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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 18, 2016
10:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Spurs
116
27Lakers
107
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 25.4
39
34
23
12
7
2
2
0
3
1
11
7-8
88%
5-8
7-13
63%
53%
2-7
29%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 31.3
36
33
23
6
2
2
1
3
2
0
6
2-2
100%
9-13
7-15
69%
50%
1-1
100%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 36.4
28
29
16
5
2
0
0
2
2
0
5
4-4
100%
6-13
5-10
46%
49%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 34.5
27
25
16
2
7
0
1
0
0
1
1
3-3
100%
5-9
4-7
56%
50%
1-1
100%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 29.4
27
24
10
4
6
2
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
46%
2-3
67%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 39.3
21
16
10
0
3
0
1
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
48%
2-4
50%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 28.3
20
23
11
0
3
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
4-4
1-3
100%
49%
1-5
20%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 33.6
18
14
4
3
0
1
0
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
1-1
2-4
100%
53%
0-0
-
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.2
13
8
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Davis Bertans
C-F · 6'10" 210 · 24.0
7
9
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
51%
1-2
50%
Jonathon Simmons
F · 6'6" 195 · 27.2
3
19
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
52%
0-0
-
Nicolas Laprovittola
G · 6'4" 180 · 26.8
0
15
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-0
-
Dejounte Murray
G · 6'5" 170 · 20.2
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Dewayne Dedmon
C · 7'0" 245 · 27.3
Bryn Forbes
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.3
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 31.6
34
21
10
6
3
1
1
0
1
3
3
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
47%
2-4
50%
Julius Randle
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 22.0
30
28
13
9
7
0
1
0
2
1
8
1-2
50%
6-12
4-9
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 31.5
28
25
22
4
2
0
1
1
2
1
3
4-5
80%
3-5
1-3
60%
42%
4-7
57%
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 30.3
14
23
0
4
0
0
0
0
1
3
1
0-0
-
0-3
3-6
0%
54%
0-0
-
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 35.1
13
5
5
1
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
45%
1-2
50%
Jordan Clarkson
G · 6'5" 194 · 24.4
31
25
20
3
3
2
1
0
3
1
2
3-4
75%
4-11
4-8
36%
48%
3-4
75%
Brandon Ingram
F-G · 6'9" 190 · 19.2
27
24
4
5
2
1
1
0
1
1
4
2-2
100%
1-6
2-4
17%
48%
0-3
0%
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 30.1
27
20
24
3
3
2
1
0
2
0
3
4-4
100%
7-9
2-5
78%
45%
2-4
50%
Larry Nance Jr.
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.9
23
19
4
4
1
0
1
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
54%
0-0
-
Tarik Black
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 25.0
12
14
5
6
0
0
0
0
0
3
3
1-2
50%
2-4
2-3
50%
54%
0-0
-
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 37.0
4
0
0-1
41%
Thomas Robinson
F · 6'10" 237 · 25.7
4
0
1-1
45%
Marcelo Huertas
G · 6'3" 200 · 33.5
2
0
0-0
44%
Ivica Zubac
C · 7'1" 240 · 19.7
D'Angelo Russell
G · 6'5" 195 · 20.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.