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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
November 28, 2016
7:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Celtics58%102112
23Heat42%100104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 26.0
39.2
35.2
18
56%
6
2
0
1
0
0
0
6
0-0
-
6-14
5-10
43%
50%
2-2
100%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 27.8
34.6
32.5
25
46%
4
8
1
1
0
1
0
4
9-9
100%
5-13
5-11
38%
47%
2-10
20%
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 26.4
31.6
24.7
17
69%
4
3
2
1
0
0
0
4
3-3
100%
4-7
2-4
57%
52%
2-4
50%
Tyler Zeller
C · 7'0" 250 · 26.9
25.3
7.1
10
63%
7
2
0
0
1
1
3
4
2-2
100%
4-7
1-2
57%
50%
0-0
-
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 29.6
13.2
18.1
4
82%
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-1
0%
2-2
2-3
100%
59%
0-0
-
Marcus Smart
G · 6'4" 220 · 22.7
32.9
28.5
12
50%
2
4
1
1
0
3
0
2
5-9
56%
2-5
2-5
40%
44%
1-3
33%
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 29.7
20.8
14.9
7
117%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
47%
1-1
100%
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 25.6
20.3
19.4
14
89%
6
4
0
1
2
3
0
6
2-2
100%
3-4
2-4
75%
49%
2-3
67%
Terry Rozier
G · 6'2" 190 · 22.7
13.4
19.6
5
63%
3
1
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
42%
1-3
33%
Jaylen Brown
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 20.1
8.8
8.4
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
0-1
0%
Jordan Mickey
C-F · 6'8" 235 · 22.4
4.4
0
1-1
47%
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 30.8
3.7
0
0-1
45%
James Young
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 21.3
3.1
0
0-0
48%
Demetrius Jackson
G · 6'1" 201 · 22.2
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 30.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rodney McGruder
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 25.3
38.1
28.5
11
70%
5
0
1
1
0
6
2
3
2-2
100%
3-4
2-4
75%
49%
1-3
33%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 30.6
37.8
13.7
27
67%
2
17
2
0
0
1
0
2
11-12
92%
8-13
2-4
62%
52%
0-2
0%
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 27.5
36.9
30.1
25
72%
17
2
0
1
2
2
3
14
5-10
50%
10-13
6-11
77%
59%
0-0
-
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 27.4
23.2
15.3
4
29%
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
43%
0-4
0%
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.5
21.1
14.6
9
39%
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
3-6
50%
3-6
2-4
50%
50%
0-3
0%
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 23.2
28.8
27.1
12
61%
4
0
1
1
0
1
1
3
1-2
50%
1-1
2-5
100%
44%
3-8
38%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 29.0
26.7
13.6
9
50%
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-4
1-2
75%
42%
1-5
20%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 29.8
20.8
28.9
5
28%
3
0
1
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-4
3-5
25%
54%
1-5
20%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 29.7
6.6
12.2
2
50%
2
2
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
48%
0-0
-
Tyler Johnson
G · 6'3" 186 · 24.6
29.3
1
3-6
48%
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 20.7
9.5
0
1-3
45%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 36.5
4.5
0
0-1
46%
Willie Reed
· 6'11" 245 · 26.5
2.9
0
0-1
54%
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 25.0
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 32.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.