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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
November 27, 2016
6:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Bucks45%102104
23Magic55%10496
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Snell
G · 6'7" 221 · 25.0
34.8
29.7
7
44%
8
0
1
1
0
0
0
8
1-2
50%
3-3
1-3
100%
47%
0-4
0%
Matthew Dellavedova
G · 6'4" 198 · 26.2
31.2
28.2
8
31%
1
8
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-6
2-4
17%
41%
2-7
29%
Giannis Antetokounmpo
F · 6'11" 222 · 22.0
30.7
35.4
18
71%
9
4
1
1
3
6
1
8
3-4
75%
6-10
7-13
60%
53%
1-1
100%
Jabari Parker
F · 6'8" 250 · 21.7
28.8
33.0
9
48%
7
4
0
1
0
2
1
6
2-3
67%
2-6
6-13
33%
51%
1-2
50%
John Henson
C · 6'11" 229 · 25.9
28.6
11.2
20
64%
7
1
1
0
3
0
2
5
4-6
67%
8-13
2-3
62%
54%
0-0
-
Malcolm Brogdon
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.0
20.3
18.4
12
60%
3
2
1
1
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
3-7
2-4
43%
45%
2-3
67%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.9
16.8
15.9
13
69%
6
1
0
0
0
2
1
5
1-1
100%
6-9
3-7
67%
50%
0-0
-
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 26.5
16.6
14.0
11
71%
7
1
1
1
0
0
2
5
3-4
75%
4-6
3-5
67%
51%
0-0
-
Mirza Teletovic
F · 6'9" 242 · 31.2
15.1
12.7
6
60%
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
2-5
40%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 39.2
14.3
19.7
0
0%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
47%
0-2
0%
Miles Plumlee
C · 6'11" 249 · 28.2
2.8
16.1
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
54%
0-0
-
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 33.5
1.7
0
0-0
43%
Thon Maker
C-F · 7'1" 223 · 19.8
1.1
0
0-0
50%
Khris Middleton
F · 6'8" 234 · 25.3
Rashad Vaughn
G · 6'6" 202 · 20.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Evan Fournier
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 24.1
37.5
32.7
27
60%
6
7
2
1
0
1
2
4
2-3
67%
8-11
4-8
73%
51%
3-10
30%
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 24.2
32.8
24.9
4
30%
4
2
1
0
2
1
1
3
2-4
50%
1-5
2-4
20%
55%
0-0
-
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 27.2
32.7
30.9
19
53%
6
1
0
1
2
0
0
6
2-2
100%
7-13
4-8
54%
54%
1-4
25%
Aaron Gordon
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.2
32.0
22.9
0
0%
8
3
1
1
0
0
4
4
0-0
-
0-9
3-6
0%
52%
0-3
0%
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 29.0
25.3
21.4
11
79%
2
5
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
4-4
2-4
100%
46%
1-3
33%
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 26.1
29.9
30.1
17
54%
16
3
0
1
1
0
3
13
2-2
100%
6-12
7-14
50%
52%
1-3
33%
Elfrid Payton
G · 6'4" 185 · 22.8
29.2
27.7
16
74%
3
3
1
1
0
3
0
3
3-4
75%
5-6
4-8
83%
48%
1-3
33%
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 32.6
20.6
8.2
2
15%
1
0
1
0
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
0-4
0-1
0%
43%
0-2
0%
Mario Hezonja
F-G · 6'8" 218 · 21.8
6.8
0
1-1
50%
Damjan Rudez
F · 6'10" 228 · 30.4
5.3
0
0-0
52%
Arinze Onuaku
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 29.4
1.4
0
0-0
52%
CJ Wilcox
G · 6'5" 195 · 25.9
1.4
0
0-0
46%
Stephen Zimmerman
C · 7'0" 240 · 20.2
1.4
0
0-0
53%
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 29.3
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 30.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.