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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 30, 2016
9:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Heat43%103106
21Nuggets57%10598
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 30.6
34
23
16
3
7
1
1
0
0
0
3
4-6
67%
6-14
4-7
43%
51%
0-3
0%
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 27.5
32
32
25
16
1
1
1
4
1
4
12
3-5
60%
11-17
7-12
65%
59%
0-0
-
Rodney McGruder
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 25.3
25
31
3
7
0
3
1
0
0
4
3
0-0
-
0-4
2-4
0%
49%
1-2
50%
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 27.4
23
18
11
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
43%
3-6
50%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 29.8
16
10
1
3
3
0
0
1
1
1
2
1-2
50%
0-4
1-2
0%
47%
0-0
-
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 29.8
33
26
10
7
5
3
1
2
2
0
7
2-3
67%
4-8
2-4
50%
54%
0-4
0%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 29.0
32
20
22
2
2
4
1
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
3-5
1-3
60%
43%
5-9
56%
Tyler Johnson
G · 6'3" 186 · 24.6
28
20
18
2
7
1
1
0
1
1
1
4-6
67%
7-13
2-4
54%
48%
0-0
-
Willie Reed
· 6'11" 245 · 26.5
16
3
0
7
1
0
0
0
0
1
6
0-2
0%
0-1
0-1
0%
53%
0-0
-
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 23.2
28
1
2-4
44%
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.5
17
0
2-5
50%
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 20.7
9
0
1-3
45%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 36.5
3
0
0-1
45%
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 25.0
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 32.7
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 34.8
38
27
17
5
8
0
1
0
0
1
4
4-6
67%
2-9
2-4
22%
46%
3-5
60%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 28.3
36
14
17
4
4
0
0
1
2
0
4
4-6
67%
5-11
1-3
45%
46%
1-5
20%
Emmanuel Mudiay
G · 6'3" 200 · 20.7
36
30
7
8
7
0
1
1
4
2
6
1-3
33%
3-9
4-9
33%
42%
0-2
0%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 27.0
27
24
10
8
3
1
1
3
2
3
5
2-4
50%
4-8
4-7
50%
54%
0-0
-
Jusuf Nurkic
C · 7'0" 280 · 22.3
17
19
4
6
1
0
1
0
5
3
3
0-0
-
2-3
3-7
67%
48%
0-0
-
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 29.6
29
33
17
7
0
1
1
0
3
2
5
0-0
-
7-13
6-11
54%
50%
1-4
25%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 21.8
24
26
17
14
3
1
1
0
1
3
11
3-4
75%
7-11
3-6
64%
54%
0-0
-
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 19.8
23
25
9
3
2
0
1
2
2
0
3
1-1
100%
1-4
2-6
25%
45%
2-6
33%
Juancho Hernangomez
F · 6'9" 230 · 21.2
8
7
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
50%
0-0
-
Alonzo Gee
F · 6'6" 225 · 29.5
2
14
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
51%
0-0
-
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 25.9
15
0
2-3
47%
Malik Beasley
G · 6'5" 196 · 20.0
5
0
1-1
46%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 36.8
1
0
0-0
33%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.7
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 22.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.