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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
December 1, 2016
10:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Rockets19%108132
1Warriors81%120127
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 27.3
46
35
29
15
13
2
1
1
7
1
14
11-14
79%
6-12
5-10
50%
48%
2-11
18%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 28.6
45
25
29
5
0
0
0
0
2
2
3
6-7
86%
4-7
2-4
57%
44%
5-10
50%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 31.4
43
30
12
4
2
1
2
0
0
1
3
2-2
100%
5-6
1-3
83%
47%
0-7
0%
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 28.4
29
27
3
7
2
4
1
0
2
1
6
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
44%
1-3
33%
Clint Capela
C · 6'10" 240 · 22.5
25
29
10
4
0
0
1
2
3
1
3
0-3
0%
5-8
5-10
63%
56%
0-0
-
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 27.9
39
30
23
1
5
1
1
0
3
0
1
1-1
100%
5-10
2-5
50%
43%
4-9
44%
Sam Dekker
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.6
26
21
11
8
2
2
1
0
2
4
4
1-2
50%
2-6
2-3
33%
50%
2-3
67%
Montrezl Harrell
F-C · 6'8" 240 · 22.8
25
6
13
10
1
0
0
1
0
5
5
1-1
100%
6-10
1-2
60%
51%
0-0
-
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 30.7
13
16
2
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 34.2
14
1
2-5
50%
KJ McDaniels
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 23.8
4
0
0-1
46%
Tyler Ennis
G · 6'3" 194 · 22.3
3
0
0-1
44%
Kyle Wiltjer
F · 6'10" 240 · 24.1
1
0
0-0
45%
Bobby Brown
· 6'2" 175 · 32.2
Chinanu Onuaku
C · 6'10" 245 · 20.1
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 28.2
49
34
39
14
2
3
1
3
2
1
13
12-12
100%
9-17
6-11
53%
56%
3-11
27%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 26.8
47
34
15
6
3
0
1
0
2
0
6
4-6
67%
1-7
5-9
14%
52%
3-13
23%
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 26.7
47
28
20
15
9
2
1
1
4
5
10
2-5
40%
9-13
2-5
69%
53%
0-2
0%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 28.7
38
35
28
3
5
3
2
1
5
1
2
6-6
100%
5-9
4-8
56%
55%
4-13
31%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 32.8
8
18
2
3
1
0
1
1
1
3
0
2-2
100%
0-1
2-4
0%
48%
0-0
-
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 32.8
42
24
10
3
5
0
1
0
0
1
2
2-4
50%
1-1
2-3
100%
56%
2-3
67%
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 31.2
20
17
4
3
3
1
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
53%
0-0
-
Ian Clark
G · 6'3" 175 · 25.7
12
12
4
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
52%
0-2
0%
Patrick McCaw
G · 6'7" 185 · 21.1
9
10
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
52%
0-0
-
James Michael McAdoo
· 6'9" 230 · 23.9
8
4
4
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
1-1
100%
54%
0-0
-
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 28.9
4
7
1
1
0
2
0
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
1-3
-
57%
0-0
-
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 36.3
3
10
0
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
51%
0-0
-
Kevon Looney
F · 6'9" 220 · 20.8
1
9
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
57%
0-0
-
Damian Jones
C · 7'0" 245 · 21.4
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 34.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.