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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 30, 2016
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Knicks42%107106
20Timberwolves58%110104
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kristaps Porzingis
F-C · 7'3" 240 · 21.3
39
35
29
8
4
0
1
2
1
3
5
4-5
80%
8-13
5-11
62%
49%
3-7
43%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 32.5
35
34
14
4
2
3
1
0
3
1
3
3-4
75%
4-10
6-13
40%
47%
1-6
17%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 28.2
24
34
11
0
2
1
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
4-9
6-14
44%
47%
1-3
33%
Kyle O'Quinn
C-F · 6'10" 250 · 26.7
18
16
2
8
2
0
0
0
1
2
6
0-1
0%
1-2
2-5
50%
51%
0-0
-
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 31.2
8
32
7
1
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
3-6
100%
48%
1-1
100%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 27.2
34
17
12
2
7
2
1
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
3-9
1-3
33%
43%
2-5
40%
Mindaugas Kuzminskas
· 6'9" 215 · 27.1
20
11
14
2
1
0
0
0
2
2
0
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
49%
4-5
80%
Justin Holiday
G · 6'6" 185 · 27.7
20
16
2
4
0
1
1
1
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-5
1-3
20%
45%
0-3
0%
Marshall Plumlee
C · 7'0" 250 · 24.4
19
3
4
5
1
1
0
0
0
1
4
2-3
67%
1-1
0-1
100%
50%
0-0
-
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 32.7
11
3
5
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
41%
1-2
50%
Willy Hernangomez
C · 6'11" 240 · 22.5
8
16
6
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
2-2
2-5
100%
53%
0-0
-
Maurice Ndour
F · 6'9" 200 · 24.5
4
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Ron Baker
G · 6'4" 220 · 23.7
2
0
0-0
46%
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 28.6
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 31.8
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Zach LaVine
G · 6'5" 185 · 21.7
42
38
17
2
1
1
1
0
3
1
1
6-6
100%
4-8
5-10
50%
51%
1-5
20%
Karl-Anthony Towns
C · 7'0" 248 · 21.0
42
33
47
18
2
1
1
3
4
3
15
17-20
85%
15-19
7-12
79%
56%
0-3
0%
Andrew Wiggins
F · 6'8" 202 · 21.8
40
35
19
7
4
1
1
0
1
2
5
0-1
0%
5-16
6-13
31%
49%
3-4
75%
Ricky Rubio
G · 6'4" 190 · 26.1
38
26
8
2
6
3
2
0
2
0
2
4-4
100%
2-3
1-3
67%
42%
0-2
0%
Gorgui Dieng
C · 6'11" 251 · 26.9
33
33
8
8
2
1
1
0
2
4
4
4-6
67%
2-6
4-8
33%
54%
0-0
-
Nemanja Bjelica
F · 6'10" 230 · 28.6
16
18
0
0
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
53%
0-4
0%
Kris Dunn
G · 6'4" 210 · 22.7
10
12
0
0
0
1
1
1
3
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-1
0%
Shabazz Muhammad
G-F · 6'6" 221 · 24.0
8
14
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1-2
50%
1-4
2-4
25%
52%
0-0
-
Tyus Jones
G · 6'2" 184 · 20.6
6
13
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-0
-
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 28.1
6
8
2
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
56%
0-0
-
Adreian Payne
· 6'10" 237 · 25.8
4
0
0-1
48%
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 29.3
1
0
0-0
50%
John Lucas III
G · 5'11" 166 · 34.0
1
0
0-0
38%
Nikola Pekovic
C · 6'11" 307 · 30.9
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 31.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.