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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 30, 2016
7:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Grizzlies
105
8Raptors
120
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andrew Harrison
G · 6'6" 213 · 22.1
35
26
21
2
4
3
1
0
2
0
2
3-4
75%
3-7
1-3
43%
42%
4-5
80%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 31.8
35
32
18
8
3
0
1
0
0
3
5
2-2
100%
5-10
5-11
50%
47%
2-4
50%
JaMychal Green
F · 6'9" 227 · 26.4
34
29
16
5
1
5
1
1
1
3
2
6-7
86%
5-8
3-6
63%
50%
0-2
0%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 34.9
29
24
12
4
2
1
2
0
3
4
0
4-5
80%
4-7
3-7
57%
46%
0-1
0%
Troy Williams
F · 6'7" 218 · 21.9
28
23
10
0
2
3
1
0
2
0
0
2-3
67%
4-7
2-5
57%
48%
0-4
0%
Wade Baldwin IV
G · 6'4" 202 · 20.7
24
10
2
3
2
0
0
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
1-6
1-2
17%
44%
0-1
0%
Jarell Martin
F · 6'10" 239 · 22.5
24
16
5
4
1
0
0
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
0-3
2-4
0%
47%
1-2
50%
Troy Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 25.4
21
11
19
1
1
1
0
0
1
1
0
3-3
100%
2-4
1-1
50%
42%
4-8
50%
Deyonta Davis
C-F · 6'11" 237 · 20.0
10
11
2
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
50%
0-0
-
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 29.1
27
1
3-7
46%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 39.8
20
1
1-3
44%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 35.4
9
0
2-5
47%
James Ennis III
F · 6'7" 210 · 26.4
8
0
1-1
49%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 28.1
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 29.2
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 30.7
37
34
29
3
8
2
1
0
2
0
3
9-10
90%
4-6
4-8
67%
47%
4-7
57%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 27.3
36
33
24
9
6
0
1
0
7
1
8
10-11
91%
4-6
7-16
67%
47%
2-3
67%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 30.3
29
22
17
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
2-4
50%
3-4
2-3
75%
50%
3-7
43%
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 24.6
23
26
6
4
0
1
0
1
4
1
3
0-0
-
3-6
5-9
50%
57%
0-0
-
Pascal Siakam
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.7
18
21
4
2
2
0
1
1
3
2
0
0-0
-
2-2
3-5
100%
53%
0-0
-
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 27.7
30
24
14
13
0
1
1
0
1
3
10
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
51%
4-6
67%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.3
28
23
16
8
3
0
1
0
1
2
6
7-8
88%
3-5
3-6
60%
49%
1-3
33%
Lucas Nogueira
C · 7'0" 220 · 24.3
18
18
4
2
2
3
1
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
58%
0-0
-
Terrence Ross
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 25.8
17
22
3
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
49%
1-5
20%
Norman Powell
F-G · 6'4" 215 · 23.5
4
10
3
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
1-1
100%
Fred VanVleet
G · 6'0" 195 · 22.8
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
46%
0-0
-
Jakob Poeltl
C · 7'0" 230 · 21.1
5
0
0-1
52%
Bruno Caboclo
F · 6'9" 205 · 21.2
4
0
0-1
49%
Delon Wright
G · 6'5" 190 · 24.6
Jared Sullinger
C-F · 6'9" 260 · 24.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.