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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
November 19, 2016
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Heat
114
14Wizards
111
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 27.4
40
32
18
18
1
0
1
3
0
9
9
0-3
0%
9-14
7-12
64%
59%
0-0
-
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 30.5
37
20
22
4
6
1
1
0
4
1
3
6-8
75%
5-10
3-6
50%
52%
2-4
50%
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 23.2
34
31
15
7
1
1
1
1
1
1
6
3-5
60%
0-2
3-6
0%
45%
4-6
67%
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.9
29
32
16
4
8
1
1
1
2
1
3
1-2
50%
6-12
4-9
50%
43%
1-4
25%
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.5
17
15
12
5
0
0
0
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
50%
2-4
50%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 29.7
27
25
17
3
1
1
1
2
2
2
1
1-3
33%
5-5
2-5
100%
53%
2-3
67%
Tyler Johnson
G · 6'3" 186 · 24.5
25
28
5
3
4
0
1
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
0-5
3-6
0%
49%
1-4
25%
Rodney McGruder
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 25.3
19
21
6
3
0
1
1
0
2
0
3
2-3
67%
2-4
1-3
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 27.4
8
7
3
0
0
1
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
43%
1-1
100%
Willie Reed
· 6'11" 245 · 26.5
5
10
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
53%
0-0
-
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 20.7
17
1
2-5
45%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 29.7
7
0
1-1
48%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 36.4
2
0
0-0
46%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 29.0
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 32.7
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 23.4
40
19
34
5
4
1
1
0
2
2
3
6-6
100%
8-15
2-5
53%
46%
4-11
36%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 32.8
38
32
10
16
4
0
1
1
2
6
10
2-4
50%
4-6
5-8
67%
56%
0-0
-
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 26.2
37
30
34
4
8
0
1
0
3
2
2
5-8
63%
7-17
6-12
41%
46%
5-6
83%
Otto Porter Jr.
F · 6'8" 198 · 23.5
37
37
6
7
1
4
1
1
0
1
6
0-0
-
0-3
4-8
0%
53%
2-6
33%
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 27.2
9
32
6
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
3-3
5-10
100%
48%
0-1
0%
Tomas Satoransky
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 25.1
25
21
8
2
4
0
1
0
0
0
2
2-3
67%
3-6
2-4
50%
48%
0-0
-
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 29.5
23
24
3
1
1
2
1
0
2
0
1
1-1
100%
1-2
2-6
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Kelly Oubre Jr.
F · 6'7" 205 · 20.9
15
14
2
4
0
1
0
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
49%
0-2
0%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 30.7
10
9
4
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
47%
0-0
-
Andrew Nicholson
F · 6'9" 250 · 26.9
6
7
4
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
51%
0-0
-
Sheldon Mac
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 23.9
12
0
1-3
48%
Trey Burke
G · 6'1" 191 · 24.0
7
0
1-2
44%
Daniel Ochefu
F · 6'11" 245 · 22.9
1
0
0-0
50%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 30.0
Danuel House
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 23.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.