Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	15	Grizzlies	51%	97	110	125.0	88	93.9
	21	Heat	49%	96	107	116.3	92	86.6

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Troy Williams G · 6'7" 218 · 22	35.2	18	60%	3	2	0	0	1	3	0	3	4-6	67%	4-7	57%	2-5	40%
Marc Gasol C · 7'1" 255 · 32	34.8	28	78%	3	6	0	0	0	2	0	3	4-4	100%	9-12	75%	2-4	50%
Mike Conley G · 6'1" 175 · 29	34.3	21	62%	3	7	0	0	1	0	0	3	7-7	100%	4-9	44%	2-5	40%
Tony Allen F · 6'4" 213 · 35	34.1	11	50%	8	2	1	1	0	3	0	8	3-4	75%	4-8	50%	0-1	0%
JaMychal Green F · 6'9" 227 · 26	33.2	12	86%	7	1	1	1	0	3	1	6	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	3-4	75%

Andrew Harrison G · 6'6" 213 · 22	24.1	6	50%	2	1	1	1	1	3	0	2	6-8	75%	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Jarell Martin F · 6'10" 239 · 23	16.9	6	60%	3	0	2	0	3	3	0	3	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Vince Carter G-F · 6'6" 220 · 40	16.2	6	33%	4	4	0	0	0	1	0	4	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	0-5	0%
Deyonta Davis C-F · 6'11" 237 · 20	11.1	2	100%	1	0	0	2	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Zach Randolph F · 6'9" 250 · 35	\| NWT - Personal
Troy Daniels G · 6'4" 205 · 25	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
James Ennis III F · 6'7" 210 · 26	\| NWT - Right Calf
Wade Baldwin IV G · 6'4" 202 · 21	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Chandler Parsons #25 · F · 6'10" 230 · 28	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Brandan Wright #34 · F-C · 6'10" 235 · 29	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	110	61%	34	23	5	5	6	0	2	32	27-33	82%	28-48	58%	9-25	36%

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15 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Troy Williams G · 6'7" 218 · 22	35.2	18	60%	3	2	0	0	1	3	0	3	4-6	67%	4-7	57%	2-5	40%
Marc Gasol C · 7'1" 255 · 32	34.8	28	78%	3	6	0	0	0	2	0	3	4-4	100%	9-12	75%	2-4	50%
Mike Conley G · 6'1" 175 · 29	34.3	21	62%	3	7	0	0	1	0	0	3	7-7	100%	4-9	44%	2-5	40%
Tony Allen F · 6'4" 213 · 35	34.1	11	50%	8	2	1	1	0	3	0	8	3-4	75%	4-8	50%	0-1	0%
JaMychal Green F · 6'9" 227 · 26	33.2	12	86%	7	1	1	1	0	3	1	6	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	3-4	75%

Andrew Harrison G · 6'6" 213 · 22	24.1	6	50%	2	1	1	1	1	3	0	2	6-8	75%	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Jarell Martin F · 6'10" 239 · 23	16.9	6	60%	3	0	2	0	3	3	0	3	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Vince Carter G-F · 6'6" 220 · 40	16.2	6	33%	4	4	0	0	0	1	0	4	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	0-5	0%
Deyonta Davis C-F · 6'11" 237 · 20	11.1	2	100%	1	0	0	2	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Zach Randolph F · 6'9" 250 · 35	\| NWT - Personal
Troy Daniels G · 6'4" 205 · 25	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
James Ennis III F · 6'7" 210 · 26	\| NWT - Right Calf
Wade Baldwin IV G · 6'4" 202 · 21	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Chandler Parsons #25 · F · 6'10" 230 · 28	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Brandan Wright #34 · F-C · 6'10" 235 · 29	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	110	61%	34	23	5	5	6	0	2	32	27-33	82%	28-48	58%	9-25	36%

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21 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Dion Waiters G · 6'4" 215 · 25	36.5	28	64%	5	6	0	0	1	2	0	5	4-6	67%	6-14	43%	4-5	80%
Hassan Whiteside C · 7'0" 265 · 27	34.3	15	58%	12	0	1	2	1	4	4	8	1-4	25%	7-11	64%	0-0	-
Rodney McGruder G · 6'4" 200 · 25	33.5	11	55%	4	2	0	1	1	2	2	2	0-0	-	4-6	67%	1-4	25%
Josh Richardson F · 6'6" 200 · 23	29.4	15	58%	3	5	0	0	2	3	1	2	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	3-7	43%
Derrick Williams F · 6'8" 240 · 26	15.9	13	65%	2	0	0	1	0	1	1	1	2-2	100%	4-4	100%	1-5	20%

James Johnson F · 6'8" 240 · 30	31.9	10	56%	4	3	0	1	2	4	0	4	2-3	67%	4-5	80%	0-3	0%
Tyler Johnson G · 6'3" 186 · 25	28.7	12	67%	4	1	0	1	2	3	0	4	4-5	80%	1-2	50%	2-5	40%
Luke Babbitt F · 6'9" 225 · 27	16.1	1	10%	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	1-2	50%	0-2	0%	0-2	0%
Josh McRoberts · 6'10" 240 · 30	12.9	2	100%	2	1	2	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Udonis Haslem F · 6'8" 235 · 36	0.8	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Goran Dragic G · 6'3" 190 · 31	\| DND - Strained Left Elbow
Justise Winslow F · 6'7" 225 · 21	\| DND - Sore Left Wrist
Willie Reed · 6'11" 245 · 27	\| DND - Hyperextended Right Knee
Wayne Ellington #2 · G · 6'5" 200 · 29	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Chris Bosh #1 · F · 6'11" 235 · 33	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	107	56%	39	18	3	6	9	0	8	31	16-24	67%	29-50	58%	11-31	35%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	MIA
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	MIA

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

MEM

1.22 61.1%

MIA

1.11 55.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MEM

13

22

59%

MIA

14

20

70%

Midrange

MEM

15

26

58%

MIA

15

30

50%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MEM

9

13.5

25

36%

54%

MIA

11

16.5

31

35%

53%

Free Throws

MEM

27

33

82%

MIA

16

24

67%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

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Grizzlies

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Gasol	28	78%	14.0 / 18
M. Conley	21	62%	10.5 / 17
T. Williams	18	60%	9.0 / 15
J. Green	12	86%	6.0 / 7
T. Allen	11	50%	5.5 / 11
A. Harrison	6	50%	3.0 / 6
J. Martin	6	60%	3.0 / 5
V. Carter	6	33%	3.0 / 9
D. Davis	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Waiters	28	64%	14.0 / 22
H. Whiteside	15	58%	7.5 / 13
J. Richardson	15	58%	7.5 / 13
D. Williams	13	65%	6.5 / 10
T. Johnson	12	67%	6.0 / 9
R. McGruder	11	55%	5.5 / 10
J. Johnson	10	56%	5.0 / 9
J. McRoberts	2	100%	1.0 / 1
L. Babbitt	1	10%	0.5 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	17 108.2 18 108.1	MEM 125.0 +8.7 MIA 116.3
Pace	29 91.9 21 95.0	MEM 93.9 +7.3 MIA 86.6
Avg. Poss. Time	3 16.2 5 15.7	MEM 15.3 −1.3 MIA 16.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	28 49.1% 15 51.2%	MEM 56.8% +0.6% MIA 56.2%
TO %	10 13.4% 8 13.2%	MEM 6.4% −3.4% MIA 9.8%
ORB %	9 24.9% 11 24.2%	MEM 6.1% MIA 20.0% +13.9%
FTrt	11 28.0 26 25.1	MEM 45.2 +15.6 MIA 29.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	12 58.4% 24 54.4%	MEM 62.2% +17.2% MIA 45.0%
STL %	5 8.5% 21 7.5%	MEM 5.7% +2.4% MIA 3.3%
BLK %	13 8.3% 6 9.3%	MEM 10.0% MIA 12.5% +2.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	27 52.1% 20 52.8%	MEM 61.1% +5.4% MIA 55.7%
Rim FG%	30 54.6% 12 59.2%	MEM 59.1% MIA 70.0% +10.9%
Mid FG%	27 39.3% 26 39.4%	MEM 57.7% +7.7% MIA 50.0%
3P %	17 35.4% 12 36.5%	MEM 36.0% +0.5% MIA 35.5%
FT %	13 78.4% 30 70.6%	MEM 81.8% +15.1% MIA 66.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	14 35.8% 15 35.4%	MEM 30.1% +5.4% MIA 24.7%
Mid Att. %	13 32.5% 15 33.1%	MEM 35.6% −1.4% MIA 37.0%
3P Att. %	13 31.6% 14 31.4%	MEM 34.2% MIA 38.3% +4.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.38 and 2.38.

Game Totals	MEM	MIA
Possessions	88	92
Possession Minutes	22.5	25.5
Points	110	107
Rebounds	34	39
Assists	23	18
Steals	5	3
Blocks	5	6
Turnovers (Team)	6 (0)	9 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	2 (5)	8 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	32 (0)	31 (2)
Field Goals	37-73	40-81
At-the-Rim FG	13-22	14-20
Midrange FG	15-26	15-30
2-Point FG	28-48	29-50
3-Point FG	9-25	11-31
Free Throws	27-33	16-24
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg