Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	23	Heat	43%	103	106	108.2	98	99.4
	21	Nuggets	57%	106	98	101.0	97	95.7

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Goran Dragic G · 6'3" 190 · 31	34.3	16	40%	3	7	1	0	0	5	0	3	4-6	67%	6-14	43%	0-3	0%
Hassan Whiteside C · 7'0" 265 · 27	32.1	25	66%	16	1	1	4	1	3	4	12	3-5	60%	11-17	65%	0-0	-
Rodney McGruder G · 6'4" 200 · 25	25.1	3	25%	7	0	3	0	0	3	4	3	0-0	-	0-4	0%	1-2	50%
Luke Babbitt F · 6'9" 225 · 27	23.0	11	61%	1	0	1	0	0	4	0	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	3-6	50%
Josh McRoberts F · 6'10" 240 · 30	16.5	1	10%	3	3	0	1	1	3	1	2	1-2	50%	0-4	0%	0-0	-

James Johnson F · 6'8" 240 · 30	33.0	10	38%	7	5	3	2	2	3	0	7	2-3	67%	4-8	50%	0-4	0%
Wayne Ellington G · 6'5" 200 · 29	31.7	22	79%	2	2	4	0	1	0	0	2	1-2	50%	3-5	60%	5-9	56%
Tyler Johnson G · 6'3" 186 · 25	28.4	18	56%	2	7	1	0	1	1	1	1	4-6	67%	7-13	54%	0-0	-
Willie Reed · 6'11" 245 · 27	15.9	0	0%	7	1	0	0	0	3	1	6	0-2	0%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Josh Richardson F · 6'6" 200 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Derrick Williams F · 6'8" 240 · 26	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Justise Winslow F · 6'7" 225 · 21	\| NWT - Sore Left Wrist
Udonis Haslem F · 6'8" 235 · 36	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Dion Waiters #11 · G · 6'4" 215 · 25	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Chris Bosh #1 · F · 6'11" 235 · 33	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	106	50%	48	26	14	7	6	0	11	37	15-26	58%	32-69	46%	9-24	38%

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23 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Goran Dragic G · 6'3" 190 · 31	34.3	16	40%	3	7	1	0	0	5	0	3	4-6	67%	6-14	43%	0-3	0%
Hassan Whiteside C · 7'0" 265 · 27	32.1	25	66%	16	1	1	4	1	3	4	12	3-5	60%	11-17	65%	0-0	-
Rodney McGruder G · 6'4" 200 · 25	25.1	3	25%	7	0	3	0	0	3	4	3	0-0	-	0-4	0%	1-2	50%
Luke Babbitt F · 6'9" 225 · 27	23.0	11	61%	1	0	1	0	0	4	0	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	3-6	50%
Josh McRoberts F · 6'10" 240 · 30	16.5	1	10%	3	3	0	1	1	3	1	2	1-2	50%	0-4	0%	0-0	-

James Johnson F · 6'8" 240 · 30	33.0	10	38%	7	5	3	2	2	3	0	7	2-3	67%	4-8	50%	0-4	0%
Wayne Ellington G · 6'5" 200 · 29	31.7	22	79%	2	2	4	0	1	0	0	2	1-2	50%	3-5	60%	5-9	56%
Tyler Johnson G · 6'3" 186 · 25	28.4	18	56%	2	7	1	0	1	1	1	1	4-6	67%	7-13	54%	0-0	-
Willie Reed · 6'11" 245 · 27	15.9	0	0%	7	1	0	0	0	3	1	6	0-2	0%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Josh Richardson F · 6'6" 200 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Derrick Williams F · 6'8" 240 · 26	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Justise Winslow F · 6'7" 225 · 21	\| NWT - Sore Left Wrist
Udonis Haslem F · 6'8" 235 · 36	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Dion Waiters #11 · G · 6'4" 215 · 25	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Chris Bosh #1 · F · 6'11" 235 · 33	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	106	50%	48	26	14	7	6	0	11	37	15-26	58%	32-69	46%	9-24	38%

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21 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jameer Nelson G · 6'0" 190 · 35	37.7	17	53%	5	8	0	0	0	4	1	4	4-6	67%	2-9	22%	3-5	60%
Danilo Gallinari F · 6'10" 225 · 28	36.3	17	47%	4	4	0	1	2	3	0	4	4-6	67%	5-11	45%	1-5	20%
Emmanuel Mudiay G · 6'3" 200 · 21	35.7	7	29%	8	7	0	1	4	0	2	6	1-3	33%	3-9	33%	0-2	0%
Kenneth Faried F · 6'8" 228 · 27	27.4	10	56%	8	3	1	3	2	2	3	5	2-4	50%	4-8	50%	0-0	-
Jusuf Nurkić C · 6'11" 290 · 22	17.4	4	67%	6	1	0	0	5	3	3	3	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-

Wilson Chandler F · 6'9" 225 · 30	28.8	17	50%	7	0	1	0	3	2	2	5	0-0	-	7-13	54%	1-4	25%
Nikola Jokić C · 6'11" 284 · 22	24.0	17	65%	14	3	1	0	1	3	3	11	3-4	75%	7-11	64%	0-0	-
Jamal Murray G · 6'4" 215 · 20	23.3	9	45%	3	2	0	2	2	4	0	3	1-1	100%	1-4	25%	2-6	33%
Juancho Hernangomez F · 6'9" 230 · 21	7.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Alonzo Gee F · 6'6" 225 · 30	1.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Will Barton F-G · 6'6" 190 · 26	\| DND - Left Ankle Rehab
Malik Beasley G · 6'5" 196 · 20	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Mike Miller G-F · 6'8" 218 · 37	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Darrell Arthur #0 · F · 6'9" 235 · 29	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Gary Harris #14 · G · 6'4" 210 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	98	49%	55	28	3	7	19	0	14	41	15-24	63%	31-69	45%	7-22	32%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	DEN

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

MIA

0.99 49.5%

DEN

0.98 49.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIA

21

36

58%

DEN

19

40

48%

Midrange

MIA

11

33

33%

DEN

12

29

41%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIA

9

13.5

24

38%

56%

DEN

7

10.5

22

32%

48%

Free Throws

MIA

15

26

58%

DEN

15

24

63%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
H. Whiteside	25	66%	12.5 / 19
W. Ellington	22	79%	11.0 / 14
T. Johnson	18	56%	9.0 / 16
G. Dragic	16	40%	8.0 / 20
L. Babbitt	11	61%	5.5 / 9
J. Johnson	10	38%	5.0 / 13
R. McGruder	3	25%	1.5 / 6
J. McRoberts	1	10%	0.5 / 5
W. Reed	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Nelson	17	53%	8.5 / 16
D. Gallinari	17	47%	8.5 / 18
W. Chandler	17	50%	8.5 / 17
N. Jokić	17	65%	8.5 / 13
K. Faried	10	56%	5.0 / 9
J. Murray	9	45%	4.5 / 10
E. Mudiay	7	29%	3.5 / 12
J. Nurkić	4	67%	2.0 / 3
J. Hernangomez	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	18 108.1 4 113.2	MIA 108.2 +7.1 DEN 101.0
Pace	21 95.0 6 98.4	MIA 99.4 +3.7 DEN 95.7
Avg. Poss. Time	5 15.7 23 14.4	MIA 14.5 −0.6 DEN 15.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	15 51.2% 5 53.0%	MIA 48.9% +3.3% DEN 45.6%
TO %	8 13.2% 23 14.7%	MIA 5.4% −10.4% DEN 15.8%
ORB %	11 24.2% 2 27.3%	MIA 21.2% DEN 27.5% +6.3%
FTrt	26 25.1 13 27.6	MIA 28.0 +1.6 DEN 26.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	24 54.4% 7 61.5%	MIA 63.4% DEN 73.7% +10.3%
STL %	21 7.5% 29 7.0%	MIA 14.3% +11.2% DEN 3.1%
BLK %	6 9.3% 30 6.3%	MIA 10.1% DEN 10.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	20 52.8% 5 55.4%	MIA 49.5% +0.5% DEN 49.0%
Rim FG%	12 59.2% 11 59.4%	MIA 58.3% +10.8% DEN 47.5%
Mid FG%	26 39.4% 19 40.2%	MIA 33.3% DEN 41.4% +8.1%
3P %	12 36.5% 11 36.8%	MIA 37.5% +5.7% DEN 31.8%
FT %	30 70.6% 17 77.4%	MIA 57.7% DEN 62.5% +4.8%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	15 35.4% 2 40.9%	MIA 38.7% DEN 44.0% +5.2%
Mid Att. %	15 33.1% 4 26.2%	MIA 35.5% DEN 31.9% −3.6%
3P Att. %	14 31.4% 10 32.9%	MIA 25.8% +1.6% DEN 24.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.38 and 2.38.

Game Totals	MIA	DEN
Possessions	98	97
Possession Minutes	23.7	24.3
Points	106	98
Rebounds	48	55
Assists	26	28
Steals	14	3
Blocks	7	7
Turnovers (Team)	6 (0)	19 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (2)	14 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	37 (1)	41 (3)
Field Goals	41-93	38-91
At-the-Rim FG	21-36	19-40
Midrange FG	11-33	12-29
2-Point FG	32-69	31-69
3-Point FG	9-24	7-22
Free Throws	15-26	15-24
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg