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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
November 27, 2016
3:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Nuggets53%109120
28Suns47%108114
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 29.6
39.1
29.9
25
64%
8
2
3
1
0
1
2
6
6-6
100%
5-11
5-11
45%
50%
3-6
50%
Emmanuel Mudiay
G · 6'3" 200 · 20.7
36.6
26.3
19
55%
4
6
0
1
0
2
1
3
8-10
80%
4-10
3-8
40%
42%
1-3
33%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 27.0
27.9
21.3
14
63%
9
1
1
1
0
1
2
7
6-7
86%
4-8
4-7
50%
54%
0-0
-
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 34.8
27.8
27.0
21
78%
2
3
0
1
0
2
0
2
1-1
100%
4-6
2-4
67%
46%
4-7
57%
Jusuf Nurkic
C · 7'0" 280 · 22.3
16.4
20.7
8
57%
6
2
0
1
0
2
1
5
0-0
-
4-7
4-8
57%
47%
0-0
-
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 21.8
31.0
22.9
13
61%
11
3
0
1
1
1
3
8
6-6
100%
2-6
3-6
33%
54%
1-2
50%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 19.8
21.6
27.1
9
51%
4
2
0
1
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
2-4
3-7
50%
45%
1-4
25%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.7
20.7
12.8
8
44%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-5
1-3
20%
46%
2-4
50%
Alonzo Gee
F · 6'6" 225 · 29.5
12.4
14.7
0
0%
3
0
1
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
51%
0-0
-
Malik Beasley
G · 6'5" 196 · 20.0
6.4
3.8
3
30%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
47%
1-3
33%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 25.9
22.1
1
3-5
47%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 28.3
18.4
0
2-4
46%
Juancho Hernangomez
F · 6'9" 230 · 21.2
10.7
0
1-1
50%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 36.8
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 22.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
PJ Tucker
F · 6'6" 245 · 31.6
41.6
26.4
21
80%
8
1
1
1
0
0
1
7
6-7
86%
3-5
2-4
60%
47%
3-5
60%
Eric Bledsoe
G · 6'1" 205 · 27.0
40.2
31.9
35
63%
6
6
2
2
2
3
0
6
11-11
100%
6-15
5-10
40%
51%
4-8
50%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 34.2
38.4
19.0
10
83%
15
0
0
0
2
0
4
11
0-0
-
5-6
2-3
83%
61%
0-0
-
Devin Booker
G · 6'6" 210 · 20.1
35.7
31.1
30
51%
3
4
1
1
0
1
0
3
4-5
80%
7-17
5-11
41%
48%
4-10
40%
Marquese Chriss
F · 6'10" 240 · 19.4
10.0
18.9
2
50%
0
0
0
1
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
3-5
50%
51%
0-0
-
Alex Len
C · 7'1" 250 · 23.4
29.1
28.7
5
40%
10
0
1
1
2
1
3
7
3-3
100%
1-5
4-8
20%
48%
0-0
-
Brandon Knight
G · 6'2" 182 · 25.0
17.3
25.3
11
38%
2
0
0
1
0
3
1
1
7-10
70%
2-10
4-8
20%
47%
0-0
-
Dragan Bender
F · 7'1" 225 · 19.0
13.6
8.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
52%
0-1
0%
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 34.0
8.0
14.0
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
51%
0-1
0%
Tyler Ulis
G · 5'10" 160 · 20.9
4.0
13.3
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
44%
0-0
-
Alan Williams
F-C · 6'8" 265 · 23.8
2.0
7.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
51%
0-0
-
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 31.4
23.2
1
1-3
53%
John Jenkins
G · 6'4" 215 · 25.7
0.8
0
0-0
50%
TJ Warren
F · 6'8" 215 · 23.2
Derrick Jones Jr.
F-G · 6'7" 200 · 19.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.