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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
December 1, 2016
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Mavericks32%9587
12Hornets68%10197
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 30.1
39.4
34.5
14
41%
3
2
0
1
0
1
0
3
5-5
100%
3-4
2-5
75%
45%
1-11
9%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 24.5
37.7
36.9
17
43%
9
1
2
1
0
1
1
8
0-0
-
7-18
7-14
39%
48%
1-2
50%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.4
29.6
20.6
14
48%
3
9
0
1
0
2
0
3
1-1
100%
5-7
2-5
71%
43%
1-7
14%
Salah Mejri
C · 7'2" 235 · 30.5
27.3
6.5
3
31%
11
0
1
0
1
2
5
6
1-2
50%
1-4
1-1
25%
56%
0-0
-
Dorian Finney-Smith
F · 6'8" 220 · 23.6
25.0
20.6
4
41%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
0-2
1-2
0%
47%
1-2
50%
Jonathan Gibson
G · 6'2" 185 · 29.1
26.9
8.7
11
35%
2
4
2
0
0
2
0
2
0-2
0%
4-11
1-1
36%
44%
1-4
25%
Dwight Powell
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 25.4
24.3
17.7
6
61%
8
0
1
1
1
0
2
6
2-2
100%
2-4
2-5
50%
49%
0-0
-
Justin Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 23.0
18.4
20.3
15
86%
3
0
0
1
0
2
1
2
4-4
100%
1-4
2-4
25%
48%
3-3
100%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 33.8
11.4
11.9
3
50%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
49%
1-2
50%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 32.0
28.7
1
2-5
55%
Seth Curry
G · 6'2" 185 · 26.3
28.5
1
3-5
47%
Nicolas Brussino
· 6'8" 195 · 23.8
4.9
0
0-1
46%
AJ Hammons
C · 7'0" 260 · 24.3
1.7
0
0-0
49%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 38.5
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 32.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 28.0
36.5
26.8
12
44%
9
6
1
1
0
3
0
9
3-4
75%
3-7
2-4
43%
51%
1-5
20%
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist
F · 6'7" 232 · 23.2
33.1
28.3
14
56%
3
2
0
1
1
1
1
2
6-8
75%
4-9
3-7
44%
50%
0-0
-
Kemba Walker
G · 6'1" 184 · 26.6
32.6
32.3
18
45%
3
5
1
1
0
3
0
3
1-2
50%
4-9
5-10
44%
48%
3-10
30%
Cody Zeller
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 24.2
30.8
23.7
6
60%
7
1
0
1
1
0
1
6
0-0
-
3-5
3-6
60%
54%
0-0
-
Frank Kaminsky
F-C · 7'0" 242 · 23.7
22.1
28.9
1
10%
3
0
1
1
0
0
1
2
1-2
50%
0-4
3-6
0%
49%
0-0
-
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 30.7
20.3
22.8
8
68%
1
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
3-4
2-4
75%
48%
0-1
0%
Jeremy Lamb
G · 6'5" 185 · 24.5
19.0
16.7
12
65%
6
2
0
1
1
3
1
5
5-5
100%
2-5
2-5
40%
53%
1-2
50%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 30.0
17.3
14.5
11
60%
4
2
0
0
2
0
0
4
1-5
20%
5-7
2-3
71%
47%
0-0
-
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 30.6
15.4
14.1
8
103%
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
3-3
2-3
100%
48%
0-0
-
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 28.6
13.1
17.4
7
102%
3
1
1
0
1
0
0
3
1-1
100%
3-3
2-4
100%
48%
0-0
-
Treveon Graham
G-F · 6'5" 219 · 23.1
4.3
0
0-0
49%
Brian Roberts
G · 6'1" 173 · 31.0
3.8
0
0-1
45%
Aaron Harrison
G · 6'6" 210 · 22.1
3.6
0
0-0
46%
Christian Wood
F · 6'9" 214 · 21.2
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 30.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.