	1	0	1	3	0	1	4-6	67%	5-9	56%	0-0	-
Kenneth Faried F · 6'8" 228 · 27	24.2	7	88%	11	2	2	2	2	3	1	10	1-1	100%	3-4	75%	0-0	-

Wilson Chandler F · 6'9" 225 · 30	35.8	25	63%	10	2	0	0	0	2	4	6	4-6	67%	6-12	50%	3-5	60%
Nikola Jokić C · 6'11" 284 · 22	27.3	8	50%	12	4	0	2	3	3	2	10	0-0	-	4-6	67%	0-2	0%
Jamal Murray G · 6'4" 215 · 20	18.6	5	28%	3	4	1	0	1	2	1	2	1-2	50%	2-5	40%	0-3	0%
Juancho Hernangomez F · 6'9" 230 · 21	7.5	1	25%	3	0	1	0	1	2	0	3	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Alonzo Gee F · 6'6" 225 · 29	1.3	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0-2	0%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Darrell Arthur F · 6'9" 235 · 29	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Malik Beasley G · 6'5" 196 · 20	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Mike Miller G-F · 6'8" 218 · 37	\| NWT - Personal
Will Barton #5 · F-G · 6'6" 190 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Gary Harris #14 · G · 6'4" 210 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	111	53%	59	29	7	4	19	0	9	50	29-39	74%	35-58	60%	4-25	16%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	TOR	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	TOR	DEN

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

TOR

1.04 51.8%

DEN

1.07 53.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

TOR

20

29

69%

DEN

23

37

62%

Midrange

TOR

15

42

36%

DEN

12

21

57%

3PT | Effective 3PT

TOR

8

12.0

23

35%

52%

DEN

4

6.0

25

16%

24%

Free Throws

TOR

19

31

61%

DEN

29

39

74%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

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Raptors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. DeRozan	30	52%	15.0 / 29
K. Lowry	18	53%	9.0 / 17
T. Ross	16	73%	8.0 / 11
J. Valančiūnas	15	63%	7.5 / 12
D. Carroll	11	55%	5.5 / 10
P. Siakam	8	67%	4.0 / 6
J. Poeltl	6	100%	3.0 / 3
C. Joseph	4	22%	2.0 / 9
N. Powell	4	40%	2.0 / 5
P. Patterson	1	10%	0.5 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

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Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
E. Mudiay	25	63%	12.5 / 20
W. Chandler	25	63%	12.5 / 20
D. Gallinari	21	62%	10.5 / 17
J. Nurkić	14	58%	7.0 / 12
N. Jokić	8	50%	4.0 / 8
K. Faried	7	88%	3.5 / 4
J. Nelson	5	42%	2.5 / 6
J. Murray	5	28%	2.5 / 9
J. Hernangomez	1	25%	0.5 / 2
A. Gee	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	6 112.2 4 113.2	TOR 101.8 DEN 101.8 +0.0
Pace	24 94.8 6 98.4	TOR 101.6 +3.9 DEN 97.7
Avg. Poss. Time	9 15.3 23 14.4	TOR 14.2 −0.6 DEN 14.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	12 51.7% 5 53.0%	TOR 50.0% +0.6% DEN 49.4%
TO %	4 12.4% 23 14.7%	TOR 9.3% −6.6% DEN 15.9%
ORB %	8 24.9% 2 27.3%	TOR 10.7% DEN 19.1% +8.4%
FTrt	6 29.3 13 27.6	TOR 33.0 DEN 47.0 +14.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	30 47.2% 7 61.5%	TOR 53.5% DEN 74.4% +20.9%
STL %	2 8.7% 29 7.0%	TOR 7.2% +0.8% DEN 6.4%
BLK %	8 8.8% 30 6.3%	TOR 3.4% DEN 5.6% +2.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	13 54.4% 5 55.4%	TOR 51.8% DEN 53.4% +1.6%
Rim FG%	15 58.9% 11 59.4%	TOR 69.0% +6.8% DEN 62.2%
Mid FG%	5 42.6% 19 40.2%	TOR 35.7% DEN 57.1% +21.4%
3P %	13 36.3% 11 36.8%	TOR 34.8% +18.8% DEN 16.0%
FT %	8 79.6% 17 77.4%	TOR 61.3% DEN 74.4% +13.1%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	19 34.6% 2 40.9%	TOR 30.9% DEN 44.6% +13.7%
Mid Att. %	20 36.5% 4 26.2%	TOR 44.7% DEN 25.3% −19.4%
3P Att. %	22 28.9% 10 32.9%	TOR 24.5% DEN 30.1% +5.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	TOR	DEN
Possessions	111	109
Possession Minutes	26.2	26.8
Points	113	111
Rebounds	44	59
Assists	23	29
Steals	8	7
Blocks	2	4
Turnovers (Team)	11 (0)	19 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	6 (3)	9 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	38 (0)	50 (0)
Field Goals	43-94	39-83
At-the-Rim FG	20-29	23-37
Midrange FG	15-42	12-21
2-Point FG	35-71	35-58
3-Point FG	8-23	4-25
Free Throws	19-31	29-39
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg