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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
November 26, 2016
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Spurs
112
12Wizards
100
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 25.4
36
35
19
1
5
3
2
0
3
0
1
8-10
80%
4-8
7-13
50%
53%
1-6
17%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 31.4
34
30
24
7
0
1
1
0
1
2
5
5-6
83%
8-14
6-12
57%
50%
1-3
33%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 36.4
29
23
8
10
2
1
0
1
2
2
8
0-0
-
4-6
4-8
67%
49%
0-1
0%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 34.5
27
23
20
1
3
0
1
0
3
1
0
3-3
100%
7-12
3-7
58%
49%
1-1
100%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 29.4
27
30
6
5
2
0
1
1
1
0
5
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
2-4
50%
Jonathon Simmons
F · 6'6" 195 · 27.2
23
13
15
1
4
2
0
1
2
1
0
4-4
100%
4-4
1-3
100%
51%
1-2
50%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 33.6
20
18
4
7
1
0
0
2
1
0
7
0-0
-
2-4
3-5
50%
53%
0-0
-
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 28.3
19
24
13
3
4
0
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
1-2
2-3
50%
50%
3-5
60%
Davis Bertans
C-F · 6'10" 210 · 24.0
11
17
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
51%
0-2
0%
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.2
9
5
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
1-1
0-1
100%
46%
0-0
-
Bryn Forbes
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.3
1
6
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Nicolas Laprovittola
G · 6'4" 180 · 26.8
1
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
46%
0-0
-
Dejounte Murray
G · 6'5" 170 · 20.2
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-2
0%
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 39.3
Dewayne Dedmon
C · 7'0" 245 · 27.3
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 23.4
38
35
25
6
5
2
1
0
0
2
4
0-0
-
8-14
5-10
57%
46%
3-9
33%
Otto Porter Jr.
F · 6'8" 198 · 23.5
38
32
14
8
3
3
1
0
1
2
6
1-1
100%
5-7
4-7
71%
52%
1-1
100%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 26.2
37
36
21
3
5
1
2
0
4
0
3
5-7
71%
8-15
7-14
53%
45%
0-1
0%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 32.8
33
34
10
10
1
0
1
0
1
2
8
0-0
-
5-7
5-8
71%
55%
0-0
-
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 27.2
18
28
12
1
1
1
1
0
1
1
0
2-2
100%
2-6
4-8
33%
47%
2-3
67%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 30.7
16
11
4
4
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
46%
0-1
0%
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 29.5
15
14
2
4
2
1
0
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
43%
0-1
0%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 30.1
14
22
1
1
0
1
1
1
2
0
1
1-2
50%
0-1
3-5
0%
53%
0-0
-
Tomas Satoransky
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 25.1
12
15
0
1
3
2
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
47%
0-2
0%
Trey Burke
G · 6'1" 191 · 24.0
9
4
8
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
4-6
1-1
67%
43%
0-1
0%
Andrew Nicholson
F · 6'9" 250 · 27.0
7
11
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
50%
0-2
0%
Kelly Oubre Jr.
F · 6'7" 205 · 21.0
3
16
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
1-3
-
47%
0-1
0%
Sheldon Mac
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 23.9
1
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Daniel Ochefu
F · 6'11" 245 · 22.9
Danuel House
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 23.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.