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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
November 22, 2016
7:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Trail Blazers46%110103
21Knicks54%111107
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
CJ McCollum
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.2
35.7
32.9
16
44%
5
5
0
1
0
1
1
4
3-3
100%
5-14
5-11
36%
48%
1-3
33%
Damian Lillard
G · 6'3" 195 · 26.4
35.4
31.9
22
56%
5
6
2
1
0
5
0
5
4-4
100%
6-12
5-10
50%
48%
2-6
33%
Maurice Harkless
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.5
34.3
27.6
15
51%
8
0
1
1
1
3
1
7
2-4
50%
5-10
3-6
50%
55%
1-3
33%
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 27.5
33.4
17.6
14
78%
10
0
0
1
2
1
4
6
0-0
-
7-9
2-3
78%
56%
0-0
-
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 26.7
28.4
26.7
9
71%
9
4
0
1
1
4
4
5
1-3
33%
4-5
4-7
80%
53%
0-0
-
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 28.1
24.0
24.9
11
59%
1
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
3-3
100%
4-8
3-7
50%
46%
0-0
-
Allen Crabbe
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 24.6
23.3
27.7
7
38%
3
0
0
1
0
0
1
2
4-5
80%
0-4
2-4
0%
52%
1-3
33%
Meyers Leonard
C · 7'1" 255 · 24.7
19.3
17.5
7
35%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
52%
1-7
14%
Noah Vonleh
F · 6'9" 245 · 21.2
6.3
14.1
2
114%
2
0
0
0
1
2
0
2
2-2
100%
0-0
1-3
-
47%
0-0
-
Jake Layman
F · 6'9" 210 · 22.7
6.1
0
0-1
51%
Shabazz Napier
G · 6'1" 175 · 25.4
4.7
0
0-1
41%
Pat Connaughton
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 23.9
3.9
0
0-1
46%
Tim Quarterman
G · 6'6" 190 · 22.1
2.3
0
0-0
49%
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 26.2
Festus Ezeli
C · 6'11" 265 · 27.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kristaps Porzingis
F-C · 7'3" 240 · 21.3
39.6
32.2
31
65%
9
1
0
1
1
2
3
6
2-2
100%
10-15
5-10
67%
50%
3-8
38%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 32.5
35.6
34.5
17
39%
6
0
1
1
1
1
2
4
0-0
-
4-13
6-13
31%
48%
3-9
33%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 28.1
28.1
30.8
18
57%
4
5
2
1
1
1
2
2
2-2
100%
8-15
6-12
53%
47%
0-0
-
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 31.1
26.5
31.0
5
30%
4
3
1
1
1
1
1
3
1-1
100%
2-4
3-6
50%
49%
0-4
0%
Kyle O'Quinn
C-F · 6'10" 250 · 26.7
24.4
12.3
4
33%
5
1
1
0
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
53%
0-0
-
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 27.2
22.1
23.4
4
33%
3
11
2
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
44%
0-4
0%
Willy Hernangomez
C · 6'11" 240 · 22.5
20.7
17.7
9
83%
4
0
0
1
0
4
0
4
1-1
100%
4-5
3-5
80%
53%
0-0
-
Mindaugas Kuzminskas
· 6'9" 215 · 27.1
20.7
6.8
10
83%
3
1
1
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
1-1
67%
51%
2-3
67%
Justin Holiday
G · 6'6" 185 · 27.6
19.4
19.8
7
88%
5
4
0
1
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
45%
1-1
100%
Maurice Ndour
F · 6'9" 200 · 24.4
2.9
6.5
2
53%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
1-1
0%
53%
0-0
-
Marshall Plumlee
C · 7'0" 250 · 24.4
6.7
0
1-1
53%
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 32.7
2.8
0
0-0
41%
Ron Baker
G · 6'4" 220 · 23.6
2.6
0
0-0
49%
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 28.6
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 31.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.